ADBE Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 38 trades in period
-10.94%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,676.66
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$7,496.71
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality
9.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 9.8
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.4%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,496.71
Current Value
$6,676.66
Period P&L
$-820.05
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
13 /
25
Best Trade
+4.54%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$527,588.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-820.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-820.05
Gross Return
-10.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,496.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $248.84 | 30 | $7,465.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.19 | 30 | $7,295.70 | $7,327.21 |
$-169.50 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $237.67 | 30 | $7,130.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $234.58 | 30 | $7,037.40 | $7,234.51 |
$-92.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $241.95 | 29 | $7,016.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.38 | 29 | $6,855.02 | $7,072.98 |
$-161.53 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $241.57 | 29 | $7,005.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.61 | 29 | $6,977.69 | $7,045.14 |
$-27.84 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.96 | 29 | $7,016.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $239.40 | 29 | $6,942.74 | $6,971.04 |
$-74.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $240.61 | 28 | $6,737.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.50 | 28 | $6,762.00 | $6,995.96 |
+$24.92 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.27 | 28 | $6,811.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $240.62 | 28 | $6,737.36 | $6,921.76 |
$-74.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $242.87 | 28 | $6,800.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $240.21 | 28 | $6,725.88 | $6,847.42 |
$-74.34 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $228.02 | 30 | $6,840.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.50 | 30 | $6,855.00 | $6,861.67 |
+$14.25 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $237.97 | 28 | $6,663.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.99 | 28 | $6,775.72 | $6,974.23 |
+$112.56 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $243.51 | 28 | $6,818.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.55 | 28 | $7,043.40 | $7,199.49 |
+$225.26 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $249.93 | 28 | $6,997.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $246.42 | 28 | $6,899.76 | $7,101.35 |
$-98.14 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $247.48 | 28 | $6,929.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.35 | 28 | $6,897.69 | $7,069.60 |
$-31.75 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $253.94 | 27 | $6,856.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.20 | 27 | $6,512.40 | $6,725.62 |
$-343.98 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $239.49 | 28 | $6,705.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.71 | 28 | $6,740.02 | $6,759.92 |
+$34.30 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $243.37 | 27 | $6,570.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.97 | 27 | $6,506.19 | $6,695.12 |
$-64.80 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.90 | 28 | $6,689.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.74 | 28 | $6,992.58 | $6,998.50 |
+$303.38 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.37 | 28 | $6,982.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.23 | 28 | $7,034.30 | $7,050.44 |
+$51.94 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.76 | 28 | $7,021.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.02 | 28 | $7,084.56 | $7,113.72 |
+$63.28 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.33 | 28 | $7,009.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $247.71 | 28 | $6,935.74 | $7,040.22 |
$-73.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $251.02 | 28 | $7,028.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $247.46 | 28 | $6,928.88 | $6,940.54 |
$-99.68 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $242.74 | 28 | $6,796.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.54 | 28 | $6,679.12 | $6,822.94 |
$-117.60 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $234.32 | 29 | $6,795.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.65 | 29 | $7,036.85 | $7,064.51 |
+$241.57 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $253.90 | 27 | $6,855.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.15 | 27 | $7,023.94 | $7,233.15 |
+$168.64 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.27 | 28 | $7,007.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $246.71 | 28 | $6,907.88 | $7,133.33 |
$-99.82 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $243.59 | 29 | $7,064.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.35 | 29 | $7,173.29 | $7,242.51 |
+$109.18 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.40 | 30 | $7,241.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $238.92 | 30 | $7,167.60 | $7,168.26 |
$-74.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $240.26 | 29 | $6,967.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $239.57 | 29 | $6,947.53 | $7,148.25 |
$-20.01 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $254.74 | 28 | $7,132.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.09 | 28 | $7,366.52 | $7,382.19 |
+$233.94 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.17 | 27 | $7,132.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $261.52 | 27 | $7,061.04 | $7,310.77 |
$-71.42 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $256.34 | 28 | $7,177.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.58 | 28 | $7,296.24 | $7,429.49 |
+$118.72 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.63 | 28 | $7,241.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $255.12 | 28 | $7,143.36 | $7,331.29 |
$-98.20 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $244.66 | 29 | $7,095.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.70 | 29 | $7,009.30 | $7,245.45 |
$-85.84 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.65 | 31 | $7,212.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.99 | 31 | $7,067.54 | $7,100.99 |
$-144.46 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.40 | 35 | $7,084.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.04 | 35 | $6,896.23 | $6,913.22 |
$-187.77 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $209.04 | 33 | $6,898.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $206.79 | 33 | $6,824.23 | $6,839.14 |
$-74.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $206.77 | 33 | $6,823.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.01 | 33 | $6,732.33 | $6,748.06 |
$-91.08 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.60 | 34 | $6,582.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $191.50 | 34 | $6,511.00 | $6,676.66 |
$-71.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,676.66
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,323.34
Total Return:
-33.23%