Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.4/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
11.9/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 53.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 52.9

30-Day Momentum

22
+1.0%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.1 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,798
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,182.94
Current Value
$13,643.03
Period P&L
$242.04
Max Drawdown
-7.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
13 / 13
Best Trade
+2.14%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$588,377.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$242.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$242.04
Gross Return
+1.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $13,182.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET $368.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.88 0 $0.00 $13,400.99 +$218.05
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $376.83 0 $0.00 $13,387.16 $-13.83
(-0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:50am ET $370.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $369.49 0 $0.00 $13,359.98 $-27.18
(-0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $363.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $365.18 0 $0.00 $13,427.30 +$67.32
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $362.36 37 $13,407.14
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 37 $13,694.07 $13,714.23 +$286.93
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $373.10 36 $13,431.42
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $375.48 36 $13,517.28 $13,800.09 +$85.86
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $369.04 37 $13,654.47
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $371.28 37 $13,737.36 $13,882.98 +$82.89
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $366.30 37 $13,552.92
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $367.12 37 $13,583.44 $13,913.50 +$30.52
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $357.64 38 $13,590.13
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $354.02 38 $13,452.76 $13,776.13 $-137.37
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET $350.95 39 $13,687.24
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $349.29 39 $13,622.31 $13,711.20 $-64.93
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.99 39 $13,649.61
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.50 39 $13,552.40 $13,613.99 $-97.21
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $355.38 38 $13,504.44
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $350.18 38 $13,307.03 $13,416.58 $-197.41
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET $351.35 38 $13,351.21
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $350.45 38 $13,317.10 $13,382.48 $-34.10
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $348.27 38 $13,234.26
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $355.19 38 $13,497.22 $13,645.44 +$262.96
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $349.96 38 $13,298.48
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $346.36 38 $13,161.87 $13,508.83 $-136.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $342.56 39 $13,359.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 39 $13,113.75 $13,262.74 $-246.09
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $349.40 37 $12,927.80
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $350.47 37 $12,967.39 $13,302.33 +$39.59
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $352.66 37 $13,048.42
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $351.22 37 $12,995.14 $13,249.05 $-53.28
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $346.17 38 $13,154.46
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $350.68 38 $13,325.84 $13,420.43 +$171.38
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $348.38 38 $13,238.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $353.82 38 $13,445.16 $13,627.15 +$206.72
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $353.83 38 $13,445.35
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.19 38 $13,307.22 $13,489.02 $-138.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.74 39 $13,444.86
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $346.12 39 $13,498.68 $13,542.84 +$53.82
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $348.66 38 $13,249.08
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 38 $13,055.28 $13,349.04 $-193.80
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $342.86 38 $13,028.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $345.06 38 $13,112.28 $13,432.64 +$83.60
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 40 $13,431.60
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $342.04 40 $13,681.40 $13,682.44 +$249.80
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 41 $13,390.81
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $325.64 41 $13,351.40 $13,643.03 $-39.41
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,643.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,643.03
Total Return: +36.43%
Back to Anchor