ARKK Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 30 trades in period
+2.73%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,311.26
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,063.87
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
13.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 13.2
30-Day Momentum
44
+7.6%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,841
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,063.87
Current Value
$9,311.26
Period P&L
$247.39
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
12 /
18
Best Trade
+6.63%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
21.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$459,180.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$247.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$247.39
Gross Return
+2.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,063.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $72.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,957.23 |
$-106.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $70.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,859.73 |
$-97.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $70.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $69.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,721.76 |
$-137.97 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $69.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $70.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,750.28 |
+$28.52 (+0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.86 | 116 | $8,683.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.95 | 116 | $8,578.20 | $8,644.72 |
$-105.56 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $72.43 | 119 | $8,619.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.51 | 119 | $8,628.69 | $8,654.24 |
+$9.52 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $73.15 | 118 | $8,631.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.77 | 118 | $8,704.72 | $8,727.26 |
+$73.02 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.21 | 120 | $8,665.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $71.38 | 120 | $8,565.60 | $8,627.66 |
$-99.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $70.69 | 122 | $8,624.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $69.93 | 122 | $8,531.46 | $8,534.94 |
$-92.72 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $71.98 | 118 | $8,493.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.78 | 118 | $8,588.04 | $8,629.34 |
+$94.40 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.61 | 118 | $8,567.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $71.86 | 118 | $8,479.48 | $8,540.84 |
$-88.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.28 | 121 | $8,503.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $69.55 | 121 | $8,415.55 | $8,452.51 |
$-88.33 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $70.94 | 119 | $8,442.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.11 | 119 | $8,343.33 | $8,353.38 |
$-99.13 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $70.85 | 117 | $8,289.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $70.08 | 117 | $8,199.36 | $8,263.29 |
$-90.09 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $68.67 | 120 | $8,239.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $67.96 | 120 | $8,155.20 | $8,178.69 |
$-84.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $64.90 | 126 | $8,178.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.26 | 126 | $8,222.29 | $8,222.95 |
+$44.26 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $65.26 | 126 | $8,222.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.67 | 126 | $8,651.79 | $8,651.98 |
+$429.03 (+5.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.05 | 130 | $8,586.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.71 | 130 | $8,932.77 | $8,998.25 |
+$346.27 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.11 | 132 | $8,989.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $67.30 | 132 | $8,883.60 | $8,891.99 |
$-106.26 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $70.67 | 125 | $8,833.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $69.95 | 125 | $8,743.75 | $8,802.61 |
$-89.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $68.86 | 127 | $8,744.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.39 | 127 | $8,811.90 | $8,869.92 |
+$67.31 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.96 | 128 | $8,826.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.53 | 128 | $9,411.84 | $9,455.52 |
+$585.60 (+6.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $76.45 | 123 | $9,403.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.42 | 123 | $9,645.66 | $9,697.83 |
+$242.31 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $79.61 | 121 | $9,632.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.50 | 121 | $9,498.50 | $9,563.52 |
$-134.31 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.02 | 121 | $9,561.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $78.14 | 121 | $9,454.34 | $9,456.44 |
$-107.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $79.00 | 119 | $9,401.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.49 | 119 | $9,339.72 | $9,395.16 |
$-61.28 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $76.96 | 122 | $9,389.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.48 | 122 | $9,330.56 | $9,336.60 |
$-58.56 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.09 | 124 | $9,311.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.14 | 124 | $9,193.36 | $9,218.80 |
$-117.80 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $75.32 | 122 | $9,189.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.00 | 122 | $9,271.39 | $9,301.15 |
+$82.35 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $77.98 | 119 | $9,279.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.07 | 119 | $9,289.74 | $9,311.26 |
+$10.11 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,311.26
Net Profit/Loss:
$-688.74
Total Return:
-6.89%