Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:33:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.1

30-Day Momentum

48
+7.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.7 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,452.51
Current Value
$9,693.34
Period P&L
$1,240.83
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
16 / 19
Best Trade
+6.63%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$636,642.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,240.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,240.83
Gross Return
+14.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,452.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.94 119 $8,442.45
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $70.11 119 $8,343.33 $8,353.38 $-99.13
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $70.85 117 $8,289.45
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $70.08 117 $8,199.36 $8,263.29 $-90.09
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET $68.67 120 $8,239.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $67.96 120 $8,155.20 $8,178.69 $-84.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $64.90 126 $8,178.03
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $65.26 126 $8,222.29 $8,222.95 +$44.26
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $65.26 126 $8,222.76
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $68.67 126 $8,651.79 $8,651.98 +$429.03
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $66.05 130 $8,586.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $68.71 130 $8,932.77 $8,998.25 +$346.27
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $68.11 132 $8,989.86
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $67.30 132 $8,883.60 $8,891.99 $-106.26
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $70.67 125 $8,833.13
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $69.95 125 $8,743.75 $8,802.61 $-89.38
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $68.86 127 $8,744.59
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $69.39 127 $8,811.90 $8,869.92 +$67.31
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.96 128 $8,826.24
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $73.53 128 $9,411.84 $9,455.52 +$585.60
(+6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $76.45 123 $9,403.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $78.42 123 $9,645.66 $9,697.83 +$242.31
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $79.61 121 $9,632.81
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $78.50 121 $9,498.50 $9,563.52 $-134.31
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $79.02 121 $9,561.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $78.14 121 $9,454.34 $9,456.44 $-107.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET $79.00 119 $9,401.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $78.49 119 $9,339.72 $9,395.16 $-61.28
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $76.96 122 $9,389.12
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.48 122 $9,330.56 $9,336.60 $-58.56
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $75.09 124 $9,311.16
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 124 $9,193.36 $9,218.80 $-117.80
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $75.32 122 $9,189.04
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $76.00 122 $9,271.39 $9,301.15 +$82.35
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $77.98 119 $9,279.62
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.07 119 $9,289.74 $9,311.26 +$10.11
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $79.11 117 $9,255.87
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.25 117 $9,155.25 $9,210.64 $-100.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $78.40 117 $9,172.80
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $78.84 117 $9,224.28 $9,262.12 +$51.48
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $79.23 116 $9,190.68
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $78.31 116 $9,083.38 $9,154.82 $-107.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
22 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:55am ET $77.30 118 $9,121.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $77.71 118 $9,170.37 $9,203.79 +$48.97
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
23 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $76.44 120 $9,172.80
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $75.39 120 $9,046.80 $9,077.79 $-126.00
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
24 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $74.54 121 $9,019.94
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $73.74 121 $8,922.54 $8,980.38 $-97.41
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:45pm ET $74.22 120 $8,906.40
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $74.24 120 $8,908.80 $8,982.78 +$2.40
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.25 119 $8,954.16
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $77.18 119 $9,184.42 $9,213.04 +$230.26
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
27 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:35am ET $77.44 118 $9,137.92
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $77.15 118 $9,104.29 $9,179.41 $-33.63
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
28 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $77.61 118 $9,158.57
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $81.38 118 $9,602.25 $9,623.09 +$443.68
(+4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $80.85 119 $9,620.89
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $80.59 119 $9,590.21 $9,592.41 $-30.68
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $78.48 122 $9,574.80
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $77.65 122 $9,473.30 $9,490.91 $-101.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.05 118 $9,445.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.38 118 $9,248.84 $9,293.85 $-197.06
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:55am ET $75.82 122 $9,250.04
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.36 122 $9,316.53 $9,360.34 +$66.49
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.00 126 $9,324.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $73.24 126 $9,228.24 $9,264.58 $-95.76
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $74.98 123 $9,222.52
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $78.25 123 $9,624.75 $9,666.81 +$402.23
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $79.11 122 $9,652.03
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $79.33 122 $9,678.56 $9,693.34 +$26.53
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,693.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-306.66
Total Return: -3.07%
Back to Anchor