Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 12.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.2 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,262.67
Current Value
$9,255.41
Period P&L
$992.74
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
17 / 20
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
22.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$655,144.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$992.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$992.74
Gross Return
+12.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,262.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET $323.20 25 $8,080.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $319.66 25 $7,991.50 $8,174.17 $-88.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $317.12 25 $7,928.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $318.83 25 $7,970.63 $8,216.80 +$42.63
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $314.34 26 $8,172.84
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $311.00 26 $8,086.00 $8,129.96 $-86.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $301.52 26 $7,839.52
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $300.71 26 $7,818.46 $8,108.90 $-21.06
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET $300.90 26 $7,823.40
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $313.68 26 $8,155.68 $8,441.18 +$332.28
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $305.60 27 $8,251.20
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $302.15 27 $8,158.05 $8,348.03 $-93.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $310.76 26 $8,079.76
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 26 $8,494.46 $8,762.73 +$414.70
(+5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $349.37 25 $8,734.25
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $352.14 25 $8,803.38 $8,831.86 +$69.13
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $371.89 23 $8,553.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $370.36 23 $8,518.17 $8,796.67 $-35.19
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $376.70 23 $8,664.02
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 23 $8,972.07 $9,104.72 +$308.05
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:30am ET $396.79 22 $8,729.38
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $401.04 22 $8,822.88 $9,198.22 +$93.50
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $401.63 22 $8,835.86
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $397.30 22 $8,740.49 $9,102.85 $-95.37
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $400.79 22 $8,817.38
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $406.98 22 $8,953.56 $9,239.03 +$136.18
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $427.07 21 $8,968.47
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $422.03 21 $8,862.63 $9,133.19 $-105.84
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $419.49 21 $8,809.38
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $420.46 21 $8,829.66 $9,153.47 +$20.28
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $400.30 22 $8,806.71
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET $395.52 22 $8,701.44 $9,048.20 $-105.27
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $399.10 22 $8,780.20
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $416.00 22 $9,152.00 $9,420.00 +$371.80
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $419.86 22 $9,236.92
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $418.59 22 $9,208.98 $9,392.06 $-27.94
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $430.71 21 $9,045.01
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $435.04 21 $9,135.84 $9,482.89 +$90.83
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
20 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $418.61 22 $9,209.42
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $413.81 22 $9,103.82 $9,377.29 $-105.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $427.77 21 $8,983.17
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $427.61 21 $8,979.91 $9,374.04 $-3.25
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $422.84 22 $9,302.48
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:05am ET $417.72 22 $9,189.84 $9,261.40 $-112.64
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $416.70 22 $9,167.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $416.80 22 $9,169.60 $9,263.60 +$2.20
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $425.81 21 $8,942.01
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $421.44 21 $8,850.24 $9,171.83 $-91.77
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 22 $9,013.73
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $412.80 22 $9,081.71 $9,239.81 +$67.98
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $413.73 22 $9,101.95
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $417.57 22 $9,186.54 $9,324.40 +$84.59
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
27 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:15am ET $427.50 21 $8,977.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:50am ET $422.82 21 $8,879.12 $9,226.02 $-98.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:50am ET $416.89 22 $9,171.69
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $421.57 22 $9,274.47 $9,328.80 +$102.78
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
29 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $439.10 21 $9,221.10
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $450.33 21 $9,456.93 $9,564.63 +$235.83
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET $476.69 20 $9,533.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $471.86 20 $9,437.10 $9,467.93 $-96.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $485.34 19 $9,221.46
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.07 19 $9,083.33 $9,329.80 $-138.13
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 23 $9,291.96
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET $399.10 23 $9,179.30 $9,217.14 $-112.66
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $397.00 23 $9,131.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $400.49 23 $9,211.27 $9,297.41 +$80.27
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $381.23 24 $9,149.40
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $376.59 24 $9,038.23 $9,186.24 $-111.17
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $373.49 24 $8,963.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $383.76 24 $9,210.18 $9,432.66 +$246.42
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $392.10 24 $9,410.40
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 24 $9,357.12 $9,379.38 $-53.28
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $396.88 23 $9,128.24
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $391.49 23 $9,004.27 $9,255.41 $-123.97
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,255.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-744.59
Total Return: -7.45%
Back to Anchor