AXP Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 32 trades in period
-0.42%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,433.58
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,482.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
33.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 33.6
30-Day Momentum
19
+1.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.4
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,482.26
Current Value
$11,433.58
Period P&L
$-48.68
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
12 /
20
Best Trade
+3.66%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$700,130.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-48.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-48.68
Gross Return
-0.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.42%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,482.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $301.92 | 38 | $11,473.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.23 | 38 | $11,370.93 | $11,380.04 |
$-102.22 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $300.07 | 37 | $11,102.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.47 | 37 | $11,043.39 | $11,321.02 |
$-59.02 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.52 | 38 | $11,305.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $293.74 | 38 | $11,162.31 | $11,177.76 |
$-143.26 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $299.32 | 37 | $11,074.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.19 | 37 | $11,070.03 | $11,172.95 |
$-4.81 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $300.70 | 37 | $11,126.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.71 | 37 | $10,941.27 | $10,988.14 |
$-184.81 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $303.04 | 36 | $10,909.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.00 | 36 | $10,872.00 | $10,950.70 |
$-37.44 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $316.89 | 34 | $10,774.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.16 | 34 | $10,681.48 | $10,858.09 |
$-92.61 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $315.48 | 34 | $10,726.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.97 | 34 | $10,572.89 | $10,704.66 |
$-153.43 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $327.49 | 32 | $10,479.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.18 | 32 | $10,533.76 | $10,758.74 |
+$54.08 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.86 | 32 | $10,523.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.34 | 32 | $10,570.88 | $10,806.10 |
+$47.36 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.36 | 32 | $10,571.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.49 | 32 | $10,639.68 | $10,874.26 |
+$68.16 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $332.63 | 32 | $10,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.49 | 32 | $10,607.84 | $10,838.10 |
$-36.16 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $314.67 | 34 | $10,698.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.02 | 34 | $10,642.68 | $10,782.17 |
$-55.93 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $317.79 | 33 | $10,487.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.84 | 33 | $10,422.64 | $10,717.74 |
$-64.43 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.71 | 34 | $10,666.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.92 | 34 | $11,047.28 | $11,098.88 |
+$381.14 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $319.51 | 34 | $10,863.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.26 | 34 | $10,888.84 | $11,124.38 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $322.35 | 34 | $10,959.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.18 | 34 | $10,988.12 | $11,152.77 |
+$28.39 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $316.77 | 35 | $11,086.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.24 | 35 | $11,033.40 | $11,099.22 |
$-53.55 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.25 | 35 | $10,928.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.51 | 35 | $10,902.68 | $11,073.15 |
$-26.07 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $312.27 | 35 | $10,929.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.00 | 35 | $10,920.00 | $11,063.70 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.43 | 35 | $10,899.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.17 | 35 | $10,925.95 | $11,089.76 |
+$26.06 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $303.41 | 36 | $10,922.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.35 | 36 | $11,100.60 | $11,267.60 |
+$177.84 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $312.48 | 36 | $11,249.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.04 | 36 | $11,305.44 | $11,323.94 |
+$56.34 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $314.50 | 36 | $11,322.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.68 | 36 | $11,184.48 | $11,186.42 |
$-137.52 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $312.89 | 35 | $10,951.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.01 | 35 | $10,885.35 | $11,120.53 |
$-65.89 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.40 | 35 | $10,898.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.73 | 35 | $10,840.55 | $11,062.17 |
$-58.36 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $313.80 | 35 | $10,982.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.31 | 35 | $10,930.85 | $11,010.19 |
$-51.98 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $312.51 | 35 | $10,937.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.00 | 35 | $11,025.00 | $11,097.34 |
+$87.15 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.71 | 35 | $11,049.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.89 | 35 | $11,021.32 | $11,068.81 |
$-28.53 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $323.70 | 34 | $11,005.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.54 | 34 | $11,408.36 | $11,471.20 |
+$402.39 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $341.01 | 33 | $11,253.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.30 | 33 | $11,328.90 | $11,546.77 |
+$75.57 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $341.98 | 33 | $11,285.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $338.55 | 33 | $11,172.15 | $11,433.58 |
$-113.19 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,433.58
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,433.58
Total Return:
+14.34%