Compendium › Anchor › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 27 trades in period

-3.04%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,124.38
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$11,473.02
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 31.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.3

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.2%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.9 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,772
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,473.02
Current Value
$11,124.38
Period P&L
$-348.64
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
11 / 16
Best Trade
+3.57%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
23h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$482,803.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-348.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-348.64
Gross Return
-3.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,473.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $355.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $357.74 0 $0.00 $11,539.95 +$66.93
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $356.04 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $358.13 0 $0.00 $11,606.67 +$66.72
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $363.91 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $368.46 0 $0.00 $11,747.72 +$141.05
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $365.64 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $361.47 0 $0.00 $11,614.44 $-133.28
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:50am ET $339.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 11:45am ET $339.85 0 $0.00 $11,624.13 +$9.69
(+0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.35 39 $11,596.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $294.11 39 $11,470.48 $11,497.96 $-126.17
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:55am ET $303.69 37 $11,236.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $303.05 37 $11,212.85 $11,474.28 $-23.68
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $300.36 38 $11,413.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $304.02 38 $11,552.95 $11,613.55 +$139.27
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $300.34 38 $11,412.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $297.01 38 $11,286.38 $11,487.01 $-126.54
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $301.59 38 $11,460.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $298.52 38 $11,343.76 $11,370.35 $-116.66
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $292.26 38 $11,105.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $295.20 38 $11,217.60 $11,482.26 +$111.91
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $301.92 38 $11,473.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $299.23 38 $11,370.93 $11,380.04 $-102.22
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $300.07 37 $11,102.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $298.47 37 $11,043.39 $11,321.02 $-59.02
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $297.52 38 $11,305.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $293.74 38 $11,162.31 $11,177.76 $-143.26
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $299.32 37 $11,074.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $299.19 37 $11,070.03 $11,172.95 $-4.81
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $300.70 37 $11,126.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $295.71 37 $10,941.27 $10,988.14 $-184.81
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $303.04 36 $10,909.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $302.00 36 $10,872.00 $10,950.70 $-37.44
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $316.89 34 $10,774.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $314.16 34 $10,681.48 $10,858.09 $-92.61
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $315.48 34 $10,726.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $310.97 34 $10,572.89 $10,704.66 $-153.43
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $327.49 32 $10,479.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $329.18 32 $10,533.76 $10,758.74 +$54.08
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $328.86 32 $10,523.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $330.34 32 $10,570.88 $10,806.10 +$47.36
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $330.36 32 $10,571.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $332.49 32 $10,639.68 $10,874.26 +$68.16
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET $332.63 32 $10,644.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $331.49 32 $10,607.84 $10,838.10 $-36.16
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $314.67 34 $10,698.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $313.02 34 $10,642.68 $10,782.17 $-55.93
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $317.79 33 $10,487.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $315.84 33 $10,422.64 $10,717.74 $-64.43
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $313.71 34 $10,666.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $324.92 34 $11,047.28 $11,098.88 +$381.14
(+3.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $319.51 34 $10,863.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $320.26 34 $10,888.84 $11,124.38 +$25.50
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,124.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,124.38
Total Return: +11.24%
Back to Anchor