Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:36:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,020.60
Current Value
$9,021.73
Period P&L
$-998.87
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
11 / 28
Best Trade
+9.34%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
17.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$730,262.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-998.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-998.87
Gross Return
-9.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,020.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $201.29 49 $9,863.21
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $198.86 49 $9,744.14 $9,901.53 $-119.07
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $183.03 54 $9,883.62
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $180.76 54 $9,761.04 $9,778.95 $-122.58
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $182.87 53 $9,691.85
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $180.88 53 $9,586.64 $9,673.74 $-105.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $172.96 55 $9,512.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 55 $9,138.80 $9,299.74 $-374.00
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $160.00 58 $9,280.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 58 $9,538.10 $9,557.84 +$258.10
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET $173.73 55 $9,554.88
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $166.01 55 $9,130.82 $9,133.79 $-424.05
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 52 $9,085.18
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $172.71 52 $8,980.92 $9,029.53 $-104.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET $177.38 50 $8,868.75
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $175.23 50 $8,761.25 $8,922.03 $-107.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $169.19 52 $8,797.88
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $169.01 52 $8,788.52 $8,912.67 $-9.36
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $164.85 54 $8,902.17
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 54 $9,734.04 $9,744.54 +$831.87
(+9.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $189.96 51 $9,687.96
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.50 51 $10,072.50 $10,129.08 +$384.54
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $211.71 47 $9,950.37
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $209.50 47 $9,846.50 $10,025.21 $-103.87
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $207.38 48 $9,954.24
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $205.06 48 $9,842.88 $9,913.85 $-111.36
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $207.70 47 $9,761.90
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $205.11 47 $9,640.17 $9,792.12 $-121.73
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $200.72 48 $9,634.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $198.00 48 $9,504.00 $9,661.56 $-130.56
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $200.06 48 $9,602.88
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.22 48 $9,562.56 $9,621.24 $-40.32
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $190.43 50 $9,521.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 50 $9,357.30 $9,457.04 $-164.20
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $186.99 50 $9,349.25
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $192.50 50 $9,624.91 $9,732.70 +$275.66
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $202.33 48 $9,711.84
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $206.39 48 $9,906.72 $9,927.58 +$194.88
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
20 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $195.75 50 $9,787.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:40am ET $193.64 50 $9,682.00 $9,822.08 $-105.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $194.24 50 $9,712.25
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $191.98 50 $9,599.00 $9,708.83 $-113.25
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
22 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $194.86 49 $9,548.14
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $197.00 49 $9,653.00 $9,813.69 +$104.86
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $211.90 46 $9,747.40
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $208.68 46 $9,599.28 $9,665.57 $-148.12
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
24 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:00am ET $198.76 48 $9,540.48
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $200.44 48 $9,621.12 $9,746.21 +$80.64
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held
25 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $203.30 47 $9,555.10
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $200.01 47 $9,400.47 $9,591.58 $-154.63
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
26 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $189.71 50 $9,485.50
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $187.37 50 $9,368.44 $9,474.52 $-117.06
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
27 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $192.81 49 $9,447.69
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $193.78 49 $9,495.22 $9,522.05 +$47.53
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held
28 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $189.80 50 $9,490.25
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $194.26 50 $9,712.75 $9,744.55 +$222.50
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
29 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:45am ET $184.34 52 $9,585.68
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $182.47 52 $9,488.44 $9,647.31 $-97.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
30 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $174.92 55 $9,620.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $170.41 55 $9,372.66 $9,399.37 $-247.94
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
31 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $181.65 51 $9,264.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $177.21 51 $9,037.56 $9,172.94 $-226.43
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $176.94 51 $9,023.94
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $174.75 51 $8,912.25 $9,061.25 $-111.69
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10am ET $167.90 53 $8,898.44
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:20am ET $165.70 53 $8,782.10 $8,944.91 $-116.34
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $163.21 54 $8,813.34
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $157.92 54 $8,527.68 $8,659.25 $-285.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $161.38 53 $8,553.14
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 53 $8,336.90 $8,443.01 $-216.24
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $154.03 54 $8,317.62
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $154.71 54 $8,354.34 $8,479.73 +$36.72
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $157.42 53 $8,343.26
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 53 $9,094.80 $9,231.27 +$751.54
(+9.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $169.42 54 $9,148.69
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $167.64 54 $9,052.56 $9,135.14 $-96.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET $169.13 54 $9,133.03
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $167.03 54 $9,019.62 $9,021.73 $-113.41
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,021.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-978.27
Total Return: -9.78%
Back to Anchor