Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 14.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-3.5%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,810
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,744.39
Current Value
$9,599.43
Period P&L
$-144.96
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
13 / 13
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-2.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$467,245.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-144.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-144.96
Gross Return
-1.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,744.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:50am ET $183.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $183.77 0 $0.00 $9,751.28 +$6.89
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $181.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $182.84 0 $0.00 $9,798.98 +$47.70
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $188.26 52 $9,789.52
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 52 $9,932.00 $9,941.46 +$142.48
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $188.79 52 $9,817.08
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $186.87 52 $9,717.24 $9,841.62 $-99.84
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $197.73 49 $9,688.77
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $196.00 49 $9,604.00 $9,756.85 $-84.77
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $196.50 49 $9,628.50
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $197.73 49 $9,688.77 $9,817.12 +$60.27
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $199.56 49 $9,778.44
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $199.84 49 $9,792.16 $9,830.84 +$13.72
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $204.20 48 $9,801.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $198.63 48 $9,534.00 $9,563.24 $-267.60
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $208.56 45 $9,385.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $206.42 45 $9,288.90 $9,466.94 $-96.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $205.59 46 $9,456.91
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $206.66 46 $9,506.36 $9,516.39 +$49.45
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.02 45 $9,361.12
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $213.26 45 $9,596.70 $9,751.97 +$235.58
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $210.53 46 $9,684.38
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $207.20 46 $9,531.20 $9,598.79 $-153.18
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $196.34 48 $9,424.32
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $203.54 48 $9,769.98 $9,944.45 +$345.66
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $198.16 50 $9,908.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $202.14 50 $10,107.00 $10,143.45 +$199.00
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 53 $10,142.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $188.88 53 $10,010.64 $10,011.74 $-131.71
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $195.08 51 $9,949.07
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET $192.88 51 $9,836.88 $9,899.55 $-112.19
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $187.46 52 $9,748.18
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $190.97 52 $9,930.44 $10,081.81 +$182.26
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.85 53 $10,009.05
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $185.93 53 $9,854.08 $9,926.84 $-154.97
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $185.15 53 $9,812.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $186.74 53 $9,897.34 $10,011.23 +$84.39
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $181.86 55 $10,002.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 55 $9,889.00 $9,897.93 $-113.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $185.15 53 $9,812.95
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $183.05 53 $9,701.64 $9,786.62 $-111.31
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET $187.20 52 $9,734.40
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $187.27 52 $9,738.30 $9,790.52 +$3.90
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $185.69 52 $9,655.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $183.79 52 $9,557.08 $9,691.72 $-98.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET $184.87 52 $9,613.24
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $187.95 52 $9,773.40 $9,851.88 +$160.16
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $191.65 51 $9,774.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $189.65 51 $9,671.90 $9,749.37 $-102.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $191.06 51 $9,744.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $188.12 51 $9,594.12 $9,599.43 $-149.94
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,599.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-400.57
Total Return: -4.01%
Back to Anchor