CVX Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 37 trades in period
-6.18%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,011.81
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$9,605.48
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
14.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-7.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,605.48
Current Value
$9,011.81
Period P&L
$-593.67
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
17 /
20
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-3.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$708,062.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-593.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-593.67
Gross Return
-6.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.18%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,605.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $204.20 | 48 | $9,801.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.63 | 48 | $9,534.00 | $9,563.24 |
$-267.60 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $208.56 | 45 | $9,385.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $206.42 | 45 | $9,288.90 | $9,466.94 |
$-96.30 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $205.59 | 46 | $9,456.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.66 | 46 | $9,506.36 | $9,516.39 |
+$49.45 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.02 | 45 | $9,361.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.26 | 45 | $9,596.70 | $9,751.97 |
+$235.58 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.53 | 46 | $9,684.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $207.20 | 46 | $9,531.20 | $9,598.79 |
$-153.18 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $196.34 | 48 | $9,424.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.54 | 48 | $9,769.98 | $9,944.45 |
+$345.66 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $198.16 | 50 | $9,908.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.14 | 50 | $10,107.00 | $10,143.45 |
+$199.00 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.37 | 53 | $10,142.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.88 | 53 | $10,010.64 | $10,011.74 |
$-131.71 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $195.08 | 51 | $9,949.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $192.88 | 51 | $9,836.88 | $9,899.55 |
$-112.19 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $187.46 | 52 | $9,748.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.97 | 52 | $9,930.44 | $10,081.81 |
+$182.26 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.85 | 53 | $10,009.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $185.93 | 53 | $9,854.08 | $9,926.84 |
$-154.97 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $185.15 | 53 | $9,812.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.74 | 53 | $9,897.34 | $10,011.23 |
+$84.39 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.86 | 55 | $10,002.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.80 | 55 | $9,889.00 | $9,897.93 |
$-113.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $185.15 | 53 | $9,812.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $183.05 | 53 | $9,701.64 | $9,786.62 |
$-111.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $187.20 | 52 | $9,734.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.27 | 52 | $9,738.30 | $9,790.52 |
+$3.90 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.69 | 52 | $9,655.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $183.79 | 52 | $9,557.08 | $9,691.72 |
$-98.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $184.87 | 52 | $9,613.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.95 | 52 | $9,773.40 | $9,851.88 |
+$160.16 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET | $191.65 | 51 | $9,774.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.65 | 51 | $9,671.90 | $9,749.37 |
$-102.51 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.06 | 51 | $9,744.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.12 | 51 | $9,594.12 | $9,599.43 |
$-149.94 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.03 | 50 | $9,551.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.77 | 50 | $9,288.50 | $9,336.43 |
$-263.00 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.25 | 51 | $9,243.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.89 | 51 | $9,276.28 | $9,368.96 |
+$32.53 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $184.27 | 50 | $9,213.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.30 | 50 | $9,315.25 | $9,470.95 |
+$101.99 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.73 | 50 | $9,286.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.26 | 50 | $9,312.75 | $9,497.20 |
+$26.25 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $188.77 | 50 | $9,438.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.69 | 50 | $9,484.50 | $9,543.20 |
+$46.00 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.60 | 49 | $9,486.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.43 | 49 | $9,674.31 | $9,730.87 |
+$187.67 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.20 | 50 | $9,609.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $190.12 | 50 | $9,506.00 | $9,627.12 |
$-103.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $190.45 | 50 | $9,522.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.91 | 50 | $9,445.75 | $9,550.37 |
$-76.75 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.22 | 52 | $9,423.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.12 | 52 | $9,574.24 | $9,701.17 |
+$150.80 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.71 | 53 | $9,683.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $180.84 | 53 | $9,584.26 | $9,601.53 |
$-99.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $185.85 | 51 | $9,478.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.62 | 51 | $9,517.62 | $9,640.80 |
+$39.27 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $190.73 | 50 | $9,536.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.18 | 50 | $9,458.75 | $9,563.05 |
$-77.75 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.13 | 50 | $9,406.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.70 | 50 | $9,435.00 | $9,591.55 |
+$28.50 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.01 | 51 | $9,588.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $186.06 | 51 | $9,489.06 | $9,492.10 |
$-99.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $191.24 | 49 | $9,370.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.39 | 49 | $9,378.11 | $9,499.65 |
+$7.55 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.17 | 51 | $9,494.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.90 | 51 | $9,123.90 | $9,128.88 |
$-370.77 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.64 | 50 | $8,982.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.15 | 50 | $8,957.50 | $9,104.37 |
$-24.51 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.07 | 52 | $9,103.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $173.29 | 52 | $9,010.82 | $9,011.81 |
$-92.56 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,011.81
Net Profit/Loss:
$-988.19
Total Return:
-9.88%