Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:28:44

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 13.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,698.96
Current Value
$9,744.01
Period P&L
$45.05
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
10 / 24
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-1.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$645,951.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$45.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$45.05
Gross Return
+0.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,698.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET $99.80 97 $9,680.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $98.72 97 $9,575.84 $9,594.20 $-104.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $96.97 98 $9,502.81
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $96.59 98 $9,465.82 $9,557.20 $-37.00
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $95.11 100 $9,511.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $94.19 100 $9,419.00 $9,465.20 $-92.00
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $94.71 99 $9,376.29
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $95.05 99 $9,409.95 $9,498.86 +$33.66
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET $97.06 97 $9,414.82
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $95.39 97 $9,253.31 $9,337.35 $-161.51
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $96.55 96 $9,268.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $96.23 96 $9,238.08 $9,306.63 $-30.72
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $98.79 94 $9,286.26
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $98.01 94 $9,212.94 $9,233.31 $-73.32
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $99.63 92 $9,165.96
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $98.91 92 $9,099.72 $9,167.07 $-66.24
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $102.46 89 $9,118.94
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $102.20 89 $9,095.80 $9,143.93 $-23.14
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $102.88 88 $9,053.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $105.17 88 $9,254.96 $9,345.45 +$201.52
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $106.21 87 $9,239.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $106.31 87 $9,248.54 $9,354.15 +$8.70
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $104.94 89 $9,339.66
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $104.88 89 $9,333.88 $9,348.36 $-5.79
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $102.69 91 $9,344.79
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $102.62 91 $9,338.42 $9,341.99 $-6.37
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $102.01 91 $9,282.91
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $101.08 91 $9,198.73 $9,257.81 $-84.18
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $102.75 90 $9,247.50
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $104.29 90 $9,386.10 $9,396.41 +$138.60
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $102.49 91 $9,326.82
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.41 91 $9,228.31 $9,297.90 $-98.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $100.25 92 $9,223.46
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 92 $9,799.38 $9,873.82 +$575.92
(+6.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $110.02 89 $9,791.78
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $108.91 89 $9,692.99 $9,775.03 $-98.79
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $108.30 90 $9,747.00
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $108.15 90 $9,733.50 $9,761.53 $-13.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $104.46 93 $9,714.78
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $105.65 93 $9,825.45 $9,872.20 +$110.67
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
21 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $105.53 93 $9,814.29
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $105.26 93 $9,789.18 $9,847.09 $-25.11
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
22 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:45am ET $103.87 94 $9,763.78
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $103.71 94 $9,748.74 $9,832.05 $-15.04
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
23 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $101.90 96 $9,782.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $103.30 96 $9,916.80 $9,966.45 +$134.40
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $103.56 96 $9,941.76
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $103.19 96 $9,906.23 $9,930.92 $-35.53
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $104.08 95 $9,887.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $103.81 95 $9,861.95 $9,905.27 $-25.65
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
26 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $103.25 95 $9,808.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $102.14 95 $9,703.30 $9,800.15 $-105.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $101.79 96 $9,771.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $100.37 96 $9,635.52 $9,664.19 $-135.96
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $100.75 95 $9,571.25
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $99.55 95 $9,457.25 $9,550.19 $-114.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET $100.51 95 $9,548.44
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $99.48 95 $9,450.60 $9,452.35 $-97.84
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $99.26 95 $9,429.70
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $99.44 95 $9,446.80 $9,469.45 +$17.10
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $99.21 95 $9,425.42
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $98.57 95 $9,364.62 $9,408.65 $-60.80
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 95 $9,366.05
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 95 $9,618.28 $9,660.88 +$252.23
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $101.66 95 $9,657.70
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $101.43 95 $9,635.85 $9,639.03 $-21.85
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $100.50 95 $9,547.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $101.61 95 $9,652.48 $9,744.01 +$104.98
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,744.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-255.99
Total Return: -2.56%
Back to Anchor