IBM Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 38 trades in period
+0.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,339.22
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$8,262.56
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.2
30-Day Momentum
10
+0.1%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.8
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,262.56
Current Value
$8,339.22
Period P&L
$76.66
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
15 /
23
Best Trade
+8.00%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
15.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$638,701.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$76.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$76.66
Gross Return
+0.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,262.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $249.10 | 33 | $8,220.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $246.49 | 33 | $8,134.17 | $8,176.43 |
$-86.13 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $240.34 | 34 | $8,171.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.51 | 34 | $8,279.34 | $8,284.35 |
+$107.92 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.80 | 34 | $8,187.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.65 | 34 | $8,114.10 | $8,211.25 |
$-73.10 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $238.77 | 34 | $8,118.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.32 | 34 | $8,205.05 | $8,298.12 |
+$86.87 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $240.43 | 34 | $8,174.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.32 | 34 | $8,238.88 | $8,362.21 |
+$64.09 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $246.76 | 33 | $8,143.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.77 | 33 | $8,077.41 | $8,296.54 |
$-65.67 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $245.17 | 33 | $8,090.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $242.71 | 33 | $8,009.27 | $8,215.20 |
$-81.34 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $236.27 | 34 | $8,033.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.02 | 34 | $8,092.85 | $8,274.87 |
+$59.67 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $232.75 | 35 | $8,146.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $239.16 | 35 | $8,370.58 | $8,499.20 |
+$224.33 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $245.13 | 34 | $8,334.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.01 | 34 | $8,466.34 | $8,631.29 |
+$132.09 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $253.32 | 34 | $8,612.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.57 | 34 | $8,655.30 | $8,673.70 |
+$42.41 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $252.16 | 34 | $8,573.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.00 | 34 | $8,636.00 | $8,736.26 |
+$62.56 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.82 | 37 | $8,540.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.51 | 37 | $8,418.05 | $8,613.97 |
$-122.29 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $227.53 | 37 | $8,418.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:15pm ET | $225.22 | 37 | $8,333.14 | $8,528.50 |
$-85.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $227.83 | 37 | $8,429.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.44 | 37 | $8,526.28 | $8,625.07 |
+$96.57 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.61 | 37 | $8,532.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $227.95 | 37 | $8,434.14 | $8,526.64 |
$-98.43 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $230.46 | 36 | $8,296.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.00 | 36 | $8,460.00 | $8,689.90 |
+$163.26 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $231.74 | 37 | $8,574.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $229.13 | 37 | $8,477.99 | $8,593.51 |
$-96.39 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $228.99 | 37 | $8,472.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.73 | 37 | $8,463.01 | $8,584.02 |
$-9.49 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $229.91 | 37 | $8,506.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.20 | 37 | $8,406.22 | $8,483.56 |
$-100.46 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.10 | 37 | $8,439.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $225.79 | 37 | $8,354.23 | $8,398.09 |
$-85.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $220.45 | 38 | $8,377.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.63 | 38 | $8,231.94 | $8,252.93 |
$-145.16 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $220.04 | 37 | $8,141.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.52 | 37 | $8,122.24 | $8,233.88 |
$-19.05 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.41 | 37 | $8,081.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.50 | 37 | $8,343.50 | $8,496.21 |
+$262.33 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.26 | 38 | $8,407.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $216.93 | 38 | $8,243.34 | $8,331.57 |
$-164.64 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $241.16 | 34 | $8,199.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.46 | 34 | $8,855.64 | $8,987.77 |
+$656.20 (+8.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $247.18 | 36 | $8,898.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.96 | 36 | $9,034.56 | $9,123.76 |
+$135.99 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $264.35 | 34 | $8,987.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $261.30 | 34 | $8,884.20 | $9,020.23 |
$-103.53 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $322.65 | 27 | $8,711.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $317.13 | 27 | $8,562.38 | $8,871.06 |
$-149.17 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.63 | 28 | $8,725.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $307.88 | 28 | $8,620.64 | $8,766.06 |
$-105.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $304.35 | 28 | $8,521.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $301.07 | 28 | $8,429.96 | $8,674.22 |
$-91.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $282.82 | 30 | $8,484.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $286.43 | 30 | $8,592.90 | $8,782.52 |
+$108.30 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $280.14 | 31 | $8,684.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $277.12 | 31 | $8,590.72 | $8,688.90 |
$-93.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $276.13 | 31 | $8,559.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $273.31 | 31 | $8,472.61 | $8,601.63 |
$-87.27 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $274.49 | 31 | $8,509.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $275.71 | 31 | $8,547.16 | $8,639.45 |
+$37.82 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.14 | 31 | $8,374.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $267.04 | 31 | $8,278.09 | $8,543.19 |
$-96.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $269.86 | 31 | $8,365.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.08 | 31 | $8,248.48 | $8,426.01 |
$-117.18 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.46 | 33 | $8,265.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $247.83 | 33 | $8,178.39 | $8,339.22 |
$-86.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,339.22
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,660.78
Total Return:
-16.61%