Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 00:58:55

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,567.05
Current Value
$7,310.06
Period P&L
$-1,256.99
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
11 / 26
Best Trade
+1.74%
Worst Trade
-2.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
21.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$581,578.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,256.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,256.99
Gross Return
-14.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,567.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $503.83 17 $8,565.11
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $497.10 17 $8,450.62 $8,452.56 $-114.49
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $499.17 16 $7,986.64
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $502.39 16 $8,038.32 $8,504.24 +$51.68
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $498.70 17 $8,477.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $492.45 17 $8,371.73 $8,398.07 $-106.17
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $493.28 17 $8,385.76
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $500.99 17 $8,516.83 $8,529.14 +$131.07
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $496.21 17 $8,435.57
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET $490.65 17 $8,341.05 $8,434.62 $-94.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $489.99 17 $8,329.83
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $493.80 17 $8,394.60 $8,499.39 +$64.77
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $499.24 17 $8,487.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $507.95 17 $8,635.15 $8,647.46 +$148.07
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $505.38 17 $8,591.46
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $499.88 17 $8,497.96 $8,553.96 $-93.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $501.01 17 $8,517.17
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $495.75 17 $8,427.75 $8,464.54 $-89.42
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $504.22 16 $8,067.52
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $507.90 16 $8,126.40 $8,523.42 +$58.88
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $520.78 16 $8,332.48
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $520.40 16 $8,326.32 $8,517.26 $-6.16
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $519.35 16 $8,309.68
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $520.99 16 $8,335.92 $8,543.50 +$26.24
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $515.10 16 $8,241.60
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $513.03 16 $8,208.56 $8,510.46 $-33.04
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $506.79 16 $8,108.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:25am ET $501.39 16 $8,022.24 $8,424.14 $-86.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:30am ET $500.28 16 $8,004.48
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $501.69 16 $8,027.04 $8,446.70 +$22.56
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $514.58 16 $8,233.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $509.05 16 $8,144.80 $8,358.22 $-88.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $528.66 15 $7,929.90
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $513.96 15 $7,709.40 $8,137.72 $-220.50
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $502.67 16 $8,042.72
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $497.47 16 $7,959.52 $8,054.52 $-83.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $502.98 16 $8,047.68
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $500.37 16 $8,005.92 $8,012.76 $-41.76
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
20 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $496.33 16 $7,941.28
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $490.76 16 $7,852.16 $7,923.64 $-89.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $499.05 15 $7,485.75
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $498.93 15 $7,483.95 $7,921.84 $-1.80
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
22 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $495.54 15 $7,433.03
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $501.98 15 $7,529.70 $8,018.52 +$96.68
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $495.40 16 $7,926.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $492.47 16 $7,879.52 $7,971.64 $-46.88
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
24 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:10am ET $497.92 16 $7,966.72
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $492.94 16 $7,887.04 $7,891.96 $-79.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $506.75 15 $7,601.21
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $501.53 15 $7,522.95 $7,813.70 $-78.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
26 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $497.13 15 $7,456.95
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $491.99 15 $7,379.85 $7,736.60 $-77.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
27 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $497.44 15 $7,461.60
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $494.36 15 $7,415.40 $7,690.40 $-46.20
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $493.45 15 $7,401.75
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $493.05 15 $7,395.82 $7,684.47 $-5.93
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
29 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $497.66 15 $7,464.90
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $494.48 15 $7,417.20 $7,636.77 $-47.70
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.95 15 $7,394.18
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $486.86 15 $7,302.90 $7,545.49 $-91.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $476.35 15 $7,145.23
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $470.02 15 $7,050.26 $7,450.52 $-94.97
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET $483.68 15 $7,255.20
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $485.65 15 $7,284.75 $7,480.07 +$29.55
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $487.95 15 $7,319.32
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $482.92 15 $7,243.80 $7,404.55 $-75.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $492.43 15 $7,386.45
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $487.42 15 $7,311.30 $7,329.40 $-75.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $487.54 15 $7,313.10
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $489.67 15 $7,344.98 $7,361.28 +$31.88
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:30am ET $490.53 15 $7,357.95
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $492.00 15 $7,380.00 $7,383.33 +$22.05
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:45am ET $500.89 14 $7,012.51
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $495.66 14 $6,939.24 $7,310.06 $-73.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,310.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,689.94
Total Return: -26.90%
Back to Anchor