MARA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 41 trades in period
+12.02%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,905.87
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$11,520.64
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
29.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 29.2
30-Day Momentum
35
+5.0%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.4
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,520.64
Current Value
$12,905.87
Period P&L
$1,385.23
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
12 /
29
Best Trade
+9.67%
Worst Trade
-4.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
11.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,020,648.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,385.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,385.23
Gross Return
+12.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,520.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $9.03 | 1,276 | $11,516.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $8.92 | 1,276 | $11,381.92 | $11,386.02 |
$-134.62 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $8.43 | 1,351 | $11,382.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $8.33 | 1,351 | $11,253.83 | $11,257.67 |
$-128.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $8.22 | 1,369 | $11,253.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $8.14 | 1,369 | $11,136.82 | $11,141.30 |
$-116.37 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $8.75 | 1,273 | $11,138.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $8.64 | 1,273 | $10,992.36 | $10,994.91 |
$-146.39 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $7.73 | 1,422 | $10,987.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.15 | 1,422 | $11,590.72 | $11,598.12 |
+$603.21 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $7.76 | 1,495 | $11,595.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $7.64 | 1,495 | $11,429.27 | $11,432.03 |
$-166.09 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:25am ET | $8.15 | 1,401 | $11,425.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $8.06 | 1,401 | $11,292.06 | $11,298.94 |
$-133.09 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $8.96 | 1,261 | $11,298.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $8.83 | 1,261 | $11,134.50 | $11,135.01 |
$-163.93 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $8.60 | 1,294 | $11,128.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 1,294 | $12,163.60 | $12,170.08 |
+$1,035.07 (+9.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.40 | 1,294 | $12,170.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.73 | 1,294 | $12,597.09 | $12,597.10 |
+$427.02 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.31 | 1,353 | $12,589.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.19 | 1,353 | $12,440.83 | $12,448.27 |
$-148.83 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.68 | 1,165 | $12,442.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $10.57 | 1,165 | $12,314.17 | $12,320.24 |
$-128.03 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.65 | 1,156 | $12,311.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.68 | 1,156 | $13,502.08 | $13,510.92 |
+$1,190.68 (+9.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.30 | 1,195 | $13,507.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.19 | 1,195 | $13,366.08 | $13,369.07 |
$-141.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.36 | 1,177 | $13,366.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $11.14 | 1,177 | $13,105.90 | $13,108.60 |
$-260.47 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $11.94 | 1,098 | $13,104.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $11.75 | 1,098 | $12,903.37 | $12,907.34 |
$-201.26 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $11.98 | 1,077 | $12,902.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $11.81 | 1,077 | $12,724.75 | $12,729.64 |
$-177.70 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $11.64 | 1,093 | $12,722.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.56 | 1,093 | $12,635.08 | $12,642.31 |
$-87.33 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.77 | 1,173 | $12,633.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $10.65 | 1,173 | $12,492.33 | $12,501.43 |
$-140.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $10.36 | 1,206 | $12,500.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.11 | 1,206 | $13,404.69 | $13,405.93 |
+$904.50 (+7.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $12.13 | 1,105 | $13,398.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $11.99 | 1,105 | $13,254.47 | $13,262.28 |
$-143.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $11.52 | 1,151 | $13,253.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.98 | 1,151 | $13,788.98 | $13,797.49 |
+$535.21 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.73 | 1,083 | $13,786.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $12.57 | 1,083 | $13,618.72 | $13,629.63 |
$-167.86 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $12.97 | 1,050 | $13,618.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $12.82 | 1,050 | $13,459.32 | $13,470.34 |
$-159.29 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $13.44 | 1,001 | $13,458.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.83 | 1,001 | $12,842.83 | $12,854.73 |
$-615.61 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $12.36 | 1,039 | $12,847.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.48 | 1,039 | $12,971.91 | $12,979.41 |
+$124.68 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.85 | 1,010 | $12,978.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.47 | 1,010 | $12,594.70 | $12,595.61 |
$-383.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.00 | 1,049 | $12,588.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.85 | 1,049 | $12,425.41 | $12,433.02 |
$-162.59 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.76 | 1,057 | $12,430.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.62 | 1,057 | $12,282.66 | $12,285.36 |
$-147.66 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $13.22 | 929 | $12,276.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.24 | 929 | $12,299.96 | $12,308.40 |
+$23.04 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $13.90 | 885 | $12,297.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $13.75 | 885 | $12,168.75 | $12,180.07 |
$-128.33 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.15 | 861 | $12,178.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $13.95 | 861 | $12,010.86 | $12,012.09 |
$-167.98 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $13.65 | 879 | $12,002.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.86 | 879 | $12,184.70 | $12,194.04 |
+$181.95 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.07 | 866 | $12,184.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.57 | 866 | $12,619.35 | $12,628.77 |
+$434.73 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.99 | 902 | $12,618.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.81 | 902 | $12,456.62 | $12,466.41 |
$-162.36 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.38 | 931 | $12,456.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.08 | 931 | $12,177.29 | $12,186.92 |
$-279.49 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $13.71 | 888 | $12,174.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.06 | 888 | $12,480.84 | $12,493.37 |
+$306.45 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.17 | 948 | $12,485.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $13.03 | 948 | $12,352.44 | $12,360.65 |
$-132.72 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $12.82 | 964 | $12,353.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.70 | 964 | $13,206.80 | $13,213.69 |
+$853.04 (+6.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $14.75 | 895 | $13,201.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.60 | 895 | $13,067.00 | $13,079.53 |
$-134.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.30 | 914 | $13,065.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $14.10 | 914 | $12,891.97 | $12,905.87 |
$-173.66 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,905.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,905.87
Total Return:
+29.06%