Compendium › Anchor › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 25 trades in period

-3.04%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,643.99
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$9,946.34
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

11
-1.5%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,783
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,946.34
Current Value
$9,643.99
Period P&L
$-302.35
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-1.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
20.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$445,116.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-302.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-302.35
Gross Return
-3.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,946.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $324.74 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:45am ET $321.12 0 $0.00 $9,837.77 $-108.57
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:55am ET $332.07 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $328.33 0 $0.00 $9,729.31 $-108.46
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $323.82 30 $9,714.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $325.90 30 $9,777.15 $9,791.93 +$62.62
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $328.29 29 $9,520.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $326.95 29 $9,481.55 $9,753.07 $-38.86
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $323.25 30 $9,697.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $324.69 30 $9,740.70 $9,796.27 +$43.20
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $326.95 29 $9,481.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $328.83 29 $9,535.93 $9,850.65 +$54.38
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $323.52 30 $9,705.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET $320.24 30 $9,607.20 $9,752.25 $-98.40
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $314.20 31 $9,740.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $310.90 31 $9,637.90 $9,649.80 $-102.45
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $310.12 31 $9,613.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $312.88 31 $9,699.13 $9,735.21 +$85.41
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $306.27 31 $9,494.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $310.38 31 $9,621.78 $9,862.47 +$127.26
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $310.95 31 $9,639.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $309.97 31 $9,609.07 $9,831.94 $-30.53
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $309.79 31 $9,603.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $310.39 31 $9,622.24 $9,850.69 +$18.75
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $306.44 32 $9,806.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $307.00 32 $9,824.00 $9,868.61 +$17.92
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $306.50 32 $9,808.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $309.76 32 $9,912.16 $9,972.77 +$104.16
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $305.03 32 $9,760.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $305.44 32 $9,774.08 $9,985.89 +$13.12
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $307.48 32 $9,839.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $304.39 32 $9,740.48 $9,887.17 $-98.72
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $302.78 32 $9,688.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $303.93 32 $9,725.76 $9,923.97 +$36.80
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $305.43 32 $9,773.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $307.97 32 $9,855.04 $10,005.25 +$81.28
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $311.46 32 $9,966.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $307.83 32 $9,850.40 $9,888.93 $-116.32
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $303.39 32 $9,708.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $302.25 32 $9,672.00 $9,852.29 $-36.64
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET $303.07 32 $9,698.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $302.47 32 $9,679.04 $9,833.09 $-19.20
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $297.54 33 $9,818.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET $294.46 33 $9,717.34 $9,731.78 $-101.31
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $293.95 33 $9,700.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $291.19 33 $9,609.27 $9,640.70 $-91.08
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $292.60 32 $9,363.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $295.15 32 $9,444.80 $9,722.46 +$81.76
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
25 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $286.58 33 $9,457.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $284.20 33 $9,378.67 $9,643.99 $-78.47
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,643.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-356.01
Total Return: -3.56%
Back to Anchor