Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:58

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

22
+1.6%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.6 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,535.59
Current Value
$9,834.12
Period P&L
$298.53
Max Drawdown
-8.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
15 / 20
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$681,898.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$298.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$298.53
Gross Return
+3.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,535.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $86.97 109 $9,479.73
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $86.61 109 $9,440.49 $9,496.35 $-39.24
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $86.66 109 $9,445.94
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $87.56 109 $9,544.04 $9,594.45 +$98.10
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $87.28 109 $9,513.52
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $87.19 109 $9,503.71 $9,584.64 $-9.81
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $85.59 111 $9,500.49
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $86.48 111 $9,599.28 $9,683.43 +$98.79
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $85.32 113 $9,640.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $86.60 113 $9,785.80 $9,828.63 +$145.20
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $86.01 114 $9,805.14
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $87.87 114 $10,017.18 $10,040.67 +$212.04
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $87.82 114 $10,011.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $87.75 114 $10,004.07 $10,033.26 $-7.41
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $87.11 115 $10,017.08
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $87.86 115 $10,103.33 $10,119.51 +$86.25
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $87.63 115 $10,077.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $86.73 115 $9,973.95 $10,016.01 $-103.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $86.02 116 $9,978.32
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $85.78 116 $9,950.48 $9,988.17 $-27.84
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $85.92 116 $9,966.72
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $85.21 116 $9,884.94 $9,906.39 $-81.78
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $82.93 119 $9,868.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $83.87 119 $9,980.53 $10,018.25 +$111.86
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $83.50 119 $9,935.91
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $83.25 119 $9,906.75 $9,989.09 $-29.16
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $82.66 120 $9,919.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.81 120 $9,817.20 $9,887.09 $-102.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.69 124 $9,881.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $79.61 124 $9,871.64 $9,877.17 $-9.92
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $80.32 122 $9,799.65
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.13 122 $9,653.86 $9,731.38 $-145.79
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $78.24 124 $9,701.14
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $77.45 124 $9,603.80 $9,634.04 $-97.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $77.68 124 $9,632.94
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $77.80 124 $9,647.20 $9,648.30 +$14.26
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $77.27 124 $9,581.48
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $76.45 124 $9,479.80 $9,546.62 $-101.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
20 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $74.80 127 $9,499.60
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.00 127 $9,525.00 $9,572.02 +$25.40
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $76.36 125 $9,545.27
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $75.50 125 $9,437.50 $9,464.25 $-107.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
22 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $76.08 124 $9,433.92
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $77.09 124 $9,559.16 $9,589.49 +$125.24
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.71 125 $9,588.75
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $77.41 125 $9,676.25 $9,676.99 +$87.50
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
24 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $77.60 124 $9,622.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $77.40 124 $9,597.61 $9,652.20 $-24.79
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
25 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:55am ET $78.36 123 $9,638.28
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $78.37 123 $9,639.51 $9,653.43 +$1.23
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $77.70 124 $9,634.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $76.86 124 $9,530.02 $9,548.65 $-104.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $75.46 126 $9,507.33
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $75.82 126 $9,553.64 $9,594.96 +$46.31
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $73.89 129 $9,532.13
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.84 129 $9,525.36 $9,588.19 $-6.77
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:05am ET $77.23 124 $9,576.52
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $81.10 124 $10,056.15 $10,067.82 +$479.63
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $82.22 122 $10,030.84
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.31 122 $9,919.21 $9,956.19 $-111.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.63 123 $9,917.49
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $80.90 123 $9,950.70 $9,989.40 +$33.21
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $81.53 122 $9,946.05
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $80.69 122 $9,843.86 $9,887.21 $-102.19
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $80.53 122 $9,824.66
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $80.21 122 $9,785.62 $9,848.17 $-39.04
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $80.36 122 $9,803.31
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $81.12 122 $9,896.64 $9,941.50 +$93.33
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $80.82 123 $9,941.47
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $79.95 123 $9,834.10 $9,834.12 $-107.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,834.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-165.88
Total Return: -1.66%
Back to Anchor