MRNA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 34 trades in period
-17.41%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,381.97
Current Value
24%
Win Rate
$8,937.93
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
10.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.4
30-Day Momentum
18
+1.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.6
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,937.93
Current Value
$7,381.97
Period P&L
$-1,555.97
Max Drawdown
-20.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
8 /
26
Best Trade
+8.90%
Worst Trade
-3.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$463,977.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,555.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,555.97
Gross Return
-17.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,937.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $40.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,838.29 |
$-99.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $40.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $41.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,939.91 |
+$101.62 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $43.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $43.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,815.02 |
$-124.89 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $42.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $42.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,726.87 |
$-88.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.90 | 171 | $8,703.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $50.09 | 171 | $8,565.39 | $8,588.36 |
$-138.51 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $52.51 | 163 | $8,559.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $51.92 | 163 | $8,462.96 | $8,491.37 |
$-96.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $54.35 | 156 | $8,478.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.98 | 156 | $8,576.88 | $8,589.65 |
+$98.28 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.77 | 156 | $8,544.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.05 | 156 | $8,431.80 | $8,477.33 |
$-112.32 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.63 | 158 | $8,474.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $52.75 | 158 | $8,334.50 | $8,337.50 |
$-139.83 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $52.47 | 158 | $8,291.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.70 | 158 | $8,168.60 | $8,215.05 |
$-122.45 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $54.45 | 150 | $8,167.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $53.69 | 150 | $8,053.32 | $8,100.87 |
$-114.18 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $52.43 | 154 | $8,074.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.14 | 154 | $7,875.56 | $7,902.21 |
$-198.66 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.68 | 152 | $7,855.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $51.09 | 152 | $7,765.68 | $7,812.53 |
$-89.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.26 | 152 | $7,791.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.34 | 152 | $7,651.68 | $7,672.69 |
$-139.84 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:45pm ET | $53.45 | 143 | $7,643.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $52.88 | 143 | $7,561.84 | $7,591.18 |
$-81.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.29 | 142 | $7,567.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $52.54 | 142 | $7,460.68 | $7,484.68 |
$-106.50 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $49.38 | 151 | $7,456.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $48.85 | 151 | $7,375.60 | $7,403.90 |
$-80.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $48.78 | 151 | $7,365.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $48.14 | 151 | $7,269.56 | $7,307.68 |
$-96.22 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $50.82 | 143 | $7,267.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $50.16 | 143 | $7,172.88 | $7,213.30 |
$-94.38 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $48.45 | 148 | $7,170.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.30 | 148 | $7,296.40 | $7,339.10 |
+$125.80 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $47.74 | 153 | $7,304.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.99 | 153 | $7,954.47 | $7,989.35 |
+$650.25 (+8.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.42 | 155 | $7,970.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $50.83 | 155 | $7,878.65 | $7,897.90 |
$-91.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.99 | 151 | $7,851.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $51.37 | 151 | $7,756.87 | $7,803.53 |
$-94.38 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $51.27 | 152 | $7,793.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $50.58 | 152 | $7,688.16 | $7,698.65 |
$-104.88 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.35 | 144 | $7,682.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.51 | 144 | $7,705.44 | $7,721.69 |
+$23.04 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $54.74 | 141 | $7,719.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $54.07 | 141 | $7,623.87 | $7,626.52 |
$-95.17 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $54.41 | 140 | $7,617.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.46 | 140 | $7,344.40 | $7,353.52 |
$-273.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $54.81 | 134 | $7,344.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.64 | 134 | $7,455.76 | $7,464.74 |
+$111.22 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.81 | 141 | $7,446.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $52.15 | 141 | $7,353.15 | $7,371.68 |
$-93.06 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.37 | 146 | $7,354.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $49.78 | 146 | $7,268.52 | $7,286.18 |
$-85.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $48.09 | 151 | $7,261.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $47.58 | 151 | $7,183.83 | $7,208.42 |
$-77.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $44.92 | 160 | $7,188.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.22 | 160 | $7,394.40 | $7,414.82 |
+$206.40 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.09 | 164 | $7,394.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $44.54 | 164 | $7,304.56 | $7,324.62 |
$-90.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $47.25 | 155 | $7,323.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.62 | 155 | $7,381.10 | $7,381.97 |
+$57.35 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,381.97
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,618.03
Total Return:
-26.18%