Compendium › Anchor › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 26 trades in period

-8.07%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,108.00
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,907.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.0

30-Day Momentum

11
-1.6%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,907.10
Current Value
$9,108.00
Period P&L
$-799.10
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+1.92%
Worst Trade
-3.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$409,628.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-799.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-799.10
Gross Return
-8.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,907.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $395.61 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET $396.57 0 $0.00 $9,931.16 +$24.06
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $417.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $413.34 0 $0.00 $9,832.72 $-98.44
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $399.93 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $401.13 0 $0.00 $9,861.40 +$28.68
(+0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $400.03 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 11:35am ET $400.80 0 $0.00 $9,879.88 +$18.48
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $410.76 24 $9,858.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $405.27 24 $9,726.50 $9,748.14 $-131.74
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $404.66 24 $9,711.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $406.15 24 $9,747.60 $9,783.88 +$35.74
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $402.64 24 $9,663.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $401.07 24 $9,625.68 $9,746.20 $-37.68
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $397.99 24 $9,551.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $399.74 24 $9,593.76 $9,788.20 +$42.00
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $396.21 24 $9,509.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $392.15 24 $9,411.60 $9,690.76 $-97.44
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $387.54 25 $9,688.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $385.83 25 $9,645.75 $9,648.01 $-42.75
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $385.19 25 $9,629.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $381.88 25 $9,547.00 $9,565.26 $-82.75
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $372.77 25 $9,319.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $371.03 25 $9,275.75 $9,521.64 $-43.62
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $361.72 26 $9,404.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $357.53 26 $9,295.78 $9,412.70 $-108.94
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $362.76 25 $9,068.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $358.50 25 $8,962.50 $9,306.32 $-106.38
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET $369.77 25 $9,244.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $367.58 25 $9,189.50 $9,251.69 $-54.63
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $370.80 24 $8,899.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $370.46 24 $8,891.04 $9,243.53 $-8.16
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $377.73 24 $9,065.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $373.95 24 $8,974.80 $9,152.69 $-90.84
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $369.83 24 $8,875.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $373.34 24 $8,960.16 $9,236.95 +$84.26
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET $390.51 23 $8,981.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $398.00 23 $9,154.00 $9,409.22 +$172.27
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $417.85 22 $9,192.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 22 $9,345.16 $9,561.68 +$152.46
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $421.35 22 $9,269.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET $416.83 22 $9,170.26 $9,462.24 $-99.44
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $424.51 22 $9,339.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $426.78 22 $9,389.16 $9,512.16 +$49.92
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 22 $9,220.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $414.73 22 $9,124.17 $9,415.36 $-96.80
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $421.71 22 $9,277.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $423.60 22 $9,319.20 $9,456.94 +$41.58
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $424.02 22 $9,328.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $410.24 22 $9,025.28 $9,153.89 $-303.05
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $413.61 22 $9,099.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $411.52 22 $9,053.42 $9,108.00 $-45.89
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,108.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-892.00
Total Return: -8.92%
Back to Anchor