MSFT Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 34 trades in period
-8.89%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,789.83
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$9,648.01
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
12.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,648.01
Current Value
$8,789.83
Period P&L
$-858.19
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
11 /
23
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-3.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
23h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$611,436.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-858.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-858.19
Gross Return
-8.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,648.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $385.19 | 25 | $9,629.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.88 | 25 | $9,547.00 | $9,565.26 |
$-82.75 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET | $372.77 | 25 | $9,319.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.03 | 25 | $9,275.75 | $9,521.64 |
$-43.62 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.72 | 26 | $9,404.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $357.53 | 26 | $9,295.78 | $9,412.70 |
$-108.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $362.76 | 25 | $9,068.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $358.50 | 25 | $8,962.50 | $9,306.32 |
$-106.38 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $369.77 | 25 | $9,244.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.58 | 25 | $9,189.50 | $9,251.69 |
$-54.63 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $370.80 | 24 | $8,899.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.46 | 24 | $8,891.04 | $9,243.53 |
$-8.16 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $377.73 | 24 | $9,065.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $373.95 | 24 | $8,974.80 | $9,152.69 |
$-90.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $369.83 | 24 | $8,875.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.34 | 24 | $8,960.16 | $9,236.95 |
+$84.26 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $390.51 | 23 | $8,981.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.00 | 23 | $9,154.00 | $9,409.22 |
+$172.27 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $417.85 | 22 | $9,192.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.78 | 22 | $9,345.16 | $9,561.68 |
+$152.46 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $421.35 | 22 | $9,269.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $416.83 | 22 | $9,170.26 | $9,462.24 |
$-99.44 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $424.51 | 22 | $9,339.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.78 | 22 | $9,389.16 | $9,512.16 |
+$49.92 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.14 | 22 | $9,220.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $414.73 | 22 | $9,124.17 | $9,415.36 |
$-96.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $421.71 | 22 | $9,277.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.60 | 22 | $9,319.20 | $9,456.94 |
+$41.58 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.02 | 22 | $9,328.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.24 | 22 | $9,025.28 | $9,153.89 |
$-303.05 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $413.61 | 22 | $9,099.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $411.52 | 22 | $9,053.42 | $9,108.00 |
$-45.89 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $412.36 | 22 | $9,071.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.51 | 22 | $8,965.22 | $9,001.30 |
$-106.70 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $424.27 | 21 | $8,909.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 21 | $8,747.55 | $8,839.18 |
$-162.12 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.79 | 21 | $8,563.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.39 | 21 | $8,702.19 | $8,977.89 |
+$138.71 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.38 | 22 | $8,852.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.20 | 22 | $8,892.40 | $9,017.93 |
+$40.04 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $425.64 | 21 | $8,938.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $420.85 | 21 | $8,837.85 | $8,917.44 |
$-100.49 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $423.07 | 21 | $8,884.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 12:10pm ET | $418.17 | 21 | $8,781.57 | $8,814.55 |
$-102.89 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $419.42 | 21 | $8,807.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.51 | 21 | $8,914.71 | $8,921.44 |
+$106.89 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $417.68 | 21 | $8,771.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 21 | $8,747.65 | $8,897.82 |
$-23.63 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $411.05 | 21 | $8,632.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $413.02 | 21 | $8,673.32 | $8,939.09 |
+$41.27 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $442.19 | 20 | $8,843.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.57 | 20 | $9,291.30 | $9,386.59 |
+$447.50 (+5.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.97 | 21 | $9,386.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $442.21 | 21 | $9,286.41 | $9,286.63 |
$-99.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.97 | 21 | $9,386.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $429.71 | 21 | $9,023.91 | $8,924.17 |
$-362.46 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $426.13 | 20 | $8,522.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $421.86 | 20 | $8,437.20 | $8,838.87 |
$-85.30 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $411.17 | 21 | $8,634.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.69 | 21 | $8,582.49 | $8,786.69 |
$-52.18 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.06 | 22 | $8,757.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.54 | 22 | $8,679.88 | $8,709.25 |
$-77.44 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $384.60 | 22 | $8,461.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.85 | 22 | $8,730.70 | $8,978.75 |
+$269.50 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.99 | 22 | $8,689.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $391.02 | 22 | $8,602.44 | $8,891.37 |
$-87.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $383.33 | 23 | $8,816.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $378.92 | 23 | $8,715.16 | $8,789.83 |
$-101.54 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,789.83
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,210.17
Total Return:
-12.10%