Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:14

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,395.13
Current Value
$8,993.21
Period P&L
$-401.93
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
12 / 23
Best Trade
+6.14%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$664,856.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-401.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-401.93
Gross Return
-4.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,395.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $91.25 101 $9,216.25
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $92.02 101 $9,294.02 $9,301.71 +$77.77
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $92.84 100 $9,284.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $91.90 100 $9,190.50 $9,208.21 $-93.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $92.25 99 $9,132.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $91.54 99 $9,062.46 $9,137.92 $-70.29
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $93.14 98 $9,127.72
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $92.38 98 $9,053.24 $9,063.44 $-74.48
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $95.84 94 $9,008.96
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $96.47 94 $9,067.99 $9,122.47 +$59.03
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $95.39 95 $9,061.58
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 95 $9,618.28 $9,679.17 +$556.70
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $98.64 98 $9,666.72
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $100.10 98 $9,809.31 $9,821.76 +$142.59
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.99 96 $9,790.74
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $102.71 96 $9,860.16 $9,891.18 +$69.42
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $102.29 96 $9,819.84
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $103.13 96 $9,900.00 $9,971.34 +$80.16
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $105.76 94 $9,941.91
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $107.90 94 $10,142.60 $10,172.03 +$200.69
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 105 $10,085.46
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $96.89 105 $10,173.97 $10,260.54 +$88.51
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $93.56 109 $10,198.04
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $92.61 109 $10,093.95 $10,156.45 $-104.09
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:15am ET $93.14 109 $10,151.72
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $92.13 109 $10,041.68 $10,046.41 $-110.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $92.26 108 $9,964.16
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $91.85 108 $9,919.80 $10,002.05 $-44.36
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $91.46 109 $9,968.88
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $90.54 109 $9,868.86 $9,902.03 $-100.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $91.55 108 $9,887.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.19 108 $9,848.52 $9,863.15 $-38.88
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
17 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $93.84 105 $9,853.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $92.80 105 $9,744.00 $9,753.95 $-109.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $91.25 106 $9,673.03
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $91.17 106 $9,664.02 $9,744.94 $-9.01
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
19 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $87.10 111 $9,668.10
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $88.27 111 $9,797.97 $9,874.81 +$129.87
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $87.64 112 $9,815.12
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $86.41 112 $9,677.92 $9,737.61 $-137.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
21 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $88.53 109 $9,649.69
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.56 109 $9,543.50 $9,631.41 $-106.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $87.85 109 $9,575.65
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $87.62 109 $9,550.58 $9,606.34 $-25.07
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held
23 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:00am ET $87.29 110 $9,601.91
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $86.38 110 $9,501.80 $9,506.23 $-100.11
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $90.39 105 $9,490.83
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $89.25 105 $9,371.25 $9,386.65 $-119.58
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $87.84 106 $9,311.04
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $88.14 106 $9,343.11 $9,418.72 +$32.07
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
26 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $89.03 105 $9,348.15
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $88.53 105 $9,295.13 $9,365.70 $-53.02
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
27 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $87.07 107 $9,315.96
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $86.85 107 $9,292.42 $9,342.16 $-23.54
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
28 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $86.13 108 $9,302.04
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $85.76 108 $9,262.62 $9,302.74 $-39.42
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $84.32 110 $9,274.65
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $83.42 110 $9,176.20 $9,204.29 $-98.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $82.31 111 $9,136.41
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $81.47 111 $9,043.72 $9,111.61 $-92.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $81.54 111 $9,051.16
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $82.18 111 $9,122.53 $9,182.98 +$71.37
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $82.44 111 $9,150.85
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $81.83 111 $9,083.13 $9,115.26 $-67.72
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $80.72 112 $9,041.20
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $79.82 112 $8,939.99 $9,014.05 $-101.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.22 110 $8,934.20
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $81.89 110 $9,007.90 $9,087.75 +$73.70
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $77.97 116 $9,044.52
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $77.15 116 $8,949.98 $8,993.21 $-94.54
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,993.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,006.79
Total Return: -10.07%
Back to Anchor