Compendium › Anchor › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 28 trades in period

+23.09%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,373.42
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$9,240.15
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 27.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

33
+5.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.0 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,240.15
Current Value
$11,373.42
Period P&L
$2,133.27
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
13 / 15
Best Trade
+9.55%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
20.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$540,032.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,133.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,133.27
Gross Return
+23.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,240.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $4.84 0 $0.00 $9,386.31 +$146.16
(+1.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $4.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $4.93 0 $0.00 $9,458.46 +$72.15
(+0.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $4.97 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET $4.99 0 $0.00 $9,506.08 +$47.62
(+0.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $4.75 2,001 $9,504.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.79 2,001 $9,584.79 $9,586.12 +$80.04
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:45am ET $5.34 1,795 $9,585.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $5.85 1,795 $10,500.93 $10,501.57 +$915.45
(+9.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:05am ET $5.65 1,858 $10,497.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.57 1,858 $10,339.77 $10,343.64 $-157.93
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $5.86 1,766 $10,339.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.99 1,766 $10,587.17 $10,590.88 +$247.24
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $5.96 1,777 $10,590.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $5.90 1,777 $10,484.30 $10,484.62 $-106.26
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 1,836 $10,483.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $5.85 1,836 $10,740.60 $10,741.66 +$257.04
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $5.75 1,868 $10,741.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $5.75 1,868 $10,735.40 $10,736.06 $-5.60
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $5.84 1,836 $10,731.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $5.74 1,836 $10,529.46 $10,534.10 $-201.96
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $5.53 1,904 $10,531.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $5.47 1,904 $10,405.36 $10,407.67 $-126.43
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $5.55 1,873 $10,404.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $5.49 1,873 $10,287.27 $10,290.42 $-117.25
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET $6.00 1,715 $10,290.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $6.29 1,715 $10,784.43 $10,784.85 +$494.43
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $6.07 1,775 $10,783.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $6.36 1,775 $11,289.00 $11,290.73 +$505.88
(+4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $6.15 1,835 $11,287.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $6.08 1,835 $11,156.80 $11,159.89 $-130.84
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $6.47 1,723 $11,156.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.41 1,723 $11,042.53 $11,046.00 $-113.89
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.09 1,812 $11,044.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $6.11 1,812 $11,080.38 $11,082.24 +$36.24
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.50 1,704 $11,077.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $6.52 1,704 $11,110.08 $11,115.13 +$32.89
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $6.48 1,715 $11,113.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $6.41 1,715 $10,993.15 $10,995.08 $-120.05
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $6.88 1,598 $10,994.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $6.81 1,598 $10,882.38 $10,883.22 $-111.86
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $6.67 1,631 $10,878.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $6.64 1,631 $10,829.84 $10,834.29 $-48.93
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:55am ET $6.55 1,652 $10,828.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 1,652 $10,622.36 $10,627.79 $-206.50
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $6.16 1,725 $10,626.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $6.34 1,725 $10,929.08 $10,930.87 +$303.08
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $6.15 1,777 $10,928.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.60 1,777 $11,728.20 $11,730.52 +$799.65
(+7.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $6.26 1,873 $11,724.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $6.17 1,873 $11,556.41 $11,562.51 $-168.01
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $6.11 1,892 $11,560.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $6.01 1,892 $11,380.38 $11,382.77 $-179.74
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
28 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.09 1,870 $11,378.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $6.08 1,870 $11,369.60 $11,373.42 $-9.35
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,373.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,373.42
Total Return: +13.73%
Back to Anchor