NVDA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 30 trades in period
-0.74%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,034.09
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$9,101.89
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
13.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.4
30-Day Momentum
25
+1.0%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,101.89
Current Value
$9,034.09
Period P&L
$-67.80
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
16 /
14
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-2.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
21.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$445,256.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-67.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-67.80
Gross Return
-0.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,101.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $189.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $189.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,092.02 |
$-9.87 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $188.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,245.86 |
+$153.84 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $190.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $188.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,153.70 |
$-92.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $191.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $189.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,062.28 |
$-91.42 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $185.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,123.52 |
+$61.24 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.75 | 50 | $8,987.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $177.76 | 50 | $8,888.00 | $9,024.02 |
$-99.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $185.16 | 48 | $8,887.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.99 | 48 | $8,927.52 | $9,063.62 |
+$39.60 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.01 | 49 | $9,016.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.08 | 49 | $8,921.92 | $8,969.29 |
$-94.33 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $182.79 | 49 | $8,956.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $180.56 | 49 | $8,847.44 | $8,859.77 |
$-109.52 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $184.34 | 48 | $8,848.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $182.03 | 48 | $8,737.39 | $8,749.08 |
$-110.69 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $182.09 | 48 | $8,740.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.44 | 48 | $8,757.12 | $8,766.12 |
+$17.04 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.82 | 49 | $8,713.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.98 | 49 | $8,720.78 | $8,773.71 |
+$7.59 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $177.24 | 49 | $8,684.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $175.34 | 49 | $8,591.66 | $8,680.60 |
$-93.11 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $175.10 | 49 | $8,579.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.88 | 49 | $8,667.36 | $8,768.31 |
+$87.71 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.47 | 49 | $8,647.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $174.03 | 49 | $8,527.47 | $8,648.63 |
$-119.68 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $168.59 | 51 | $8,597.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.75 | 51 | $8,606.25 | $8,657.04 |
+$8.41 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $170.04 | 50 | $8,502.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.74 | 50 | $8,787.00 | $8,942.04 |
+$285.00 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.08 | 51 | $8,776.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.24 | 51 | $9,039.49 | $9,205.45 |
+$263.41 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.14 | 52 | $9,159.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $174.04 | 52 | $9,049.89 | $9,096.06 |
$-109.39 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $181.46 | 50 | $9,073.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.01 | 50 | $9,100.50 | $9,123.31 |
+$27.25 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $188.28 | 48 | $9,037.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.13 | 48 | $8,934.24 | $9,020.11 |
$-103.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $194.41 | 46 | $8,943.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.72 | 46 | $9,049.12 | $9,126.14 |
+$106.03 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.05 | 46 | $9,064.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.92 | 46 | $9,196.32 | $9,258.16 |
+$132.02 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.42 | 46 | $9,219.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $198.41 | 46 | $9,127.09 | $9,165.93 |
$-92.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $200.74 | 45 | $9,033.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.05 | 45 | $9,047.25 | $9,179.88 |
+$13.95 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $201.61 | 45 | $9,072.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $199.31 | 45 | $8,968.95 | $9,076.38 |
$-103.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $209.31 | 43 | $9,000.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.70 | 43 | $9,017.10 | $9,093.10 |
+$16.72 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.21 | 43 | $8,996.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.49 | 43 | $9,136.86 | $9,233.92 |
+$140.82 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.24 | 44 | $9,162.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $203.64 | 44 | $8,960.16 | $9,031.39 |
$-202.53 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.42 | 45 | $8,973.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.48 | 45 | $8,976.60 | $9,034.09 |
+$2.70 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,034.09
Net Profit/Loss:
$-965.91
Total Return:
-9.66%