NVDA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 37 trades in period
+10.83%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,723.50
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$8,773.71
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
13.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 13.5
30-Day Momentum
29
+2.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.7
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,773.71
Current Value
$9,723.50
Period P&L
$949.79
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-2.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
23.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$677,906.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$949.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$949.79
Gross Return
+10.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.83%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,773.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $177.24 | 49 | $8,684.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $175.34 | 49 | $8,591.66 | $8,680.60 |
$-93.11 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $175.10 | 49 | $8,579.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.88 | 49 | $8,667.36 | $8,768.31 |
+$87.71 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.47 | 49 | $8,647.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $174.03 | 49 | $8,527.47 | $8,648.63 |
$-119.68 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $168.59 | 51 | $8,597.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.75 | 51 | $8,606.25 | $8,657.04 |
+$8.41 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $170.04 | 50 | $8,502.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.74 | 50 | $8,787.00 | $8,942.04 |
+$285.00 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.08 | 51 | $8,776.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.24 | 51 | $9,039.49 | $9,205.45 |
+$263.41 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.14 | 52 | $9,159.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $174.04 | 52 | $9,049.89 | $9,096.06 |
$-109.39 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $181.46 | 50 | $9,073.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.01 | 50 | $9,100.50 | $9,123.31 |
+$27.25 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $188.28 | 48 | $9,037.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.13 | 48 | $8,934.24 | $9,020.11 |
$-103.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $194.41 | 46 | $8,943.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.72 | 46 | $9,049.12 | $9,126.14 |
+$106.03 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.05 | 46 | $9,064.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.92 | 46 | $9,196.32 | $9,258.16 |
+$132.02 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.42 | 46 | $9,219.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $198.41 | 46 | $9,127.09 | $9,165.93 |
$-92.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $200.74 | 45 | $9,033.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.05 | 45 | $9,047.25 | $9,179.88 |
+$13.95 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $201.61 | 45 | $9,072.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $199.31 | 45 | $8,968.95 | $9,076.38 |
$-103.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $209.31 | 43 | $9,000.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.70 | 43 | $9,017.10 | $9,093.10 |
+$16.72 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.21 | 43 | $8,996.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.49 | 43 | $9,136.86 | $9,233.92 |
+$140.82 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.24 | 44 | $9,162.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $203.64 | 44 | $8,960.16 | $9,031.39 |
$-202.53 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.42 | 45 | $8,973.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.48 | 45 | $8,976.60 | $9,034.09 |
+$2.70 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $198.03 | 45 | $8,911.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.39 | 45 | $8,972.55 | $9,095.29 |
+$61.20 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $210.99 | 43 | $9,072.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.07 | 43 | $9,161.80 | $9,184.70 |
+$89.41 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.04 | 42 | $8,989.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.75 | 42 | $9,187.50 | $9,382.31 |
+$197.61 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $226.49 | 41 | $9,286.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.95 | 41 | $9,427.75 | $9,523.97 |
+$141.66 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.69 | 41 | $9,417.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.34 | 41 | $9,320.94 | $9,427.62 |
$-96.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $226.04 | 41 | $9,267.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $223.07 | 41 | $9,146.07 | $9,305.85 |
$-121.77 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $218.61 | 42 | $9,181.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.75 | 42 | $9,355.50 | $9,479.73 |
+$173.88 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.47 | 42 | $9,301.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $219.17 | 42 | $9,205.14 | $9,383.13 |
$-96.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $216.16 | 43 | $9,294.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.51 | 43 | $9,309.93 | $9,398.31 |
+$15.18 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.53 | 44 | $9,351.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $209.96 | 44 | $9,238.46 | $9,285.45 |
$-112.86 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $211.82 | 43 | $9,108.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.21 | 43 | $9,210.82 | $9,388.00 |
+$102.55 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $219.16 | 42 | $9,204.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.43 | 42 | $9,551.85 | $9,735.13 |
+$347.13 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.03 | 44 | $9,681.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $216.82 | 44 | $9,540.26 | $9,594.08 |
$-141.05 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $212.55 | 45 | $9,564.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.46 | 45 | $9,650.92 | $9,680.25 |
+$86.17 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $208.04 | 46 | $9,569.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.85 | 46 | $9,699.10 | $9,809.51 |
+$129.26 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.83 | 47 | $9,627.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $202.02 | 47 | $9,494.94 | $9,677.44 |
$-132.07 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $200.71 | 48 | $9,634.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.48 | 48 | $9,815.04 | $9,858.16 |
+$180.72 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $211.88 | 46 | $9,746.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.18 | 46 | $9,714.05 | $9,825.73 |
$-32.43 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $207.32 | 47 | $9,744.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $205.15 | 47 | $9,642.05 | $9,723.50 |
$-102.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,723.50
Net Profit/Loss:
$-276.50
Total Return:
-2.77%