PANW Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 37 trades in period
+4.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,586.23
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$12,955.96
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.6/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
41.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 41.6
30-Day Momentum
40
+8.0%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,955.96
Current Value
$13,586.23
Period P&L
$630.27
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
14 /
23
Best Trade
+11.30%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$950,649.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$630.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$630.27
Gross Return
+4.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,955.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $165.29 | 78 | $12,892.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $163.35 | 78 | $12,741.30 | $12,805.03 |
$-150.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:15pm ET | $158.38 | 80 | $12,670.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.20 | 80 | $12,816.00 | $12,950.63 |
+$145.60 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.47 | 84 | $12,807.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.33 | 84 | $12,375.72 | $12,518.87 |
$-431.76 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $157.26 | 79 | $12,423.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $155.68 | 79 | $12,299.11 | $12,394.45 |
$-124.42 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $159.88 | 77 | $12,310.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.93 | 77 | $12,391.61 | $12,475.30 |
+$80.85 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.00 | 77 | $12,320.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $158.15 | 77 | $12,177.55 | $12,332.85 |
$-142.45 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $161.72 | 76 | $12,290.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $159.85 | 76 | $12,148.60 | $12,190.73 |
$-142.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $161.06 | 75 | $12,079.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.54 | 75 | $13,090.87 | $13,202.11 |
+$1,011.38 (+8.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.73 | 77 | $13,069.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $167.60 | 77 | $12,905.20 | $13,038.10 |
$-164.01 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $155.04 | 84 | $13,023.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $153.35 | 84 | $12,881.40 | $12,895.72 |
$-142.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $161.49 | 79 | $12,757.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.58 | 79 | $12,922.82 | $13,060.83 |
+$165.11 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.19 | 79 | $12,971.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.47 | 79 | $13,309.13 | $13,398.94 |
+$338.11 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $167.56 | 79 | $13,237.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.61 | 79 | $13,162.19 | $13,323.89 |
$-75.05 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $175.73 | 75 | $13,179.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.37 | 75 | $13,152.38 | $13,296.52 |
$-27.37 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.73 | 76 | $13,203.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $171.43 | 76 | $13,028.68 | $13,121.72 |
$-174.80 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $174.46 | 75 | $13,084.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.16 | 75 | $13,287.37 | $13,324.59 |
+$202.87 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.92 | 72 | $13,170.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.52 | 72 | $12,925.44 | $13,079.79 |
$-244.80 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.08 | 73 | $13,072.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $176.91 | 73 | $12,914.43 | $12,921.38 |
$-158.41 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $178.55 | 72 | $12,855.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.63 | 72 | $13,077.01 | $13,142.43 |
+$221.05 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.76 | 71 | $12,975.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.60 | 71 | $12,822.60 | $12,989.07 |
$-153.36 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $196.43 | 66 | $12,964.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $194.20 | 66 | $12,817.20 | $12,841.56 |
$-147.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $204.98 | 62 | $12,708.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.00 | 62 | $12,896.00 | $13,028.80 |
+$187.24 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.13 | 61 | $12,939.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.04 | 61 | $12,995.44 | $13,084.61 |
+$55.81 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $236.72 | 55 | $13,019.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $233.82 | 55 | $12,860.10 | $12,925.11 |
$-159.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $242.34 | 53 | $12,843.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.20 | 53 | $12,624.60 | $12,705.95 |
$-219.16 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $243.68 | 52 | $12,671.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $241.16 | 52 | $12,540.32 | $12,574.91 |
$-131.04 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $246.56 | 51 | $12,574.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.46 | 51 | $12,314.46 | $12,314.81 |
$-260.10 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $259.41 | 47 | $12,192.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.46 | 47 | $12,147.85 | $12,270.39 |
$-44.42 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.42 | 49 | $12,025.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.10 | 49 | $12,205.90 | $12,450.61 |
+$180.22 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.32 | 48 | $12,303.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.28 | 48 | $13,693.44 | $13,840.93 |
+$1,390.32 (+11.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.97 | 47 | $13,581.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $279.96 | 47 | $13,158.12 | $13,417.46 |
$-423.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.93 | 48 | $13,148.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $270.40 | 48 | $12,979.44 | $13,248.02 |
$-169.44 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $275.19 | 48 | $13,209.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $272.40 | 48 | $13,075.20 | $13,114.10 |
$-133.92 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $266.59 | 49 | $13,062.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.09 | 49 | $12,989.41 | $13,040.60 |
$-73.50 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.52 | 50 | $12,926.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.34 | 50 | $13,067.00 | $13,181.35 |
+$140.75 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $274.58 | 48 | $13,179.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $280.44 | 48 | $13,461.12 | $13,462.63 |
+$281.28 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $276.27 | 48 | $13,261.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.85 | 48 | $13,384.80 | $13,586.23 |
+$123.60 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,586.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,586.23
Total Return:
+35.86%