Compendium › Anchor › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 25 trades in period

-3.02%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,984.62
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$11,327.02
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
10.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 32.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

54
+4.3%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.2 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,327.02
Current Value
$10,984.62
Period P&L
$-342.40
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
13 / 12
Best Trade
+1.62%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
23.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$461,796.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-342.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-342.40
Gross Return
-3.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,327.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $611.98 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $612.57 0 $0.00 $11,337.64 +$10.62
(+0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $607.60 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $600.95 0 $0.00 $11,217.94 $-119.70
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $600.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.26 0 $0.00 $11,224.42 +$6.48
(+0.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $600.25 18 $10,804.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $594.71 18 $10,704.78 $11,124.70 $-99.72
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $610.51 18 $10,989.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $609.54 18 $10,971.72 $11,107.24 $-17.46
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $602.99 18 $10,853.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $599.91 18 $10,798.38 $11,051.80 $-55.44
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET $600.04 18 $10,800.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $603.11 18 $10,855.98 $11,107.06 +$55.26
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $601.53 18 $10,827.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $595.46 18 $10,718.28 $10,997.80 $-109.26
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $588.84 18 $10,599.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $582.51 18 $10,485.18 $10,883.86 $-113.94
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $589.13 18 $10,604.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $584.83 18 $10,526.94 $10,806.46 $-77.40
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $588.19 18 $10,587.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $582.62 18 $10,487.16 $10,706.20 $-100.26
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $570.44 18 $10,267.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $564.46 18 $10,160.19 $10,598.47 $-107.73
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $559.77 18 $10,075.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $564.47 18 $10,160.46 $10,683.07 +$84.60
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $586.77 18 $10,561.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 18 $10,341.54 $10,462.84 $-220.23
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $586.45 17 $9,969.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $586.34 17 $9,967.78 $10,461.04 $-1.80
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $603.53 17 $10,260.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $606.26 17 $10,306.42 $10,507.45 +$46.41
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $611.41 17 $10,394.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $609.78 17 $10,366.26 $10,479.66 $-27.79
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $626.41 16 $10,022.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $629.37 16 $10,069.92 $10,527.02 +$47.36
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $635.40 16 $10,166.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $645.70 16 $10,331.12 $10,691.74 +$164.72
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $646.71 16 $10,347.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $647.99 16 $10,367.84 $10,712.22 +$20.48
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $652.25 16 $10,436.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $653.23 16 $10,451.76 $10,727.98 +$15.76
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $662.51 16 $10,600.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $663.62 16 $10,617.92 $10,745.74 +$17.76
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $657.45 16 $10,519.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $658.46 16 $10,535.36 $10,761.90 +$16.16
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $659.42 16 $10,550.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $669.08 16 $10,705.28 $10,916.46 +$154.56
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
25 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $673.74 16 $10,779.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $678.00 16 $10,848.00 $10,984.62 +$68.16
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,984.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$984.62
Total Return: +9.85%
Back to Anchor