RIOT Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 30 trades in period
+31.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,190.73
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$12,284.25
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
40.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 40.1
30-Day Momentum
71
+28.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
14
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.1
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,284.25
Current Value
$16,190.73
Period P&L
$3,906.48
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
12 /
18
Best Trade
+16.03%
Worst Trade
-2.98%
Avg Trade Return
+1.01%
Avg Hold Time
13h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$725,088.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,906.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,906.48
Gross Return
+31.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,284.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $14.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $14.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,354.21 |
+$69.96 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $14.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $14.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,129.57 |
$-224.64 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $14.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $14.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,251.88 |
+$122.31 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.08 | 812 | $12,244.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.63 | 812 | $11,879.56 | $11,886.48 |
$-365.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.71 | 866 | $11,874.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.81 | 866 | $12,825.46 | $12,837.09 |
+$950.61 (+8.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $14.82 | 865 | $12,823.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $14.57 | 865 | $12,607.37 | $12,620.84 |
$-216.25 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:10pm ET | $14.51 | 870 | $12,619.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.02 | 870 | $13,067.40 | $13,068.89 |
+$448.05 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $14.41 | 906 | $13,059.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.23 | 906 | $12,892.38 | $12,901.28 |
$-167.61 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.53 | 887 | $12,888.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.20 | 887 | $12,599.83 | $12,613.01 |
$-288.27 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $13.88 | 908 | $12,601.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.02 | 908 | $12,730.16 | $12,741.40 |
+$128.39 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $14.24 | 894 | $12,730.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $14.06 | 894 | $12,565.17 | $12,576.01 |
$-165.39 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $14.09 | 892 | $12,563.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.82 | 892 | $13,219.44 | $13,231.63 |
+$655.62 (+5.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.59 | 906 | $13,218.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.41 | 906 | $13,059.99 | $13,073.08 |
$-158.55 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $13.16 | 993 | $13,072.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $12.99 | 993 | $12,899.07 | $12,899.30 |
$-173.78 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $12.16 | 1,060 | $12,889.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $11.99 | 1,060 | $12,710.14 | $12,719.84 |
$-179.46 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $12.62 | 1,007 | $12,710.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $12.49 | 1,007 | $12,577.43 | $12,586.41 |
$-133.43 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $12.71 | 990 | $12,582.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.98 | 990 | $12,845.94 | $12,849.45 |
+$263.04 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.35 | 962 | $12,842.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.49 | 962 | $14,901.38 | $14,908.13 |
+$2,058.68 (+16.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $16.84 | 885 | $14,907.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $16.66 | 885 | $14,739.68 | $14,739.98 |
$-168.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $16.75 | 879 | $14,727.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.32 | 879 | $14,340.89 | $14,353.22 |
$-386.76 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $18.50 | 776 | $14,352.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $18.28 | 776 | $14,189.16 | $14,190.26 |
$-162.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.02 | 833 | $14,177.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.56 | 833 | $13,790.32 | $13,802.91 |
$-387.35 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $18.06 | 764 | $13,794.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $17.78 | 764 | $13,583.92 | $13,592.81 |
$-210.10 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $18.08 | 751 | $13,578.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.26 | 751 | $13,717.01 | $13,731.74 |
+$138.93 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $18.40 | 746 | $13,726.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $18.20 | 746 | $13,580.93 | $13,586.27 |
$-145.47 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $18.04 | 753 | $13,584.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.71 | 753 | $14,088.63 | $14,090.78 |
+$504.51 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.49 | 762 | $14,089.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $18.30 | 762 | $13,944.60 | $13,946.00 |
$-144.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.73 | 833 | $13,936.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $16.52 | 833 | $13,765.32 | $13,775.24 |
$-170.76 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $16.81 | 819 | $13,763.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.58 | 819 | $15,217.02 | $15,228.96 |
+$1,453.72 (+10.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.24 | 834 | $15,213.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 834 | $16,175.43 | $16,190.73 |
+$961.77 (+6.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,190.73
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,190.73
Total Return:
+61.91%