RIVN Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 32 trades in period
+1.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,406.30
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$6,324.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
9.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.6
30-Day Momentum
52
+9.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.4
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+43 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,866
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,324.26
Current Value
$6,406.30
Period P&L
$82.04
Max Drawdown
-39.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
12 /
20
Best Trade
+7.72%
Worst Trade
-2.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,925.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$82.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$82.04
Gross Return
+1.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,324.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $14.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $6,357.61 |
+$33.35 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $15.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $14.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $6,255.45 |
$-102.16 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $14.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $6,285.41 |
+$29.96 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.68 | 428 | $6,283.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.45 | 428 | $6,612.60 | $6,615.01 |
+$329.60 (+5.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $15.32 | 431 | $6,604.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.16 | 431 | $6,533.96 | $6,544.76 |
$-70.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.98 | 385 | $6,535.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $16.80 | 385 | $6,466.08 | $6,475.46 |
$-69.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $16.19 | 399 | $6,461.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.42 | 399 | $6,550.78 | $6,564.44 |
+$88.98 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.30 | 429 | $6,563.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $15.11 | 429 | $6,484.33 | $6,485.50 |
$-78.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $15.27 | 424 | $6,472.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.61 | 424 | $6,618.68 | $6,631.82 |
+$146.32 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $15.78 | 420 | $6,629.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $15.59 | 420 | $6,545.70 | $6,547.82 |
$-84.00 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.97 | 410 | $6,547.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.59 | 410 | $6,389.85 | $6,390.01 |
$-157.81 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $15.10 | 423 | $6,389.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $14.94 | 423 | $6,321.73 | $6,322.33 |
$-67.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $15.89 | 398 | $6,322.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.56 | 398 | $6,192.88 | $6,192.98 |
$-129.35 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $15.96 | 388 | $6,192.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.79 | 388 | $6,126.52 | $6,127.02 |
$-65.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $15.48 | 395 | $6,116.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $15.31 | 395 | $6,049.42 | $6,059.87 |
$-67.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $14.95 | 405 | $6,054.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.78 | 405 | $5,987.92 | $5,993.05 |
$-66.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.43 | 415 | $5,986.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $14.27 | 415 | $5,924.12 | $5,930.80 |
$-62.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $15.19 | 390 | $5,926.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $15.01 | 390 | $5,851.95 | $5,856.70 |
$-74.10 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $15.27 | 383 | $5,848.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 383 | $5,965.22 | $5,973.51 |
+$116.81 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.10 | 395 | $5,964.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.90 | 395 | $5,887.47 | $5,896.48 |
$-77.03 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $15.24 | 386 | $5,884.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $15.06 | 386 | $5,815.09 | $5,827.00 |
$-69.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $15.29 | 381 | $5,825.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.38 | 381 | $5,859.78 | $5,861.25 |
+$34.25 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.29 | 383 | $5,856.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.47 | 383 | $6,308.01 | $6,313.19 |
+$451.94 (+7.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $15.97 | 395 | $6,306.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.65 | 395 | $6,576.75 | $6,583.76 |
+$270.57 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $17.30 | 380 | $6,572.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.02 | 380 | $6,467.60 | $6,478.61 |
$-105.15 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.10 | 378 | $6,465.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.46 | 378 | $6,599.88 | $6,612.80 |
+$134.19 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.49 | 378 | $6,611.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $17.16 | 378 | $6,486.48 | $6,488.06 |
$-124.74 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $16.58 | 391 | $6,484.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $16.39 | 391 | $6,406.54 | $6,409.86 |
$-78.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $16.63 | 385 | $6,400.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.45 | 385 | $6,333.25 | $6,342.49 |
$-67.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.99 | 396 | $6,334.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.22 | 396 | $6,422.13 | $6,430.60 |
+$88.11 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.47 | 415 | $6,420.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $15.27 | 415 | $6,339.12 | $6,349.67 |
$-80.93 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $14.48 | 438 | $6,342.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.61 | 438 | $6,399.18 | $6,406.30 |
+$56.63 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,406.30
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,593.70
Total Return:
-35.94%