RIVN Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 38 trades in period
+3.77%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,560.51
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$6,322.33
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.3
30-Day Momentum
22
+2.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.0
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,322.33
Current Value
$6,560.51
Period P&L
$238.18
Max Drawdown
-39.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
12 /
26
Best Trade
+7.72%
Worst Trade
-2.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$488,245.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$238.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$238.18
Gross Return
+3.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,322.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $15.89 | 398 | $6,322.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.56 | 398 | $6,192.88 | $6,192.98 |
$-129.35 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $15.96 | 388 | $6,192.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.79 | 388 | $6,126.52 | $6,127.02 |
$-65.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $15.48 | 395 | $6,116.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $15.31 | 395 | $6,049.42 | $6,059.87 |
$-67.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $14.95 | 405 | $6,054.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.78 | 405 | $5,987.92 | $5,993.05 |
$-66.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.43 | 415 | $5,986.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $14.27 | 415 | $5,924.12 | $5,930.80 |
$-62.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $15.19 | 390 | $5,926.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $15.01 | 390 | $5,851.95 | $5,856.70 |
$-74.10 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $15.27 | 383 | $5,848.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 383 | $5,965.22 | $5,973.51 |
+$116.81 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.10 | 395 | $5,964.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.90 | 395 | $5,887.47 | $5,896.48 |
$-77.03 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $15.24 | 386 | $5,884.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $15.06 | 386 | $5,815.09 | $5,827.00 |
$-69.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $15.29 | 381 | $5,825.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.38 | 381 | $5,859.78 | $5,861.25 |
+$34.25 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.29 | 383 | $5,856.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.47 | 383 | $6,308.01 | $6,313.19 |
+$451.94 (+7.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $15.97 | 395 | $6,306.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.65 | 395 | $6,576.75 | $6,583.76 |
+$270.57 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $17.30 | 380 | $6,572.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.02 | 380 | $6,467.60 | $6,478.61 |
$-105.15 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.10 | 378 | $6,465.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.46 | 378 | $6,599.88 | $6,612.80 |
+$134.19 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.49 | 378 | $6,611.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $17.16 | 378 | $6,486.48 | $6,488.06 |
$-124.74 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $16.58 | 391 | $6,484.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $16.39 | 391 | $6,406.54 | $6,409.86 |
$-78.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $16.63 | 385 | $6,400.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.45 | 385 | $6,333.25 | $6,342.49 |
$-67.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.99 | 396 | $6,334.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.22 | 396 | $6,422.13 | $6,430.60 |
+$88.11 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.47 | 415 | $6,420.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $15.27 | 415 | $6,339.12 | $6,349.67 |
$-80.93 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $14.48 | 438 | $6,342.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.61 | 438 | $6,399.18 | $6,406.30 |
+$56.63 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.51 | 441 | $6,396.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.53 | 441 | $6,407.73 | $6,417.32 |
+$11.02 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.10 | 455 | $6,413.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.88 | 455 | $6,315.40 | $6,319.49 |
$-97.83 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $14.10 | 448 | $6,314.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.03 | 448 | $6,285.44 | $6,290.37 |
$-29.12 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.88 | 453 | $6,287.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.25 | 453 | $6,455.16 | $6,457.89 |
+$167.52 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.06 | 459 | $6,451.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.91 | 459 | $6,384.69 | $6,391.33 |
$-66.56 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.27 | 481 | $6,382.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.24 | 481 | $6,368.44 | $6,376.90 |
$-14.43 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.81 | 497 | $6,369.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.64 | 497 | $6,779.08 | $6,786.93 |
+$410.03 (+6.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $14.24 | 476 | $6,780.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.37 | 476 | $6,840.12 | $6,846.43 |
+$59.50 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $14.61 | 468 | $6,837.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.58 | 468 | $6,824.89 | $6,833.84 |
$-12.59 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $16.22 | 421 | $6,826.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.10 | 421 | $6,778.10 | $6,785.43 |
$-48.41 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.73 | 405 | $6,775.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.72 | 405 | $7,174.58 | $7,184.36 |
+$398.93 (+5.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.94 | 400 | $7,176.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.61 | 400 | $7,044.00 | $7,052.36 |
$-132.00 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $17.36 | 406 | $7,050.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $17.14 | 406 | $6,956.81 | $6,958.98 |
$-93.38 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $15.76 | 441 | $6,947.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.68 | 441 | $6,914.88 | $6,925.91 |
$-33.07 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.75 | 469 | $6,917.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.51 | 469 | $6,805.14 | $6,813.30 |
$-112.61 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $15.74 | 432 | $6,801.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $15.53 | 432 | $6,708.92 | $6,720.38 |
$-92.92 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $16.82 | 399 | $6,711.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $16.65 | 399 | $6,643.35 | $6,652.55 |
$-67.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $16.62 | 400 | $6,648.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $16.39 | 400 | $6,556.00 | $6,560.51 |
$-92.04 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,560.51
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,439.49
Total Return:
-34.39%