SMCI Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 42 trades in period
-16.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,900.63
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$7,103.29
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
11.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.6
30-Day Momentum
10
-11.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,103.29
Current Value
$5,900.63
Period P&L
$-1,202.66
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
12 /
30
Best Trade
+9.68%
Worst Trade
-8.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
15.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$572,024.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,202.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,202.66
Gross Return
-16.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,103.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.16 | 352 | $7,094.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.79 | 352 | $6,966.08 | $6,974.81 |
$-128.48 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $21.59 | 322 | $6,953.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $21.33 | 322 | $6,869.87 | $6,891.09 |
$-83.72 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $23.49 | 293 | $6,882.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.41 | 293 | $6,859.13 | $6,867.65 |
$-23.44 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $21.77 | 315 | $6,857.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $21.51 | 315 | $6,777.22 | $6,787.32 |
$-80.33 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $21.23 | 319 | $6,772.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $21.00 | 319 | $6,700.59 | $6,715.54 |
$-71.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.99 | 292 | $6,713.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $22.75 | 292 | $6,644.46 | $6,646.92 |
$-68.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $22.99 | 289 | $6,642.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.08 | 289 | $6,671.56 | $6,675.82 |
+$28.90 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.91 | 304 | $6,660.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.03 | 304 | $7,305.12 | $7,320.30 |
+$644.48 (+9.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.28 | 314 | $7,309.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.75 | 314 | $7,456.65 | $7,467.03 |
+$146.73 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.07 | 297 | $7,445.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.75 | 297 | $7,350.75 | $7,371.99 |
$-95.04 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.41 | 268 | $7,345.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $27.04 | 268 | $7,246.72 | $7,272.83 |
$-99.16 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.69 | 272 | $7,261.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.00 | 272 | $7,888.00 | $7,899.79 |
+$626.96 (+8.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.16 | 280 | $7,884.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.83 | 280 | $7,791.00 | $7,805.99 |
$-93.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $29.31 | 266 | $7,795.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $28.93 | 266 | $7,694.61 | $7,705.47 |
$-100.52 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.08 | 264 | $7,677.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 264 | $6,998.64 | $7,026.99 |
$-678.48 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $28.73 | 244 | $7,010.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.80 | 244 | $7,027.20 | $7,044.07 |
+$17.08 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 263 | $7,028.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 263 | $7,098.37 | $7,113.76 |
+$69.69 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.18 | 261 | $7,095.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.58 | 261 | $7,199.14 | $7,217.61 |
+$103.85 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $27.83 | 259 | $7,206.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $27.51 | 259 | $7,126.38 | $7,137.32 |
$-80.29 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $27.78 | 256 | $7,112.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $27.48 | 256 | $7,033.60 | $7,057.96 |
$-79.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.57 | 210 | $7,049.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $33.16 | 210 | $6,963.60 | $6,971.86 |
$-86.10 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $34.84 | 200 | $6,968.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.09 | 200 | $7,018.00 | $7,021.86 |
+$50.00 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.00 | 212 | $6,996.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $32.44 | 212 | $6,876.22 | $6,902.08 |
$-119.78 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $32.16 | 214 | $6,882.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $31.82 | 214 | $6,808.41 | $6,828.25 |
$-73.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $33.10 | 206 | $6,818.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $32.70 | 206 | $6,736.20 | $6,745.85 |
$-82.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $31.09 | 216 | $6,715.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.13 | 216 | $6,724.08 | $6,754.49 |
+$8.64 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $30.10 | 224 | $6,742.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $29.68 | 224 | $6,649.44 | $6,661.53 |
$-92.96 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $33.44 | 199 | $6,655.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.09 | 199 | $6,584.91 | $6,590.89 |
$-70.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $35.37 | 186 | $6,578.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.25 | 186 | $6,742.50 | $6,754.57 |
+$163.68 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $37.05 | 182 | $6,743.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.07 | 182 | $6,928.74 | $6,940.23 |
+$185.66 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $46.22 | 150 | $6,932.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $45.47 | 150 | $6,821.25 | $6,829.23 |
$-111.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $47.62 | 143 | $6,809.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.06 | 143 | $6,729.58 | $6,749.38 |
$-79.85 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.14 | 137 | $6,732.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.98 | 137 | $6,573.51 | $6,590.71 |
$-158.67 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $46.16 | 142 | $6,554.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $45.31 | 142 | $6,433.31 | $6,469.31 |
$-121.40 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $43.03 | 150 | $6,454.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $42.44 | 150 | $6,366.75 | $6,381.56 |
$-87.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $44.11 | 144 | $6,351.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $43.59 | 144 | $6,276.97 | $6,306.69 |
$-74.87 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.63 | 177 | $6,306.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $34.62 | 177 | $6,127.72 | $6,127.90 |
$-178.79 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.35 | 208 | $6,104.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $28.72 | 208 | $5,972.72 | $5,995.82 |
$-132.08 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $30.61 | 195 | $5,969.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $30.25 | 195 | $5,898.75 | $5,924.65 |
$-71.17 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $31.21 | 189 | $5,898.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $30.89 | 189 | $5,837.27 | $5,863.26 |
$-61.39 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $29.80 | 196 | $5,840.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $29.32 | 196 | $5,746.72 | $5,769.18 |
$-94.08 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.82 | 207 | $5,757.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.45 | 207 | $5,889.15 | $5,900.63 |
+$131.45 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,900.63
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,099.37
Total Return:
-40.99%