Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:33:11

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 29.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

28
+5.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.3 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,819.75
Current Value
$12,255.34
Period P&L
$435.59
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
16 / 21
Best Trade
+9.63%
Worst Trade
-9.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
18.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$888,473.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$435.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$435.59
Gross Return
+3.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,819.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $17.04 693 $11,808.72
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $17.06 693 $11,822.58 $11,833.61 +$13.86
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $17.11 691 $11,822.94
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $16.88 691 $11,660.63 $11,671.29 $-162.32
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET $16.22 719 $11,663.19
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $16.05 719 $11,536.36 $11,544.46 $-126.83
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $15.44 747 $11,534.73
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.28 747 $11,417.89 $11,427.63 $-116.83
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.06 758 $11,419.27
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 758 $11,726.26 $11,734.62 +$306.99
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.63 750 $11,722.42
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $15.18 750 $11,385.00 $11,397.20 $-337.42
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.14 706 $11,391.38
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $16.16 706 $11,408.96 $11,414.78 +$17.58
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.61 687 $11,411.07
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.40 687 $11,263.37 $11,267.07 $-147.71
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.18 696 $11,264.76
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.30 696 $11,344.80 $11,347.11 +$80.04
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $16.00 709 $11,344.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.54 709 $12,435.86 $12,438.97 +$1,091.86
(+9.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.38 676 $12,421.50
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.51 676 $13,188.76 $13,206.23 +$767.26
(+6.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $19.83 665 $13,190.27
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $19.62 665 $13,047.23 $13,063.19 $-143.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $19.39 673 $13,046.11
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $19.49 673 $13,116.77 $13,133.85 +$70.66
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET $18.92 694 $13,130.55
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $18.77 694 $13,026.38 $13,029.68 $-104.17
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $18.25 714 $13,026.93
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.46 714 $13,180.44 $13,183.19 +$153.51
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.30 720 $13,176.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $16.48 720 $11,865.60 $11,872.79 $-1,310.40
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.11 736 $11,857.03
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $15.94 736 $11,735.52 $11,751.28 $-121.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $16.55 709 $11,735.58
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 709 $11,663.05 $11,678.75 $-72.53
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
19 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.16 722 $11,667.52
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $15.94 722 $11,508.75 $11,519.98 $-158.77
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
20 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:15am ET $16.08 716 $11,516.86
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $16.29 716 $11,662.35 $11,665.47 +$145.49
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $15.77 739 $11,657.72
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $15.60 739 $11,528.40 $11,536.15 $-129.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
22 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.96 722 $11,523.12
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $16.05 722 $11,588.10 $11,601.13 +$64.98
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
23 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $15.67 740 $11,595.80
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $15.38 740 $11,377.50 $11,382.83 $-218.30
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
24 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $15.35 741 $11,374.35
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $15.59 741 $11,548.49 $11,556.96 +$174.13
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
25 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 746 $11,555.54
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $15.64 746 $11,667.44 $11,668.86 +$111.90
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $15.08 773 $11,656.84
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $15.58 773 $12,043.34 $12,055.36 +$386.50
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $15.52 776 $12,047.40
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 776 $12,807.88 $12,815.84 +$760.48
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $16.33 785 $12,815.13
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.12 785 $12,654.20 $12,654.92 $-160.92
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
29 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.35 689 $12,646.59
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.16 689 $12,508.80 $12,517.12 $-137.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.54 675 $12,514.50
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 675 $12,141.09 $12,143.71 $-373.41
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.09 710 $12,133.47
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $16.80 710 $11,924.45 $11,934.69 $-209.02
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $17.02 701 $11,934.52
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.95 701 $11,881.95 $11,882.12 $-52.57
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.48 721 $11,878.48
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $16.49 721 $11,889.29 $11,892.93 +$10.81
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.27 730 $11,877.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $16.08 730 $11,738.47 $11,754.30 $-138.63
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $15.88 740 $11,747.50
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $16.88 740 $12,491.20 $12,498.00 +$743.70
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $17.28 723 $12,493.37
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.17 723 $12,417.52 $12,422.16 $-75.84
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.79 698 $12,416.72
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $17.55 698 $12,249.90 $12,255.34 $-166.82
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,255.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,255.34
Total Return: +22.55%
Back to Anchor