SOXL Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 43 trades in period
-10.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,083.09
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$7,946.13
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
11.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.4
30-Day Momentum
10
-11.8%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,946.13
Current Value
$7,083.09
Period P&L
$-863.04
Max Drawdown
-30.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
10 /
33
Best Trade
+14.59%
Worst Trade
-4.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$702,868.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-863.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-863.04
Gross Return
-10.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,946.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $55.61 | 142 | $7,896.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $54.60 | 142 | $7,752.49 | $7,802.13 |
$-144.00 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $54.64 | 142 | $7,758.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $54.06 | 142 | $7,675.81 | $7,719.06 |
$-83.07 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $56.85 | 135 | $7,674.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.12 | 135 | $7,306.31 | $7,350.62 |
$-368.44 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.24 | 152 | $7,333.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.37 | 152 | $7,200.57 | $7,218.02 |
$-132.60 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $43.76 | 164 | $7,176.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $43.19 | 164 | $7,083.16 | $7,124.54 |
$-93.48 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $43.61 | 163 | $7,108.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 163 | $8,145.92 | $8,161.81 |
+$1,037.27 (+14.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.12 | 173 | $8,151.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $46.30 | 173 | $8,009.90 | $8,019.95 |
$-141.86 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 148 | $7,974.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.29 | 148 | $8,034.92 | $8,080.64 |
+$60.69 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $65.04 | 124 | $8,064.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.78 | 124 | $8,528.73 | $8,544.41 |
+$463.77 (+5.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $76.57 | 111 | $8,499.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.29 | 111 | $8,468.20 | $8,513.34 |
$-31.07 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.23 | 101 | $8,507.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $83.14 | 101 | $8,397.14 | $8,403.25 |
$-110.09 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $87.42 | 96 | $8,392.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.75 | 96 | $8,904.00 | $8,915.03 |
+$511.78 (+6.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $94.16 | 94 | $8,851.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $92.64 | 94 | $8,708.16 | $8,772.15 |
$-142.88 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $95.68 | 91 | $8,706.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.94 | 91 | $9,367.54 | $9,433.26 |
+$661.11 (+7.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $114.46 | 82 | $9,385.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $113.04 | 82 | $9,269.28 | $9,316.82 |
$-116.44 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $128.04 | 72 | $9,218.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.55 | 72 | $9,255.60 | $9,353.45 |
+$36.63 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.29 | 86 | $9,313.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $106.09 | 86 | $9,123.74 | $9,164.08 |
$-189.37 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $114.81 | 79 | $9,069.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET | $113.39 | 79 | $8,957.81 | $9,051.90 |
$-112.18 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $123.61 | 73 | $9,023.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.47 | 73 | $8,940.17 | $8,968.26 |
$-83.64 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $129.71 | 69 | $8,949.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $127.76 | 69 | $8,815.44 | $8,833.71 |
$-134.55 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $145.93 | 60 | $8,755.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $144.10 | 60 | $8,646.01 | $8,724.20 |
$-109.51 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.75 | 54 | $8,572.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $153.98 | 54 | $8,314.65 | $8,466.35 |
$-257.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $174.24 | 48 | $8,363.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.36 | 48 | $8,705.28 | $8,808.11 |
+$341.76 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.53 | 50 | $8,676.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $168.50 | 50 | $8,425.01 | $8,556.62 |
$-251.49 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $179.66 | 47 | $8,444.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.78 | 47 | $8,496.66 | $8,609.26 |
+$52.64 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.77 | 51 | $8,454.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.03 | 51 | $8,365.53 | $8,520.52 |
$-88.74 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $159.97 | 53 | $8,478.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $158.00 | 53 | $8,374.00 | $8,415.93 |
$-104.59 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.69 | 58 | $8,334.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $138.54 | 58 | $8,035.32 | $8,117.23 |
$-298.70 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $168.18 | 48 | $8,072.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $166.41 | 48 | $7,987.68 | $8,032.27 |
$-84.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $175.86 | 45 | $7,913.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $172.87 | 45 | $7,779.15 | $7,897.72 |
$-134.55 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $192.86 | 40 | $7,714.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $190.69 | 40 | $7,627.60 | $7,810.92 |
$-86.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $217.37 | 35 | $7,607.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $214.88 | 35 | $7,520.80 | $7,723.77 |
$-87.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $226.50 | 34 | $7,701.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.18 | 34 | $7,860.12 | $7,882.89 |
+$159.12 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.60 | 36 | $7,761.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $211.67 | 36 | $7,620.12 | $7,741.41 |
$-141.48 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $256.33 | 30 | $7,689.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.78 | 30 | $8,333.40 | $8,384.91 |
+$643.50 (+8.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.50 | 33 | $8,200.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $245.54 | 33 | $8,102.82 | $8,287.23 |
$-97.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $225.61 | 36 | $8,121.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $220.60 | 36 | $7,941.64 | $8,107.06 |
$-180.17 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $216.71 | 37 | $8,018.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $214.50 | 37 | $7,936.50 | $8,025.29 |
$-81.77 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $190.67 | 42 | $8,008.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $184.22 | 42 | $7,737.24 | $7,754.39 |
$-270.90 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $197.90 | 39 | $7,717.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $195.83 | 39 | $7,637.56 | $7,674.04 |
$-80.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $237.68 | 32 | $7,605.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $233.61 | 32 | $7,475.52 | $7,543.80 |
$-130.24 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.45 | 28 | $7,432.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $258.39 | 28 | $7,234.78 | $7,346.12 |
$-197.68 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $247.02 | 29 | $7,163.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $237.96 | 29 | $6,900.70 | $7,083.09 |
$-263.03 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,083.09
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,916.91
Total Return:
-29.17%