Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:33:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.4

30-Day Momentum

33
+3.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.1 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,079.34
Current Value
$11,450.27
Period P&L
$1,370.93
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 / 16
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-2.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$769,561.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,370.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,370.93
Gross Return
+13.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,079.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $472.82 20 $9,456.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $485.74 20 $9,714.80 $10,160.14 +$258.40
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $470.00 21 $9,870.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $497.24 21 $10,442.04 $10,732.18 +$572.04
(+5.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $488.26 21 $10,253.46
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $489.25 21 $10,274.25 $10,752.97 +$20.79
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $480.64 22 $10,574.19
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $486.57 22 $10,704.43 $10,883.21 +$130.24
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $496.31 21 $10,422.51
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $487.50 21 $10,237.50 $10,698.20 $-185.01
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $491.25 21 $10,316.25
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $482.54 21 $10,133.34 $10,515.29 $-182.91
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $483.51 21 $10,153.71
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $504.98 21 $10,604.58 $10,966.16 +$450.87
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $497.42 22 $10,943.24
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $500.23 22 $11,005.06 $11,027.98 +$61.82
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $493.47 22 $10,856.34
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $515.35 22 $11,337.70 $11,509.34 +$481.36
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $527.44 21 $11,076.24
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $529.56 21 $11,120.76 $11,553.86 +$44.52
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $527.47 21 $11,076.87
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 21 $10,971.24 $11,448.23 $-105.63
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $525.10 21 $11,027.20
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $528.43 21 $11,097.03 $11,518.06 +$69.83
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 24 $11,295.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:15am ET $462.58 24 $11,101.92 $11,324.02 $-194.04
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $472.04 23 $10,856.81
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $465.35 23 $10,703.05 $11,170.27 $-153.75
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $466.67 23 $10,733.41
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $466.29 23 $10,724.67 $11,161.53 $-8.74
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $462.40 24 $11,097.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $480.31 24 $11,527.44 $11,591.37 +$429.84
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $466.67 24 $11,200.08
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $466.84 24 $11,204.16 $11,595.45 +$4.08
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:45am ET $472.79 24 $11,346.96
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $473.40 24 $11,361.60 $11,610.09 +$14.64
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $466.57 24 $11,197.68
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $461.41 24 $11,073.84 $11,486.25 $-123.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
20 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:45am ET $462.09 24 $11,090.16
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:05am ET $455.36 24 $10,928.64 $11,324.73 $-161.52
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
21 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $459.36 24 $11,024.64
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $453.92 24 $10,894.08 $11,194.17 $-130.56
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
22 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:30am ET $452.60 24 $10,862.40
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $442.48 24 $10,619.64 $10,951.41 $-242.76
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $437.00 25 $10,925.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $442.07 25 $11,051.75 $11,078.16 +$126.75
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $440.00 25 $11,000.10
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $448.28 25 $11,207.00 $11,285.06 +$206.90
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
25 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $447.38 25 $11,184.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $445.31 25 $11,132.75 $11,233.31 $-51.75
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $448.24 25 $11,206.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $462.37 25 $11,559.25 $11,586.56 +$353.25
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
27 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $482.22 24 $11,573.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 24 $11,781.12 $11,794.40 +$207.84
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $489.20 24 $11,740.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $484.26 24 $11,622.24 $11,675.84 $-118.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $471.65 24 $11,319.72
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $476.85 24 $11,444.40 $11,800.52 +$124.68
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $474.86 24 $11,396.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $469.77 24 $11,274.48 $11,678.24 $-122.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $470.91 24 $11,301.84
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $474.59 24 $11,390.16 $11,766.56 +$88.32
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $488.79 24 $11,730.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $483.06 24 $11,593.47 $11,629.19 $-137.37
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $473.99 24 $11,375.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $469.10 24 $11,258.40 $11,511.83 $-117.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $471.43 24 $11,314.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $474.20 24 $11,380.80 $11,578.31 +$66.48
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $466.89 24 $11,205.36
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $461.55 24 $11,077.32 $11,450.27 $-128.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,450.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,450.27
Total Return: +14.50%
Back to Anchor