Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:30:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
10.5/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.1

30-Day Momentum

37
+3.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.7 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,399.95
Current Value
$11,394.98
Period P&L
$1,995.03
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
18 / 15
Best Trade
+9.33%
Worst Trade
-1.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$682,925.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,995.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,995.03
Gross Return
+21.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,399.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $276.83 33 $9,135.55
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $273.98 33 $9,041.34 $9,305.74 $-94.21
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $271.92 34 $9,245.28
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $275.89 34 $9,380.26 $9,440.72 +$134.98
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET $271.79 34 $9,240.91
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $268.92 34 $9,143.45 $9,343.26 $-97.46
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $257.11 36 $9,255.96
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $259.66 36 $9,347.76 $9,435.06 +$91.80
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $272.96 34 $9,280.64
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $272.71 34 $9,272.14 $9,426.56 $-8.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $281.53 33 $9,290.33
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 33 $10,157.07 $10,293.30 +$866.74
(+9.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $306.44 33 $10,112.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $306.28 33 $10,107.24 $10,288.02 $-5.28
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $308.21 33 $10,170.93
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $305.08 33 $10,067.64 $10,184.73 $-103.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $311.25 32 $9,960.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $312.99 32 $10,015.84 $10,240.57 +$55.84
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $312.82 32 $10,010.24
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $315.67 32 $10,101.28 $10,331.61 +$91.04
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $323.88 31 $10,040.28
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $323.57 31 $10,030.67 $10,322.00 $-9.61
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $348.75 29 $10,113.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $351.41 29 $10,190.82 $10,399.07 +$77.07
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $352.55 29 $10,223.95
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $357.00 29 $10,353.00 $10,528.12 +$129.05
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $353.51 29 $10,251.79
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET $349.65 29 $10,139.94 $10,416.27 $-111.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $367.17 28 $10,280.76
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $366.81 28 $10,270.68 $10,406.19 $-10.08
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $366.89 28 $10,272.78
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $372.27 28 $10,423.56 $10,556.97 +$150.78
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $368.09 28 $10,306.52
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $371.28 28 $10,395.84 $10,646.29 +$89.32
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $361.48 29 $10,483.06
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $366.91 29 $10,640.39 $10,803.62 +$157.33
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $373.08 28 $10,446.24
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $383.58 28 $10,740.10 $11,097.48 +$293.86
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:50am ET $399.35 27 $10,782.45
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $401.22 27 $10,832.94 $11,147.97 +$50.49
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
21 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $393.30 28 $11,012.48
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $390.00 28 $10,920.00 $11,055.49 $-92.48
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
22 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $392.99 28 $11,003.86
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $390.67 28 $10,938.76 $10,990.39 $-65.10
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
23 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $381.29 28 $10,675.98
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $382.04 28 $10,697.12 $11,011.53 +$21.14
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
24 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $384.83 28 $10,775.24
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:45am ET $379.52 28 $10,626.42 $10,862.71 $-148.82
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
25 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $382.38 28 $10,706.50
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $385.15 28 $10,784.20 $10,940.41 +$77.70
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $380.99 28 $10,667.72
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:30am ET $377.14 28 $10,559.92 $10,832.61 $-107.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:45am ET $379.82 28 $10,634.96
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $377.48 28 $10,569.30 $10,766.95 $-65.66
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $380.12 28 $10,643.36
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $396.33 28 $11,097.10 $11,220.69 +$453.74
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $401.03 27 $10,827.81
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $398.66 27 $10,763.82 $11,156.70 $-63.99
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $410.36 27 $11,079.72
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $413.14 27 $11,154.78 $11,231.76 +$75.06
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $404.17 27 $10,912.59
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $407.13 27 $10,992.51 $11,311.68 +$79.92
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $400.92 28 $11,225.62
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $408.14 28 $11,427.92 $11,513.98 +$202.30
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $406.98 28 $11,395.44
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $402.73 28 $11,276.44 $11,394.98 $-119.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,394.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,394.98
Total Return: +13.95%
Back to Anchor