Compendium › Anchor › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 24 trades in period

-5.00%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,445.61
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,995.18
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
10.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 25.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+1.3%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.8 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,823
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,995.18
Current Value
$10,445.61
Period P&L
$-549.57
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-1.59%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$452,218.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-549.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-549.57
Gross Return
-5.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,995.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $340.75 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET $341.75 0 $0.00 $11,027.18 +$32.00
(+0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $340.19 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $336.63 0 $0.00 $10,913.26 $-113.92
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $332.04 32 $10,625.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $328.35 32 $10,507.24 $10,795.38 $-117.88
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $334.77 32 $10,712.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $333.85 32 $10,683.20 $10,765.94 $-29.44
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $330.28 32 $10,568.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $330.02 32 $10,560.80 $10,757.94 $-8.00
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $329.20 32 $10,534.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $331.04 32 $10,593.28 $10,816.84 +$58.90
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $329.59 32 $10,546.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $326.21 32 $10,438.72 $10,708.68 $-108.16
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $323.82 33 $10,686.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $320.57 33 $10,578.81 $10,601.43 $-107.25
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $325.22 32 $10,407.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $321.85 32 $10,299.21 $10,493.60 $-107.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $325.31 32 $10,409.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $322.51 32 $10,320.32 $10,404.00 $-89.60
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $317.08 32 $10,146.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $313.80 32 $10,041.60 $10,299.04 $-104.96
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $312.35 32 $9,995.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $315.57 32 $10,098.24 $10,402.08 +$103.04
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $324.18 32 $10,373.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $319.04 32 $10,209.28 $10,237.60 $-164.48
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $324.19 31 $10,049.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $324.25 31 $10,051.75 $10,239.46 +$1.86
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $332.16 30 $9,964.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $333.04 30 $9,991.05 $10,265.71 +$26.25
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $335.52 30 $10,065.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $334.27 30 $10,028.10 $10,228.21 $-37.50
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $341.99 29 $9,917.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $343.14 29 $9,951.20 $10,261.70 +$33.49
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $344.61 29 $9,993.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $348.59 29 $10,109.04 $10,377.05 +$115.35
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $350.07 29 $10,151.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $351.14 29 $10,182.92 $10,408.08 +$31.03
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $350.35 29 $10,160.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $350.43 29 $10,162.61 $10,410.54 +$2.46
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $351.67 29 $10,198.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.85 29 $10,203.65 $10,415.90 +$5.36
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $350.78 29 $10,172.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $350.05 29 $10,151.31 $10,394.59 $-21.31
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $355.86 29 $10,319.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $355.02 29 $10,295.44 $10,370.09 $-24.50
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $356.63 29 $10,342.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $359.23 29 $10,417.67 $10,445.61 +$75.52
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,445.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$445.61
Total Return: +4.46%
Back to Anchor