Compendium › Anchor › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 28 trades in period

+9.60%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,572.66
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$10,558.71
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 28.8

30-Day Momentum

50
+5.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,862
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,558.71
Current Value
$11,572.66
Period P&L
$1,013.94
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 / 16
Best Trade
+9.10%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$540,950.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,013.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,013.94
Gross Return
+9.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,558.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $28.06 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $27.98 0 $0.00 $10,528.63 $-30.08
(-0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $27.17 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $27.33 0 $0.00 $10,589.39 +$60.76
(+0.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET $26.92 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET $27.06 0 $0.00 $10,642.45 +$53.06
(+0.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $29.11 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET $28.72 0 $0.00 $10,500.10 $-142.35
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET $32.97 318 $10,484.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $35.97 318 $11,438.46 $11,454.10 +$954.00
(+9.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $32.11 356 $11,431.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET $31.62 356 $11,256.72 $11,279.66 $-174.44
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET $32.87 343 $11,272.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $32.49 343 $11,144.07 $11,151.04 $-128.63
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $33.55 332 $11,138.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $33.10 332 $10,989.20 $11,001.64 $-149.40
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET $33.24 330 $10,968.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET $32.78 330 $10,819.05 $10,851.92 $-149.72
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET $31.65 342 $10,824.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $32.92 342 $11,260.01 $11,287.63 +$435.71
(+4.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET $34.90 323 $11,272.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:40pm ET $34.51 323 $11,146.73 $11,161.66 $-125.97
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.70 331 $11,154.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $33.35 331 $11,040.50 $11,047.46 $-114.20
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET $34.03 324 $11,027.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $33.99 324 $11,012.76 $11,032.88 $-14.58
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $36.19 304 $11,001.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $37.43 304 $11,378.72 $11,409.84 +$376.96
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 300 $11,409.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.21 300 $11,163.00 $11,163.84 $-246.00
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $34.96 319 $11,152.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET $34.60 319 $11,037.40 $11,049.00 $-114.84
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $35.43 311 $11,018.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $35.08 311 $10,908.33 $10,938.60 $-110.40
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $33.94 322 $10,930.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $34.65 322 $11,157.30 $11,165.61 +$227.01
(+2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 353 $11,137.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $31.88 353 $11,253.64 $11,282.06 +$116.45
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $30.22 373 $11,270.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $31.09 373 $11,598.43 $11,610.30 +$328.24
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 401 $11,604.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.03 401 $11,641.03 $11,646.39 +$36.09
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $29.38 396 $11,634.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $29.07 396 $11,511.72 $11,523.63 $-122.76
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $29.50 390 $11,505.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $29.30 390 $11,427.00 $11,445.59 $-78.04
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.16 392 $11,431.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $29.69 392 $11,638.48 $11,652.45 +$206.86
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $29.40 396 $11,642.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $29.54 396 $11,697.84 $11,707.89 +$55.44
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET $28.94 404 $11,691.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $28.55 404 $11,534.20 $11,550.33 $-157.56
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $28.78 401 $11,540.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $28.45 401 $11,408.45 $11,418.00 $-132.33
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
28 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $28.00 407 $11,393.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $28.38 407 $11,548.63 $11,572.66 +$154.66
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,572.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,572.66
Total Return: +15.73%
Back to Anchor