XLE Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 37 trades in period
-2.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,775.10
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$8,978.46
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
11.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.5
30-Day Momentum
9
-8.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,978.46
Current Value
$8,775.10
Period P&L
$-203.36
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+3.28%
Worst Trade
-2.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$686,958.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-203.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-203.36
Gross Return
-2.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.26%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,978.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $59.45 | 151 | $8,976.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 151 | $9,052.45 | $9,053.96 |
+$75.50 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.54 | 149 | $9,020.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.97 | 149 | $9,083.79 | $9,117.28 |
+$63.32 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $62.62 | 145 | $9,079.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.17 | 145 | $9,159.65 | $9,197.75 |
+$80.47 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $62.44 | 147 | $9,179.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:55pm ET | $61.76 | 147 | $9,078.72 | $9,097.05 |
$-100.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.76 | 154 | $9,049.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.17 | 154 | $9,265.41 | $9,312.65 |
+$215.60 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $59.03 | 157 | $9,268.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.87 | 157 | $9,399.59 | $9,443.92 |
+$131.27 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.80 | 166 | $9,428.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.22 | 166 | $9,664.34 | $9,679.46 |
+$235.54 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.20 | 169 | $9,666.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $56.62 | 169 | $9,567.94 | $9,580.60 |
$-98.86 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET | $57.13 | 167 | $9,540.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.35 | 167 | $9,411.28 | $9,451.17 |
$-129.43 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.56 | 170 | $9,446.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.96 | 170 | $9,513.20 | $9,518.32 |
+$67.15 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.39 | 174 | $9,464.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.77 | 174 | $9,356.00 | $9,410.11 |
$-108.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $55.38 | 169 | $9,359.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.27 | 169 | $9,340.63 | $9,391.52 |
$-18.59 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $56.38 | 166 | $9,358.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.91 | 166 | $9,447.06 | $9,480.33 |
+$88.81 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.87 | 166 | $9,440.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $56.24 | 166 | $9,335.01 | $9,374.92 |
$-105.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $56.78 | 165 | $9,369.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.79 | 165 | $9,535.35 | $9,540.75 |
+$165.83 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.88 | 162 | $9,538.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.16 | 162 | $9,421.92 | $9,424.11 |
$-116.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.13 | 159 | $9,401.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $58.37 | 159 | $9,280.83 | $9,303.27 |
$-120.84 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.18 | 157 | $9,291.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.09 | 157 | $9,277.13 | $9,289.14 |
$-14.13 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.46 | 161 | $9,251.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $56.78 | 161 | $9,141.58 | $9,179.66 |
$-109.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.35 | 165 | $9,133.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.91 | 165 | $9,225.15 | $9,271.24 |
+$91.58 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $57.08 | 162 | $9,246.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.53 | 162 | $9,319.86 | $9,344.14 |
+$72.90 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.65 | 162 | $9,339.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $57.06 | 162 | $9,244.53 | $9,249.37 |
$-94.77 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $57.65 | 160 | $9,224.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.60 | 160 | $9,375.20 | $9,400.33 |
+$150.96 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.76 | 159 | $9,342.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.68 | 159 | $9,648.12 | $9,706.40 |
+$306.07 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.02 | 159 | $9,702.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $60.35 | 159 | $9,596.37 | $9,600.59 |
$-105.81 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $59.63 | 161 | $9,600.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $58.88 | 161 | $9,479.68 | $9,479.84 |
$-120.75 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.84 | 161 | $9,473.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $58.21 | 161 | $9,371.01 | $9,377.61 |
$-102.23 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $57.19 | 163 | $9,322.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.47 | 163 | $9,367.02 | $9,421.85 |
+$44.24 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.63 | 166 | $9,400.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $56.00 | 166 | $9,296.17 | $9,317.44 |
$-104.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $57.56 | 161 | $9,267.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.37 | 161 | $9,236.57 | $9,286.85 |
$-30.59 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $59.10 | 157 | $9,279.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.55 | 157 | $9,192.35 | $9,199.71 |
$-87.14 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.31 | 157 | $9,153.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $57.71 | 157 | $9,060.47 | $9,106.29 |
$-93.42 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $58.28 | 156 | $9,090.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.08 | 156 | $9,060.48 | $9,075.87 |
$-30.42 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $58.83 | 154 | $9,059.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.92 | 154 | $9,072.91 | $9,089.73 |
+$13.86 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.71 | 160 | $9,072.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.45 | 160 | $8,872.00 | $8,888.93 |
$-200.80 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.18 | 161 | $8,883.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.13 | 161 | $8,875.93 | $8,880.88 |
$-8.05 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.01 | 164 | $8,857.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $53.37 | 164 | $8,751.86 | $8,775.10 |
$-105.78 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,775.10
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,224.90
Total Return:
-12.25%