Compendium › Anchor › XLF
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLF
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 26 trades in period

-1.55%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,323.78
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$9,470.76
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,841
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,470.76
Current Value
$9,323.78
Period P&L
$-146.99
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
9 / 17
Best Trade
+1.91%
Worst Trade
-1.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
22.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$425,826.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-146.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-146.99
Gross Return
-1.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,470.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $53.79 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.22 0 $0.00 $9,370.44 $-100.32
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $53.26 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $52.72 0 $0.00 $9,276.82 $-93.62
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $52.52 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $51.91 0 $0.00 $9,169.46 $-107.36
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.49 181 $9,139.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $49.95 181 $9,040.95 $9,070.82 $-98.64
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $49.66 182 $9,038.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $50.34 182 $9,161.88 $9,194.58 +$123.76
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $49.96 184 $9,192.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $49.35 184 $9,080.40 $9,082.34 $-112.24
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET $48.93 185 $9,052.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $49.31 185 $9,122.35 $9,152.64 +$70.30
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $49.26 185 $9,113.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 185 $9,216.70 $9,256.24 +$103.60
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $49.30 187 $9,219.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $48.76 187 $9,118.12 $9,155.26 $-100.98
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET $48.93 187 $9,149.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 187 $9,312.60 $9,317.95 +$162.69
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $48.87 190 $9,285.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 190 $9,462.00 $9,494.65 +$176.70
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $49.22 192 $9,450.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $48.64 192 $9,338.88 $9,383.29 $-111.36
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $48.54 193 $9,368.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $48.98 193 $9,453.14 $9,468.15 +$84.86
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $49.19 192 $9,444.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.80 192 $9,369.60 $9,393.27 $-74.88
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $49.85 188 $9,371.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 188 $9,329.50 $9,350.97 $-42.30
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $51.12 182 $9,302.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $50.99 182 $9,280.18 $9,328.22 $-22.75
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $51.24 182 $9,326.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $50.67 182 $9,221.03 $9,222.66 $-105.56
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $50.60 182 $9,209.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $51.56 182 $9,384.83 $9,398.29 +$175.63
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.26 179 $9,353.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $52.22 179 $9,347.38 $9,392.03 $-6.26
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $52.78 177 $9,341.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.43 177 $9,280.11 $9,330.96 $-61.07
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $52.65 177 $9,318.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $52.52 177 $9,296.04 $9,308.84 $-22.13
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $52.01 178 $9,257.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $51.46 178 $9,158.99 $9,210.05 $-98.79
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $51.49 178 $9,164.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $51.38 178 $9,145.64 $9,191.36 $-18.69
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $52.06 176 $9,163.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $52.19 176 $9,185.44 $9,213.36 +$22.00
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $51.47 179 $9,213.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $52.37 179 $9,374.23 $9,374.46 +$161.10
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.72 181 $9,361.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.44 181 $9,310.64 $9,323.78 $-50.68
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,323.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-676.22
Total Return: -6.76%
Back to Anchor