XLF Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 33 trades in period
-0.07%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,235.12
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,241.28
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
10.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.8
30-Day Momentum
11
-1.1%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,241.28
Current Value
$9,235.12
Period P&L
$-6.17
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
14 /
19
Best Trade
+1.91%
Worst Trade
-1.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$613,223.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6.17
Gross Return
-0.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,241.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $48.93 | 187 | $9,149.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.80 | 187 | $9,312.60 | $9,317.95 |
+$162.69 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.87 | 190 | $9,285.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.80 | 190 | $9,462.00 | $9,494.65 |
+$176.70 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.22 | 192 | $9,450.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.64 | 192 | $9,338.88 | $9,383.29 |
$-111.36 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET | $48.54 | 193 | $9,368.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.98 | 193 | $9,453.14 | $9,468.15 |
+$84.86 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $49.19 | 192 | $9,444.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.80 | 192 | $9,369.60 | $9,393.27 |
$-74.88 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $49.85 | 188 | $9,371.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.63 | 188 | $9,329.50 | $9,350.97 |
$-42.30 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.12 | 182 | $9,302.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.99 | 182 | $9,280.18 | $9,328.22 |
$-22.75 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.24 | 182 | $9,326.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.67 | 182 | $9,221.03 | $9,222.66 |
$-105.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.60 | 182 | $9,209.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.56 | 182 | $9,384.83 | $9,398.29 |
+$175.63 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $52.26 | 179 | $9,353.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.22 | 179 | $9,347.38 | $9,392.03 |
$-6.26 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $52.78 | 177 | $9,341.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.43 | 177 | $9,280.11 | $9,330.96 |
$-61.07 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $52.65 | 177 | $9,318.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.52 | 177 | $9,296.04 | $9,308.84 |
$-22.13 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.01 | 178 | $9,257.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.46 | 178 | $9,158.99 | $9,210.05 |
$-98.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $51.49 | 178 | $9,164.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.38 | 178 | $9,145.64 | $9,191.36 |
$-18.69 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $52.06 | 176 | $9,163.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.19 | 176 | $9,185.44 | $9,213.36 |
+$22.00 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.47 | 179 | $9,213.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.37 | 179 | $9,374.23 | $9,374.46 |
+$161.10 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.72 | 181 | $9,361.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.44 | 181 | $9,310.64 | $9,323.78 |
$-50.68 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $52.04 | 179 | $9,315.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.98 | 179 | $9,304.42 | $9,313.04 |
$-10.74 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.41 | 181 | $9,305.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.31 | 181 | $9,287.11 | $9,294.94 |
$-18.10 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.06 | 182 | $9,292.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.10 | 182 | $9,300.20 | $9,303.13 |
+$8.19 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.36 | 181 | $9,296.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.39 | 181 | $9,301.59 | $9,308.56 |
+$5.43 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $51.50 | 180 | $9,270.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.66 | 180 | $9,298.80 | $9,337.36 |
+$28.80 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.07 | 182 | $9,294.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.44 | 182 | $9,361.17 | $9,403.79 |
+$66.43 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $51.87 | 181 | $9,388.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.02 | 181 | $9,415.62 | $9,430.94 |
+$27.15 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.74 | 182 | $9,417.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.13 | 182 | $9,305.66 | $9,319.01 |
$-111.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $51.69 | 180 | $9,303.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.23 | 180 | $9,221.40 | $9,237.11 |
$-81.90 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.33 | 179 | $9,188.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.12 | 179 | $9,150.48 | $9,198.62 |
$-38.49 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $52.15 | 176 | $9,177.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.40 | 176 | $9,222.40 | $9,243.50 |
+$44.88 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $52.22 | 177 | $9,242.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.17 | 177 | $9,233.21 | $9,234.65 |
$-8.85 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.31 | 176 | $9,206.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.30 | 176 | $9,204.80 | $9,232.89 |
$-1.76 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $53.19 | 173 | $9,201.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.74 | 173 | $9,296.16 | $9,328.04 |
+$95.15 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $54.33 | 171 | $9,291.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.37 | 171 | $9,297.27 | $9,334.02 |
+$5.98 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $54.07 | 172 | $9,300.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.49 | 172 | $9,201.14 | $9,235.12 |
$-98.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,235.12
Net Profit/Loss:
$-764.88
Total Return:
-7.65%