Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 9.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 9.8

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.4%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,362
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,685.82
Current Value
$6,676.66
Period P&L
$-2,009.16
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
24 / 43
Best Trade
+4.54%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$649,529.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,009.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,009.16
Gross Return
-23.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,685.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:50am ET $355.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $351.62 0 $0.00 $8,600.26 $-85.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 11:15am ET $351.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 1:40pm ET $353.08 0 $0.00 $8,643.58 +$43.32
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $342.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $338.81 0 $0.00 $8,546.95 $-96.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:05am ET $327.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $330.13 0 $0.00 $8,608.58 +$61.63
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $336.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $337.61 0 $0.00 $8,639.08 +$30.50
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $328.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:15am ET $330.28 0 $0.00 $8,683.28 +$44.20
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $318.44 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET $314.95 0 $0.00 $8,589.18 $-94.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET $305.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:45am ET $302.35 0 $0.00 $8,495.24 $-93.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $298.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET $295.88 0 $0.00 $8,411.24 $-84.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $290.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $291.10 0 $0.00 $8,438.40 +$27.16
(+0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $289.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $291.39 0 $0.00 $8,488.42 +$50.02
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $297.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET $294.05 0 $0.00 $8,402.46 $-85.96
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $299.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $292.60 0 $0.00 $8,220.32 $-182.14
(-2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $285.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $287.43 0 $0.00 $8,261.90 +$41.58
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $291.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $293.28 0 $0.00 $8,303.76 +$41.86
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $278.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET $275.86 0 $0.00 $8,220.09 $-83.67
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $277.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $274.71 0 $0.00 $8,137.38 $-82.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $270.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $267.84 0 $0.00 $8,045.28 $-92.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:50am ET $267.44 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $264.69 0 $0.00 $7,962.78 $-82.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $257.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $253.32 0 $0.00 $7,825.38 $-137.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $258.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET $260.98 0 $0.00 $7,900.98 +$75.60
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET $279.78 28 $7,833.84
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.41 28 $7,879.48 $7,946.62 +$45.64
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $278.71 28 $7,803.88
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $278.02 28 $7,784.56 $7,927.30 $-19.32
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:15am ET $273.42 28 $7,655.76
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET $269.82 28 $7,554.96 $7,826.50 $-100.80
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $272.74 28 $7,636.72
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $269.56 28 $7,547.68 $7,737.46 $-89.04
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $254.82 30 $7,644.60
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $252.07 30 $7,562.10 $7,654.96 $-82.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $252.91 30 $7,587.30
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $254.66 30 $7,639.80 $7,707.46 +$52.50
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $253.84 30 $7,615.05
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $250.79 30 $7,523.55 $7,615.96 $-91.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $246.52 30 $7,395.60
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $242.54 30 $7,276.35 $7,496.71 $-119.25
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:00am ET $248.84 30 $7,465.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $243.19 30 $7,295.70 $7,327.21 $-169.50
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $237.67 30 $7,130.10
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $234.58 30 $7,037.40 $7,234.51 $-92.70
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $241.95 29 $7,016.55
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $236.38 29 $6,855.02 $7,072.98 $-161.53
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $241.57 29 $7,005.53
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $240.61 29 $6,977.69 $7,045.14 $-27.84
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $241.96 29 $7,016.84
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $239.40 29 $6,942.74 $6,971.04 $-74.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $240.61 28 $6,737.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $241.50 28 $6,762.00 $6,995.96 +$24.92
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $243.27 28 $6,811.56
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35am ET $240.62 28 $6,737.36 $6,921.76 $-74.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:25am ET $242.87 28 $6,800.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $240.21 28 $6,725.88 $6,847.42 $-74.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $228.02 30 $6,840.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $228.50 30 $6,855.00 $6,861.67 +$14.25
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $237.97 28 $6,663.16
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $241.99 28 $6,775.72 $6,974.23 +$112.56
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $243.51 28 $6,818.14
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 28 $7,043.40 $7,199.49 +$225.26
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET $249.93 28 $6,997.90
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $246.42 28 $6,899.76 $7,101.35 $-98.14
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:40am ET $247.48 28 $6,929.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $246.35 28 $6,897.69 $7,069.60 $-31.75
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $253.94 27 $6,856.38
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $241.20 27 $6,512.40 $6,725.62 $-343.98
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET $239.49 28 $6,705.72
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $240.71 28 $6,740.02 $6,759.92 +$34.30
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $243.37 27 $6,570.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $240.97 27 $6,506.19 $6,695.12 $-64.80
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $238.90 28 $6,689.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $249.74 28 $6,992.58 $6,998.50 +$303.38
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
47 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $249.37 28 $6,982.36
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $251.23 28 $7,034.30 $7,050.44 +$51.94
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
48 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $250.76 28 $7,021.28
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $253.02 28 $7,084.56 $7,113.72 +$63.28
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
49 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $250.33 28 $7,009.24
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $247.71 28 $6,935.74 $7,040.22 $-73.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
50 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $251.02 28 $7,028.56
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:50am ET $247.46 28 $6,928.88 $6,940.54 $-99.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
51 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:35am ET $242.74 28 $6,796.72
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $238.54 28 $6,679.12 $6,822.94 $-117.60
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
52 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $234.32 29 $6,795.28
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $242.65 29 $7,036.85 $7,064.51 +$241.57
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
53 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $253.90 27 $6,855.30
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $260.15 27 $7,023.94 $7,233.15 +$168.64
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held
54 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $250.27 28 $7,007.70
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $246.71 28 $6,907.88 $7,133.33 $-99.82
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
55 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $243.59 29 $7,064.11
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.35 29 $7,173.29 $7,242.51 +$109.18
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
56 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.40 30 $7,241.85
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $238.92 30 $7,167.60 $7,168.26 $-74.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
57 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $240.26 29 $6,967.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $239.57 29 $6,947.53 $7,148.25 $-20.01
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
58 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $254.74 28 $7,132.58
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $263.09 28 $7,366.52 $7,382.19 +$233.94
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $264.17 27 $7,132.46
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $261.52 27 $7,061.04 $7,310.77 $-71.42
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $256.34 28 $7,177.52
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $260.58 28 $7,296.24 $7,429.49 +$118.72
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $258.63 28 $7,241.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $255.12 28 $7,143.36 $7,331.29 $-98.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $244.66 29 $7,095.14
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $241.70 29 $7,009.30 $7,245.45 $-85.84
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $232.65 31 $7,212.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $227.99 31 $7,067.54 $7,100.99 $-144.46
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 35 $7,084.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $197.04 35 $6,896.23 $6,913.22 $-187.77
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $209.04 33 $6,898.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $206.79 33 $6,824.23 $6,839.14 $-74.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.77 33 $6,823.41
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $204.01 33 $6,732.33 $6,748.06 $-91.08
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $193.60 34 $6,582.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $191.50 34 $6,511.00 $6,676.66 $-71.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,676.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,323.34
Total Return: -33.23%
Back to Anchor