AXP Anchor's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 56 trades in period
-3.43%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,124.38
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$11,519.18
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
31.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 31.3
30-Day Momentum
21
+1.2%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.9
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,753
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,519.18
Current Value
$11,124.38
Period P&L
$-394.80
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
29 /
27
Best Trade
+3.57%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
14.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$482,803.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-394.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-394.80
Gross Return
-3.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,519.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $365.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 2:15pm ET | $365.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,540.03 |
+$20.85 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $366.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $363.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,425.02 |
$-115.01 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $372.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $372.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,429.07 |
+$4.05 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $370.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:40pm ET | $366.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,310.87 |
$-118.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $354.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:20pm ET | $350.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,188.19 |
$-122.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $335.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:10am ET | $336.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,210.46 |
+$22.27 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $349.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $345.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,087.42 |
$-123.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $355.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $358.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,186.21 |
+$98.79 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $362.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:50am ET | $364.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,242.46 |
+$56.25 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $370.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $366.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,129.96 |
$-112.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:10am ET | $364.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:50am ET | $361.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,018.96 |
$-111.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:35pm ET | $363.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:05pm ET | $365.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,072.51 |
+$53.55 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $382.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:50pm ET | $381.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,057.50 |
$-15.01 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $381.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 2:55pm ET | $382.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,076.82 |
+$19.32 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $381.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:40pm ET | $381.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,072.76 |
$-4.06 (-0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $373.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $375.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,127.85 |
+$55.09 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $376.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $374.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,056.80 |
$-71.05 (-0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $377.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $378.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,102.62 |
+$45.82 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $379.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $380.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,128.00 |
+$25.38 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $379.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $381.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,183.97 |
+$55.97 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $352.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $355.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,269.06 |
+$85.09 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $356.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,467.61 |
+$198.55 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $356.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $352.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,350.97 |
$-116.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $358.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $360.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,405.22 |
+$54.25 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $360.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $362.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,441.34 |
+$36.12 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $357.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $358.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,473.18 |
+$31.84 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $348.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $350.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,521.50 |
+$48.32 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $350.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $353.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,597.18 |
+$75.68 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $354.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $350.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,473.02 |
$-124.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $355.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $357.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,539.95 |
+$66.93 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $356.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $358.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,606.67 |
+$66.72 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $363.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,747.72 |
+$141.05 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $361.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,614.44 |
$-133.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $339.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $339.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,624.13 |
+$9.69 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.35 | 39 | $11,596.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.11 | 39 | $11,470.48 | $11,497.96 |
$-126.17 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $303.69 | 37 | $11,236.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.05 | 37 | $11,212.85 | $11,474.28 |
$-23.68 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.36 | 38 | $11,413.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.02 | 38 | $11,552.95 | $11,613.55 |
+$139.27 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $300.34 | 38 | $11,412.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $297.01 | 38 | $11,286.38 | $11,487.01 |
$-126.54 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $301.59 | 38 | $11,460.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.52 | 38 | $11,343.76 | $11,370.35 |
$-116.66 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $292.26 | 38 | $11,105.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.20 | 38 | $11,217.60 | $11,482.26 |
+$111.91 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $301.92 | 38 | $11,473.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.23 | 38 | $11,370.93 | $11,380.04 |
$-102.22 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $300.07 | 37 | $11,102.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.47 | 37 | $11,043.39 | $11,321.02 |
$-59.02 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.52 | 38 | $11,305.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $293.74 | 38 | $11,162.31 | $11,177.76 |
$-143.26 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $299.32 | 37 | $11,074.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.19 | 37 | $11,070.03 | $11,172.95 |
$-4.81 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $300.70 | 37 | $11,126.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.71 | 37 | $10,941.27 | $10,988.14 |
$-184.81 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $303.04 | 36 | $10,909.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.00 | 36 | $10,872.00 | $10,950.70 |
$-37.44 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $316.89 | 34 | $10,774.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.16 | 34 | $10,681.48 | $10,858.09 |
$-92.61 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $315.48 | 34 | $10,726.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.97 | 34 | $10,572.89 | $10,704.66 |
$-153.43 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $327.49 | 32 | $10,479.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.18 | 32 | $10,533.76 | $10,758.74 |
+$54.08 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.86 | 32 | $10,523.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.34 | 32 | $10,570.88 | $10,806.10 |
+$47.36 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.36 | 32 | $10,571.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.49 | 32 | $10,639.68 | $10,874.26 |
+$68.16 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $332.63 | 32 | $10,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.49 | 32 | $10,607.84 | $10,838.10 |
$-36.16 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $314.67 | 34 | $10,698.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.02 | 34 | $10,642.68 | $10,782.17 |
$-55.93 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $317.79 | 33 | $10,487.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.84 | 33 | $10,422.64 | $10,717.74 |
$-64.43 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.71 | 34 | $10,666.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.92 | 34 | $11,047.28 | $11,098.88 |
+$381.14 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $319.51 | 34 | $10,863.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.26 | 34 | $10,888.84 | $11,124.38 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,124.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,124.38
Total Return:
+11.24%