Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.2

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.1%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.8 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,972.98
Current Value
$8,339.22
Period P&L
$-633.76
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
24 / 37
Best Trade
+8.00%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
12.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$754,128.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-633.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-633.76
Gross Return
-7.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,972.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:05pm ET $297.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $293.23 0 $0.00 $8,848.78 $-124.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $292.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:40am ET $293.74 0 $0.00 $8,899.78 +$51.00
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $295.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $296.14 0 $0.00 $8,905.18 +$5.40
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $299.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $297.08 0 $0.00 $8,835.58 $-69.60
(-0.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $308.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $308.61 0 $0.00 $8,826.62 $-8.96
(-0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $308.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $304.38 0 $0.00 $8,725.12 $-101.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $301.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $303.43 0 $0.00 $8,768.94 +$43.82
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $298.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $297.31 0 $0.00 $8,747.19 $-21.75
(-0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET $290.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $292.00 0 $0.00 $8,779.59 +$32.40
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $293.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $295.22 0 $0.00 $8,830.19 +$50.60
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $314.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $311.19 0 $0.00 $8,740.31 $-89.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $302.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $304.28 0 $0.00 $8,796.45 +$56.14
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $305.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $301.92 0 $0.00 $8,686.69 $-109.76
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:45am ET $293.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $294.83 0 $0.00 $8,721.20 +$34.51
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $289.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $286.29 0 $0.00 $8,621.45 $-99.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $266.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $263.36 0 $0.00 $8,515.05 $-106.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $255.84 33 $8,442.72
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $252.29 33 $8,325.73 $8,398.07 $-116.98
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $256.84 32 $8,218.88
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET $254.25 32 $8,136.00 $8,315.19 $-82.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $250.84 33 $8,277.72
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $250.45 33 $8,264.85 $8,302.32 $-12.87
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $247.25 33 $8,159.25
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $248.11 33 $8,187.48 $8,330.55 +$28.23
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $246.60 33 $8,137.64
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $250.00 33 $8,250.00 $8,442.91 +$112.36
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $254.14 33 $8,386.62
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $251.52 33 $8,300.16 $8,356.45 $-86.46
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $249.00 33 $8,217.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $246.15 33 $8,123.11 $8,262.56 $-93.89
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $249.10 33 $8,220.30
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $246.49 33 $8,134.17 $8,176.43 $-86.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $240.34 34 $8,171.42
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $243.51 34 $8,279.34 $8,284.35 +$107.92
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $240.80 34 $8,187.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $238.65 34 $8,114.10 $8,211.25 $-73.10
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $238.77 34 $8,118.18
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $241.32 34 $8,205.05 $8,298.12 +$86.87
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $240.43 34 $8,174.79
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $242.32 34 $8,238.88 $8,362.21 +$64.09
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $246.76 33 $8,143.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $244.77 33 $8,077.41 $8,296.54 $-65.67
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $245.17 33 $8,090.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET $242.71 33 $8,009.27 $8,215.20 $-81.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $236.27 34 $8,033.18
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $238.02 34 $8,092.85 $8,274.87 +$59.67
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET $232.75 35 $8,146.25
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $239.16 35 $8,370.58 $8,499.20 +$224.33
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $245.13 34 $8,334.25
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $249.01 34 $8,466.34 $8,631.29 +$132.09
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET $253.32 34 $8,612.88
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $254.57 34 $8,655.30 $8,673.70 +$42.41
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $252.16 34 $8,573.44
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $254.00 34 $8,636.00 $8,736.26 +$62.56
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 37 $8,540.34
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $227.51 37 $8,418.05 $8,613.97 $-122.29
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $227.53 37 $8,418.61
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $225.22 37 $8,333.14 $8,528.50 $-85.47
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $227.83 37 $8,429.71
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $230.44 37 $8,526.28 $8,625.07 +$96.57
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $230.61 37 $8,532.57
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $227.95 37 $8,434.14 $8,526.64 $-98.43
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $230.46 36 $8,296.74
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 36 $8,460.00 $8,689.90 +$163.26
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held
41 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $231.74 37 $8,574.38
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $229.13 37 $8,477.99 $8,593.51 $-96.39
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
42 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.99 37 $8,472.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.73 37 $8,463.01 $8,584.02 $-9.49
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
43 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $229.91 37 $8,506.67
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $227.20 37 $8,406.22 $8,483.56 $-100.46
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
44 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $228.10 37 $8,439.70
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:00am ET $225.79 37 $8,354.23 $8,398.09 $-85.47
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
45 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:20am ET $220.45 38 $8,377.10
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $216.63 38 $8,231.94 $8,252.93 $-145.16
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
46 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $220.04 37 $8,141.30
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $219.52 37 $8,122.24 $8,233.88 $-19.05
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held
47 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $218.41 37 $8,081.17
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $225.50 37 $8,343.50 $8,496.21 +$262.33
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
48 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $221.26 38 $8,407.97
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $216.93 38 $8,243.34 $8,331.57 $-164.64
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
49 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $241.16 34 $8,199.44
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $260.46 34 $8,855.64 $8,987.77 +$656.20
(+8.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
50 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 36 $8,898.57
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $250.96 36 $9,034.56 $9,123.76 +$135.99
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
51 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $264.35 34 $8,987.73
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $261.30 34 $8,884.20 $9,020.23 $-103.53
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $322.65 27 $8,711.55
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 27 $8,562.38 $8,871.06 $-149.17
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $311.63 28 $8,725.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $307.88 28 $8,620.64 $8,766.06 $-105.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET $304.35 28 $8,521.80
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $301.07 28 $8,429.96 $8,674.22 $-91.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $282.82 30 $8,484.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $286.43 30 $8,592.90 $8,782.52 +$108.30
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $280.14 31 $8,684.34
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $277.12 31 $8,590.72 $8,688.90 $-93.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $276.13 31 $8,559.88
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $273.31 31 $8,472.61 $8,601.63 $-87.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $274.49 31 $8,509.34
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $275.71 31 $8,547.16 $8,639.45 +$37.82
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $270.14 31 $8,374.34
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $267.04 31 $8,278.09 $8,543.19 $-96.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:10am ET $269.86 31 $8,365.66
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $266.08 31 $8,248.48 $8,426.01 $-117.18
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 33 $8,265.18
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $247.83 33 $8,178.39 $8,339.22 $-86.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,339.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,660.78
Total Return: -16.61%
Back to Anchor