Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:31:06

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.5

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,869
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,466.47
Current Value
$8,719.99
Period P&L
$-746.48
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
27 / 33
Best Trade
+2.02%
Worst Trade
-2.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
15.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$728,236.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-746.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-746.48
Gross Return
-7.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,466.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET $1,072.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $1,079.85 0 $0.00 $9,528.59 +$62.12
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,054.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $1,061.57 0 $0.00 $9,592.40 +$63.81
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $1,068.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $1,048.07 0 $0.00 $9,432.28 $-160.12
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:15am ET $1,051.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,057.67 0 $0.00 $9,478.20 +$45.92
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $1,090.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET $1,078.84 0 $0.00 $9,384.20 $-94.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $1,071.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $1,079.06 0 $0.00 $9,444.04 +$59.84
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,066.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET $1,071.19 0 $0.00 $9,478.80 +$34.76
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,070.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,074.05 0 $0.00 $9,505.44 +$26.64
(+0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $1,062.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:30am ET $1,062.32 0 $0.00 $9,503.28 $-2.16
(-0.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET $1,012.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $1,018.26 0 $0.00 $9,554.58 +$51.30
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $1,023.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET $1,028.28 0 $0.00 $9,596.22 +$41.64
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $1,034.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET $1,024.00 0 $0.00 $9,502.89 $-93.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $1,073.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:45am ET $1,080.51 0 $0.00 $9,562.70 +$59.81
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $1,045.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:35am ET $1,052.81 0 $0.00 $9,630.83 +$68.13
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET $1,037.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,025.61 0 $0.00 $9,526.52 $-104.31
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,018.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:55am ET $1,019.76 0 $0.00 $9,540.29 +$13.77
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:10am ET $1,047.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,035.89 0 $0.00 $9,436.02 $-104.27
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $971.72 9 $8,745.44
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $987.00 9 $8,883.00 $9,573.58 +$137.56
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET $998.12 9 $8,983.08
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $996.08 9 $8,964.72 $9,555.22 $-18.36
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $991.33 9 $8,921.93
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $980.38 9 $8,823.42 $9,456.71 $-98.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:10am ET $991.64 9 $8,924.72
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $992.85 9 $8,935.69 $9,467.69 +$10.98
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $974.24 9 $8,768.16
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $963.00 9 $8,667.00 $9,366.53 $-101.16
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $909.00 10 $9,090.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $915.39 10 $9,153.90 $9,430.43 +$63.90
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $916.01 10 $9,160.05
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $904.63 10 $9,046.25 $9,316.63 $-113.80
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $912.03 10 $9,120.25
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $902.70 10 $9,027.00 $9,223.38 $-93.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $910.70 10 $9,106.95
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $913.25 10 $9,132.50 $9,248.93 +$25.55
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $894.39 10 $8,943.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $885.05 10 $8,850.50 $9,155.53 $-93.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $886.92 10 $8,869.20
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $894.46 10 $8,944.58 $9,230.91 +$75.38
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $961.21 9 $8,650.85
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $940.00 9 $8,460.00 $9,040.06 $-190.85
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $928.72 9 $8,358.49
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $922.00 9 $8,298.00 $8,979.57 $-60.49
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $956.79 9 $8,611.11
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $947.50 9 $8,527.50 $8,895.96 $-83.61
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $939.69 9 $8,457.21
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $934.65 9 $8,411.86 $8,850.61 $-45.35
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $921.77 9 $8,295.93
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $922.16 9 $8,299.44 $8,854.12 +$3.51
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $906.58 9 $8,159.22
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $919.93 9 $8,279.37 $8,974.27 +$120.15
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $917.47 9 $8,257.19
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $912.08 9 $8,208.72 $8,925.80 $-48.47
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET $915.73 9 $8,241.61
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $925.40 9 $8,328.56 $9,012.74 +$86.94
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $900.42 10 $9,004.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $889.48 10 $8,894.80 $8,903.34 $-109.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $883.13 10 $8,831.30
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $873.99 10 $8,739.90 $8,811.95 $-91.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $862.98 10 $8,629.80
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $854.00 10 $8,540.00 $8,722.15 $-89.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $937.90 9 $8,441.06
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $947.49 9 $8,527.41 $8,808.50 +$86.35
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
41 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $956.83 9 $8,611.43
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $975.00 9 $8,775.00 $8,972.07 +$163.57
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
42 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $986.76 9 $8,880.84
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $985.50 9 $8,869.50 $8,960.73 $-11.34
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
43 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $967.59 9 $8,708.27
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:05am ET $951.80 9 $8,566.20 $8,818.66 $-142.07
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
44 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:50am ET $981.78 8 $7,854.24
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $971.20 8 $7,769.60 $8,734.02 $-84.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
45 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $992.76 8 $7,942.08
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $992.01 8 $7,936.08 $8,728.02 $-6.00
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
46 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.06 8 $8,120.48
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $1,001.75 8 $8,014.00 $8,621.54 $-106.48
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
47 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $1,004.14 8 $8,033.16
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,001.13 8 $8,009.00 $8,597.38 $-24.16
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
48 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,010.95 8 $8,087.60
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,024.33 8 $8,194.64 $8,704.42 +$107.04
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
49 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,038.26 8 $8,306.08
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,047.07 8 $8,376.56 $8,774.90 +$70.48
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
50 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,061.11 8 $8,488.88
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,071.17 8 $8,569.36 $8,855.38 +$80.48
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
51 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:50am ET $1,127.71 7 $7,893.97
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,125.41 7 $7,877.87 $8,839.28 $-16.10
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $1,087.44 8 $8,699.56
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $1,076.42 8 $8,611.32 $8,751.04 $-88.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,065.34 8 $8,522.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,060.74 8 $8,485.92 $8,714.24 $-36.80
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,133.12 7 $7,931.84
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,120.90 7 $7,846.30 $8,628.70 $-85.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,135.73 7 $7,950.14
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,158.66 7 $8,110.62 $8,789.18 +$160.48
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:45am ET $1,152.00 7 $8,064.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $1,139.82 7 $7,978.77 $8,703.95 $-85.23
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,142.10 7 $7,994.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $1,141.88 7 $7,993.13 $8,702.38 $-1.57
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $1,159.28 7 $8,114.96
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:30am ET $1,147.42 7 $8,031.91 $8,619.33 $-83.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,128.52 7 $7,899.61
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $1,136.13 7 $7,952.91 $8,672.63 +$53.30
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,114.28 7 $7,799.93
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,121.04 7 $7,847.28 $8,719.99 +$47.36
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,719.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,280.01
Total Return: -12.80%
Back to Anchor