Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:33:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 29.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

35
+5.0%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.4 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,005
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,051.73
Current Value
$12,905.87
Period P&L
$1,854.14
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
26 / 45
Best Trade
+9.67%
Worst Trade
-4.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,205,117.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,854.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,854.14
Gross Return
+16.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,051.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET $10.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $10.40 0 $0.00 $11,175.36 +$123.63
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $9.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET $9.64 0 $0.00 $11,033.72 $-141.64
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET $9.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 12:10pm ET $9.47 0 $0.00 $10,911.03 $-122.69
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:10pm ET $9.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:35pm ET $9.40 0 $0.00 $10,795.87 $-115.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $10.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $10.48 0 $0.00 $10,883.37 +$87.50
(+0.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $10.52 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $10.38 0 $0.00 $10,743.75 $-139.62
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $10.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $9.93 0 $0.00 $10,607.79 $-135.96
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:10am ET $10.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $10.35 0 $0.00 $10,706.02 +$98.23
(+0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $10.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $10.73 0 $0.00 $10,594.79 $-111.23
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $10.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $11.06 0 $0.00 $10,681.64 +$86.85
(+0.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $10.63 0 $0.00 $10,922.99 +$241.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET $10.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $10.46 0 $0.00 $10,718.60 $-204.39
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $10.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET $10.57 0 $0.00 $10,810.67 +$92.07
(+0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $9.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $10.02 0 $0.00 $10,925.12 +$114.45
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $10.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET $10.58 0 $0.00 $10,998.27 +$73.15
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $10.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $9.90 0 $0.00 $10,863.67 $-134.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $9.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $9.26 0 $0.00 $11,012.30 +$148.63
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $8.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $8.64 0 $0.00 $10,805.89 $-206.41
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $7.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $7.66 0 $0.00 $10,639.33 $-166.56
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $7.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $7.99 0 $0.00 $10,732.94 +$93.61
(+0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $7.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $7.56 0 $0.00 $10,877.03 +$144.09
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $7.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:50am ET $7.59 0 $0.00 $11,004.45 +$127.42
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $8.45 1,301 $10,999.95
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $8.37 1,301 $10,889.37 $10,893.86 $-110.59
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $8.38 1,299 $10,886.92
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $8.69 1,299 $11,288.31 $11,295.25 +$401.39
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET $8.53 1,323 $11,291.80
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET $8.41 1,323 $11,133.04 $11,136.49 $-158.76
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $8.52 1,306 $11,133.65
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,306 $12,119.68 $12,122.52 +$986.03
(+8.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $9.39 1,291 $12,116.04
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:55am ET $9.28 1,291 $11,980.35 $11,986.84 $-135.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET $9.13 1,313 $11,981.13
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $9.04 1,313 $11,869.52 $11,875.23 $-111.61
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,374 $11,871.36
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $8.52 1,374 $11,699.61 $11,703.48 $-171.75
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $8.95 1,306 $11,695.23
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $8.81 1,306 $11,512.39 $11,520.64 $-182.84
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $9.03 1,276 $11,516.54
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $8.92 1,276 $11,381.92 $11,386.02 $-134.62
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET $8.43 1,351 $11,382.18
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.33 1,351 $11,253.83 $11,257.67 $-128.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.22 1,369 $11,253.18
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $8.14 1,369 $11,136.82 $11,141.30 $-116.37
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $8.75 1,273 $11,138.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $8.64 1,273 $10,992.36 $10,994.91 $-146.39
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $7.73 1,422 $10,987.51
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $8.15 1,422 $11,590.72 $11,598.12 +$603.21
(+5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $7.76 1,495 $11,595.37
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $7.64 1,495 $11,429.27 $11,432.03 $-166.09
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:25am ET $8.15 1,401 $11,425.15
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $8.06 1,401 $11,292.06 $11,298.94 $-133.09
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $8.96 1,261 $11,298.43
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.83 1,261 $11,134.50 $11,135.01 $-163.93
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $8.60 1,294 $11,128.53
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,294 $12,163.60 $12,170.08 +$1,035.07
(+9.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $9.40 1,294 $12,170.07
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $9.73 1,294 $12,597.09 $12,597.10 +$427.02
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.31 1,353 $12,589.67
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $9.19 1,353 $12,440.83 $12,448.27 $-148.83
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET $10.68 1,165 $12,442.20
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $10.57 1,165 $12,314.17 $12,320.24 $-128.03
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $10.65 1,156 $12,311.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $11.68 1,156 $13,502.08 $13,510.92 +$1,190.68
(+9.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 1,195 $13,507.92
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $11.19 1,195 $13,366.08 $13,369.07 $-141.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $11.36 1,177 $13,366.37
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $11.14 1,177 $13,105.90 $13,108.60 $-260.47
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $11.94 1,098 $13,104.63
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $11.75 1,098 $12,903.37 $12,907.34 $-201.26
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $11.98 1,077 $12,902.46
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.81 1,077 $12,724.75 $12,729.64 $-177.70
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $11.64 1,093 $12,722.41
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $11.56 1,093 $12,635.08 $12,642.31 $-87.33
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 1,173 $12,633.21
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $10.65 1,173 $12,492.33 $12,501.43 $-140.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $10.36 1,206 $12,500.19
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 1,206 $13,404.69 $13,405.93 +$904.50
(+7.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
51 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $12.13 1,105 $13,398.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $11.99 1,105 $13,254.47 $13,262.28 $-143.65
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
52 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $11.52 1,151 $13,253.77
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $11.98 1,151 $13,788.98 $13,797.49 +$535.21
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
53 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $12.73 1,083 $13,786.59
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $12.57 1,083 $13,618.72 $13,629.63 $-167.86
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
54 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $12.97 1,050 $13,618.61
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $12.82 1,050 $13,459.32 $13,470.34 $-159.29
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
55 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $13.44 1,001 $13,458.44
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $12.83 1,001 $12,842.83 $12,854.73 $-615.61
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
56 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:50am ET $12.36 1,039 $12,847.23
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $12.48 1,039 $12,971.91 $12,979.41 +$124.68
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
57 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $12.85 1,010 $12,978.50
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $12.47 1,010 $12,594.70 $12,595.61 $-383.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
58 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $12.00 1,049 $12,588.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $11.85 1,049 $12,425.41 $12,433.02 $-162.59
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
59 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $11.76 1,057 $12,430.32
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $11.62 1,057 $12,282.66 $12,285.36 $-147.66
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
60 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $13.22 929 $12,276.92
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.24 929 $12,299.96 $12,308.40 +$23.04
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
61 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $13.90 885 $12,297.08
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $13.75 885 $12,168.75 $12,180.07 $-128.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
62 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $14.15 861 $12,178.85
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $13.95 861 $12,010.86 $12,012.09 $-167.98
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
63 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $13.65 879 $12,002.74
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $13.86 879 $12,184.70 $12,194.04 +$181.95
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $14.07 866 $12,184.62
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $14.57 866 $12,619.35 $12,628.77 +$434.73
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $13.99 902 $12,618.98
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $13.81 902 $12,456.62 $12,466.41 $-162.36
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $13.38 931 $12,456.78
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 931 $12,177.29 $12,186.92 $-279.49
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $13.71 888 $12,174.39
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.06 888 $12,480.84 $12,493.37 +$306.45
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $13.17 948 $12,485.16
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $13.03 948 $12,352.44 $12,360.65 $-132.72
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $12.82 964 $12,353.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $13.70 964 $13,206.80 $13,213.69 +$853.04
(+6.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $14.75 895 $13,201.16
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $14.60 895 $13,067.00 $13,079.53 $-134.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $14.30 914 $13,065.63
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $14.10 914 $12,891.97 $12,905.87 $-173.66
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,905.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,905.87
Total Return: +29.06%
Back to Anchor