MCD Anchor's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 50 trades in period
+0.40%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,643.99
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$9,605.09
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
12.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.0
30-Day Momentum
11
-1.5%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,879
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,605.09
Current Value
$9,643.99
Period P&L
$38.90
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
30 /
20
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-1.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$445,116.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$38.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$38.90
Gross Return
+0.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,605.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 12:35pm ET | $302.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 2:30pm ET | $299.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,509.92 |
$-95.17 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:35pm ET | $299.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $299.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,507.13 |
$-2.79 (-0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $297.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $297.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,534.81 |
+$27.68 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $306.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:05am ET | $303.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,439.18 |
$-95.63 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:15pm ET | $304.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $304.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,429.73 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:55pm ET | $306.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $308.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,499.03 |
+$69.30 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $308.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:15pm ET | $309.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,545.23 |
+$46.20 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $306.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $301.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,415.34 |
$-129.89 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $300.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $301.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,445.57 |
+$30.23 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $309.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $309.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,431.02 |
$-14.55 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 2:25pm ET | $310.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $312.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,491.32 |
+$60.30 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:40am ET | $309.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $309.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,497.62 |
+$6.30 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET | $309.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $310.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,525.82 |
+$28.20 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $316.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,515.32 |
$-10.50 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $315.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $316.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,522.07 |
+$6.75 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $301.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $302.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,551.36 |
+$29.29 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $304.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $306.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,606.54 |
+$55.18 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $307.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $308.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,637.23 |
+$30.69 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $305.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $306.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,678.15 |
+$40.92 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $303.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,728.99 |
+$50.84 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $310.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $312.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,769.91 |
+$40.92 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $312.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,811.27 |
+$41.36 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $312.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $313.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,836.33 |
+$25.06 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $315.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $317.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,886.08 |
+$49.75 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $324.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $326.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,946.34 |
+$60.26 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $324.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $321.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,837.77 |
$-108.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $332.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $328.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,729.31 |
$-108.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $323.82 | 30 | $9,714.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.90 | 30 | $9,777.15 | $9,791.93 |
+$62.62 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.29 | 29 | $9,520.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.95 | 29 | $9,481.55 | $9,753.07 |
$-38.86 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.25 | 30 | $9,697.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.69 | 30 | $9,740.70 | $9,796.27 |
+$43.20 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $326.95 | 29 | $9,481.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.83 | 29 | $9,535.93 | $9,850.65 |
+$54.38 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.52 | 30 | $9,705.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $320.24 | 30 | $9,607.20 | $9,752.25 |
$-98.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $314.20 | 31 | $9,740.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET | $310.90 | 31 | $9,637.90 | $9,649.80 |
$-102.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $310.12 | 31 | $9,613.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.88 | 31 | $9,699.13 | $9,735.21 |
+$85.41 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.27 | 31 | $9,494.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.38 | 31 | $9,621.78 | $9,862.47 |
+$127.26 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $310.95 | 31 | $9,639.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.97 | 31 | $9,609.07 | $9,831.94 |
$-30.53 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $309.79 | 31 | $9,603.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.39 | 31 | $9,622.24 | $9,850.69 |
+$18.75 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $306.44 | 32 | $9,806.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.00 | 32 | $9,824.00 | $9,868.61 |
+$17.92 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.50 | 32 | $9,808.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.76 | 32 | $9,912.16 | $9,972.77 |
+$104.16 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $305.03 | 32 | $9,760.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.44 | 32 | $9,774.08 | $9,985.89 |
+$13.12 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.48 | 32 | $9,839.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $304.39 | 32 | $9,740.48 | $9,887.17 |
$-98.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.78 | 32 | $9,688.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.93 | 32 | $9,725.76 | $9,923.97 |
+$36.80 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $305.43 | 32 | $9,773.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.97 | 32 | $9,855.04 | $10,005.25 |
+$81.28 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $311.46 | 32 | $9,966.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $307.83 | 32 | $9,850.40 | $9,888.93 |
$-116.32 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $303.39 | 32 | $9,708.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.25 | 32 | $9,672.00 | $9,852.29 |
$-36.64 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $303.07 | 32 | $9,698.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.47 | 32 | $9,679.04 | $9,833.09 |
$-19.20 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.54 | 33 | $9,818.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $294.46 | 33 | $9,717.34 | $9,731.78 |
$-101.31 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $293.95 | 33 | $9,700.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.19 | 33 | $9,609.27 | $9,640.70 |
$-91.08 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $292.60 | 32 | $9,363.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.15 | 32 | $9,444.80 | $9,722.46 |
+$81.76 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $286.58 | 33 | $9,457.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $284.20 | 33 | $9,378.67 | $9,643.99 |
$-78.47 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,643.99
Net Profit/Loss:
$-356.01
Total Return:
-3.56%