MSFT Anchor's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 49 trades in period
-12.78%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,108.00
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,579.57
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
13.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.0
30-Day Momentum
11
-1.6%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,286
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,579.57
Current Value
$9,108.00
Period P&L
$-1,352.27
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
22 /
27
Best Trade
+1.92%
Worst Trade
-3.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
12.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$409,628.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,352.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,352.27
Gross Return
-12.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,579.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $509.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $503.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,460.27 |
$-119.30 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET | $499.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 1:40pm ET | $499.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,459.17 |
$-1.10 (-0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $503.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 12:40pm ET | $503.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,469.97 |
+$10.80 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 12:55pm ET | $507.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:00pm ET | $502.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,367.67 |
$-102.30 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $505.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $508.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,418.47 |
+$50.80 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $488.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $491.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,493.02 |
+$74.55 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $489.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $483.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,383.51 |
$-109.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $471.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:20am ET | $474.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,460.51 |
+$77.00 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $469.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $471.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,523.54 |
+$63.03 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:20pm ET | $477.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $477.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,527.72 |
+$4.18 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $477.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:45pm ET | $478.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,569.08 |
+$41.36 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $474.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:35pm ET | $475.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,598.03 |
+$28.95 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $480.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $475.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,491.33 |
$-106.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $476.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $478.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,544.79 |
+$53.46 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $470.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $470.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,553.92 |
+$9.13 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $462.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $459.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,505.41 |
$-48.51 (-0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $457.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $458.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,536.87 |
+$31.46 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $447.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $442.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,427.16 |
$-109.71 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $432.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $425.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,271.64 |
$-155.52 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $433.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $435.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,323.62 |
+$51.98 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $425.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,115.18 |
$-208.44 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $415.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $410.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,005.26 |
$-109.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $402.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $398.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,907.10 |
$-98.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $395.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $396.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,931.16 |
+$24.06 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $417.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $413.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,832.72 |
$-98.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $399.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $401.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,861.40 |
+$28.68 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $400.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $400.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,879.88 |
+$18.48 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $410.76 | 24 | $9,858.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.27 | 24 | $9,726.50 | $9,748.14 |
$-131.74 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $404.66 | 24 | $9,711.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.15 | 24 | $9,747.60 | $9,783.88 |
+$35.74 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $402.64 | 24 | $9,663.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.07 | 24 | $9,625.68 | $9,746.20 |
$-37.68 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $397.99 | 24 | $9,551.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.74 | 24 | $9,593.76 | $9,788.20 |
+$42.00 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.21 | 24 | $9,509.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $392.15 | 24 | $9,411.60 | $9,690.76 |
$-97.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $387.54 | 25 | $9,688.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.83 | 25 | $9,645.75 | $9,648.01 |
$-42.75 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $385.19 | 25 | $9,629.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.88 | 25 | $9,547.00 | $9,565.26 |
$-82.75 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET | $372.77 | 25 | $9,319.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.03 | 25 | $9,275.75 | $9,521.64 |
$-43.62 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.72 | 26 | $9,404.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $357.53 | 26 | $9,295.78 | $9,412.70 |
$-108.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $362.76 | 25 | $9,068.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $358.50 | 25 | $8,962.50 | $9,306.32 |
$-106.38 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $369.77 | 25 | $9,244.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.58 | 25 | $9,189.50 | $9,251.69 |
$-54.63 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $370.80 | 24 | $8,899.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.46 | 24 | $8,891.04 | $9,243.53 |
$-8.16 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $377.73 | 24 | $9,065.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $373.95 | 24 | $8,974.80 | $9,152.69 |
$-90.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $369.83 | 24 | $8,875.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.34 | 24 | $8,960.16 | $9,236.95 |
+$84.26 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $390.51 | 23 | $8,981.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.00 | 23 | $9,154.00 | $9,409.22 |
+$172.27 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $417.85 | 22 | $9,192.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.78 | 22 | $9,345.16 | $9,561.68 |
+$152.46 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $421.35 | 22 | $9,269.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $416.83 | 22 | $9,170.26 | $9,462.24 |
$-99.44 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $424.51 | 22 | $9,339.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.78 | 22 | $9,389.16 | $9,512.16 |
+$49.92 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.14 | 22 | $9,220.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $414.73 | 22 | $9,124.17 | $9,415.36 |
$-96.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $421.71 | 22 | $9,277.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.60 | 22 | $9,319.20 | $9,456.94 |
+$41.58 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.02 | 22 | $9,328.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.24 | 22 | $9,025.28 | $9,153.89 |
$-303.05 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $413.61 | 22 | $9,099.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $411.52 | 22 | $9,053.42 | $9,108.00 |
$-45.89 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,108.00
Net Profit/Loss:
$-892.00
Total Return:
-8.92%