Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.6%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,741.47
Current Value
$7,022.77
Period P&L
$-718.69
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
30 / 34
Best Trade
+4.47%
Worst Trade
-2.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$697,022.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-718.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-718.69
Gross Return
-9.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,741.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:15am ET $49.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $48.25 0 $0.00 $7,542.20 $-199.27
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET $47.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:50am ET $47.78 0 $0.00 $7,522.67 $-19.53
(-0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $48.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.52 0 $0.00 $7,545.92 +$23.25
(+0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $48.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $48.25 0 $0.00 $7,564.02 +$18.10
(+0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $47.59 0 $0.00 $7,606.16 +$42.14
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET $47.44 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.96 0 $0.00 $7,528.54 $-77.62
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $48.19 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.46 0 $0.00 $7,570.66 +$42.12
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.37 0 $0.00 $7,617.06 +$46.40
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $49.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET $49.85 0 $0.00 $7,661.43 +$44.37
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:35am ET $48.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $48.28 0 $0.00 $7,678.92 +$17.49
(+0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $48.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $48.47 0 $0.00 $7,693.93 +$15.01
(+0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET $46.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $47.19 0 $0.00 $7,732.92 +$38.99
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $48.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $48.50 0 $0.00 $7,808.59 +$75.67
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.06 0 $0.00 $7,852.60 +$44.01
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $48.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $49.09 0 $0.00 $7,895.80 +$43.20
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $49.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $50.37 0 $0.00 $7,955.07 +$59.27
(+0.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $49.64 0 $0.00 $7,976.67 +$21.60
(+0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $49.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET $50.26 0 $0.00 $8,023.57 +$46.90
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $50.16 159 $7,975.44
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $52.40 159 $8,331.60 $8,379.73 +$356.16
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:00am ET $53.36 157 $8,377.52
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $52.83 157 $8,293.53 $8,295.74 $-83.99
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.39 164 $8,263.96
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $51.23 164 $8,401.72 $8,433.50 +$137.76
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:35am ET $53.06 158 $8,383.48
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $53.09 158 $8,388.22 $8,438.24 +$4.74
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $53.36 158 $8,430.88
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET $52.81 158 $8,343.98 $8,351.34 $-86.90
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $52.12 160 $8,339.10
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $53.38 160 $8,540.00 $8,552.23 +$200.90
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $55.76 153 $8,531.28
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $55.05 153 $8,422.65 $8,443.60 $-108.63
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 152 $8,443.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $54.90 152 $8,344.80 $8,344.80 $-98.80
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET $56.26 148 $8,326.48
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $54.67 148 $8,091.16 $8,109.48 $-235.32
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET $59.61 136 $8,106.96
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.91 136 $8,147.76 $8,150.28 +$40.80
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 135 $8,093.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $59.34 135 $8,010.90 $8,067.93 $-82.35
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $55.94 144 $8,055.07
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET $55.33 144 $7,967.52 $7,980.38 $-87.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $55.37 144 $7,973.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.22 144 $7,951.68 $7,958.78 $-21.60
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $55.54 143 $7,942.22
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $54.87 143 $7,846.41 $7,862.97 $-95.81
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $50.64 155 $7,848.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $50.67 155 $7,854.62 $7,869.00 +$6.03
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $49.27 159 $7,833.93
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.10 159 $7,965.90 $8,000.97 +$131.97
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $47.91 167 $8,000.97
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 167 $7,920.81 $7,920.81 $-80.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET $46.30 171 $7,917.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $45.82 171 $7,835.20 $7,838.71 $-82.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $45.24 173 $7,826.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $44.26 173 $7,657.03 $7,669.22 $-169.49
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $43.97 174 $7,650.76
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $43.58 174 $7,583.79 $7,602.25 $-66.97
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $43.81 173 $7,578.78
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $43.73 173 $7,565.01 $7,588.48 $-13.77
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.49 174 $7,567.26
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $42.96 174 $7,475.04 $7,496.26 $-92.22
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.94 174 $7,471.56
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $43.45 174 $7,560.30 $7,585.00 +$88.74
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET $43.34 175 $7,584.50
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $42.93 175 $7,512.75 $7,513.25 $-71.75
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
43 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $41.77 179 $7,476.83
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $41.35 179 $7,400.76 $7,437.18 $-76.07
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
44 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:40am ET $41.60 178 $7,404.82
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $41.60 178 $7,404.80 $7,437.16 $-0.02
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
45 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $40.57 183 $7,424.31
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 183 $7,329.15 $7,342.00 $-95.16
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
46 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:35am ET $39.44 186 $7,335.84
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $39.44 186 $7,334.91 $7,341.07 $-0.93
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
47 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $39.01 188 $7,333.88
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:55am ET $38.60 188 $7,255.86 $7,263.05 $-78.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
48 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $39.72 182 $7,229.04
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:25pm ET $39.30 182 $7,152.60 $7,186.61 $-76.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $38.09 188 $7,160.92
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 188 $7,149.64 $7,175.33 $-11.28
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held
50 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $38.49 186 $7,159.14
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $38.75 186 $7,207.50 $7,223.69 +$48.36
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
51 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $39.73 181 $7,191.13
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $39.24 181 $7,103.34 $7,135.90 $-87.79
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
52 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $38.64 184 $7,109.76
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $38.99 184 $7,174.16 $7,200.30 +$64.40
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
53 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $37.84 190 $7,189.60
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $37.43 190 $7,111.70 $7,122.40 $-77.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
54 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $37.32 190 $7,090.82
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $37.13 190 $7,054.70 $7,086.28 $-36.12
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
55 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $36.82 192 $7,069.44
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $36.47 192 $7,002.24 $7,019.08 $-67.20
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:25am ET $36.39 192 $6,986.88
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $35.91 192 $6,895.39 $6,927.59 $-91.49
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $35.97 192 $6,906.24
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $36.13 192 $6,936.96 $6,958.31 +$30.72
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $36.68 189 $6,932.80
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $36.31 189 $6,862.12 $6,887.62 $-70.69
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $38.15 180 $6,866.98
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 180 $6,881.40 $6,902.04 +$14.42
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $38.25 180 $6,885.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $37.77 180 $6,798.60 $6,815.64 $-86.40
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $39.28 173 $6,794.58
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $40.67 173 $7,035.91 $7,056.97 +$241.33
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $38.78 181 $7,019.18
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $38.31 181 $6,934.11 $6,971.90 $-85.07
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $36.49 191 $6,969.55
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $36.52 191 $6,975.32 $6,977.67 +$5.77
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:15am ET $36.98 188 $6,952.24
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.22 188 $6,997.34 $7,022.77 +$45.10
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,022.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,977.23
Total Return: -29.77%
Back to Anchor