XLE Anchor's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 50 trades in period
+4.57%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,289.14
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$8,807.62
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
12.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.3
30-Day Momentum
10
-0.2%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,508
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,807.62
Current Value
$9,289.14
Period P&L
$402.13
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
28 /
22
Best Trade
+2.50%
Worst Trade
-1.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$443,952.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$402.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$402.13
Gross Return
+4.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,807.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $43.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,887.01 |
+$79.39 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $44.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $44.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,936.51 |
+$49.50 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:25am ET | $45.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,976.40 |
+$39.89 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 2:35pm ET | $45.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:50am ET | $45.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,970.46 |
$-5.94 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:50pm ET | $45.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $45.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,877.87 |
$-92.59 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $45.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $44.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,781.34 |
$-96.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $44.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,817.16 |
+$35.82 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $44.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $44.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,855.47 |
+$38.31 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $44.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $45.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,898.08 |
+$42.61 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET | $46.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,792.38 |
$-105.70 (-1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:25pm ET | $45.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,891.78 |
+$99.40 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $45.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:15pm ET | $45.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,895.35 |
+$3.57 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 12:15pm ET | $44.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 2:50pm ET | $45.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,940.89 |
+$45.54 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:00pm ET | $43.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,851.00 |
$-89.89 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:05pm ET | $44.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,913.00 |
+$62.00 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $46.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,799.95 |
$-113.05 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $46.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $45.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,710.17 |
$-89.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $45.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,778.33 |
+$68.16 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $46.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $46.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,822.03 |
+$43.70 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $47.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,032.93 |
+$210.90 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $49.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $49.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,979.86 |
$-53.07 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $49.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $49.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,011.88 |
+$32.02 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $51.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $51.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,005.72 |
$-6.16 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $50.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $50.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,053.42 |
+$47.70 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $51.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $51.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,100.67 |
+$47.25 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $54.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $53.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,001.05 |
$-99.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $56.49 | 159 | $8,981.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.68 | 159 | $9,012.12 | $9,032.05 |
+$31.00 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.86 | 161 | $8,993.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.69 | 161 | $8,965.29 | $9,003.88 |
$-28.17 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $57.93 | 155 | $8,979.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.37 | 155 | $8,892.35 | $8,917.08 |
$-86.80 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.48 | 155 | $8,909.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.20 | 155 | $9,021.19 | $9,028.87 |
+$111.79 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $58.56 | 154 | $9,019.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.88 | 154 | $9,066.75 | $9,076.61 |
+$47.74 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $60.07 | 151 | $9,070.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $59.42 | 151 | $8,972.42 | $8,978.46 |
$-98.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $59.45 | 151 | $8,976.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 151 | $9,052.45 | $9,053.96 |
+$75.50 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.54 | 149 | $9,020.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.97 | 149 | $9,083.79 | $9,117.28 |
+$63.32 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $62.62 | 145 | $9,079.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.17 | 145 | $9,159.65 | $9,197.75 |
+$80.47 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $62.44 | 147 | $9,179.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:55pm ET | $61.76 | 147 | $9,078.72 | $9,097.05 |
$-100.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.76 | 154 | $9,049.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.17 | 154 | $9,265.41 | $9,312.65 |
+$215.60 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $59.03 | 157 | $9,268.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.87 | 157 | $9,399.59 | $9,443.92 |
+$131.27 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.80 | 166 | $9,428.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.22 | 166 | $9,664.34 | $9,679.46 |
+$235.54 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.20 | 169 | $9,666.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $56.62 | 169 | $9,567.94 | $9,580.60 |
$-98.86 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET | $57.13 | 167 | $9,540.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.35 | 167 | $9,411.28 | $9,451.17 |
$-129.43 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.56 | 170 | $9,446.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.96 | 170 | $9,513.20 | $9,518.32 |
+$67.15 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.39 | 174 | $9,464.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.77 | 174 | $9,356.00 | $9,410.11 |
$-108.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $55.38 | 169 | $9,359.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.27 | 169 | $9,340.63 | $9,391.52 |
$-18.59 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $56.38 | 166 | $9,358.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.91 | 166 | $9,447.06 | $9,480.33 |
+$88.81 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.87 | 166 | $9,440.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $56.24 | 166 | $9,335.01 | $9,374.92 |
$-105.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $56.78 | 165 | $9,369.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.79 | 165 | $9,535.35 | $9,540.75 |
+$165.83 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.88 | 162 | $9,538.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.16 | 162 | $9,421.92 | $9,424.11 |
$-116.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.13 | 159 | $9,401.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $58.37 | 159 | $9,280.83 | $9,303.27 |
$-120.84 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.18 | 157 | $9,291.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.09 | 157 | $9,277.13 | $9,289.14 |
$-14.13 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,289.14
Net Profit/Loss:
$-710.86
Total Return:
-7.11%