XLK Anchor's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-21 to present • 55 trades in period
+13.77%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,976.40
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,526.85
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
10.1/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
35.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.9
30-Day Momentum
18
+0.5%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.1
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,718
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,526.85
Current Value
$11,976.40
Period P&L
$1,449.55
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
36 /
19
Best Trade
+3.41%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$885,130.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,449.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,449.55
Gross Return
+13.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,526.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:25pm ET | $144.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,657.88 |
+$131.03 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $144.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,730.15 |
+$72.27 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $144.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $145.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,761.23 |
+$31.08 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $143.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $144.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,806.00 |
+$44.77 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $143.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $144.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,850.25 |
+$44.25 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $146.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,891.32 |
+$41.07 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $145.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $145.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,907.97 |
+$16.65 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $142.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,910.25 |
+$2.28 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $142.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $143.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,994.99 |
+$84.74 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $146.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $144.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,870.49 |
$-124.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $145.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $145.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,925.62 |
+$55.13 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $143.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $142.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,800.98 |
$-124.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $136.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $135.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,685.15 |
$-115.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $142.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,788.75 |
+$103.60 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $141.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,671.00 |
$-117.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $141.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $140.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,554.38 |
$-116.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.46 | 76 | $10,522.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $136.96 | 76 | $10,408.96 | $10,440.38 |
$-114.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $140.66 | 74 | $10,408.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.84 | 74 | $10,421.79 | $10,453.33 |
+$12.95 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.24 | 75 | $10,443.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $137.83 | 75 | $10,337.25 | $10,347.58 |
$-105.75 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $137.44 | 75 | $10,308.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.70 | 75 | $10,402.13 | $10,441.71 |
+$94.13 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $139.45 | 74 | $10,319.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.48 | 74 | $10,321.52 | $10,443.93 |
+$2.22 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.49 | 77 | $10,433.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.66 | 77 | $10,599.82 | $10,610.64 |
+$166.71 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $138.11 | 76 | $10,496.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $136.60 | 76 | $10,381.60 | $10,495.88 |
$-114.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $136.23 | 77 | $10,489.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.23 | 77 | $10,566.52 | $10,572.69 |
+$76.81 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.73 | 78 | $10,508.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $133.36 | 78 | $10,402.08 | $10,465.83 |
$-106.86 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $130.18 | 80 | $10,414.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.06 | 80 | $10,484.80 | $10,536.63 |
+$70.80 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $129.62 | 81 | $10,498.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.00 | 81 | $10,854.00 | $10,891.81 |
+$355.18 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.40 | 82 | $10,856.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.78 | 82 | $11,215.96 | $11,250.97 |
+$359.16 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.17 | 82 | $11,165.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $134.49 | 82 | $11,028.18 | $11,113.21 |
$-137.76 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $141.22 | 78 | $11,015.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.68 | 78 | $11,051.04 | $11,149.09 |
+$35.88 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $142.57 | 78 | $11,120.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.44 | 78 | $11,110.32 | $11,138.56 |
$-10.53 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $146.32 | 76 | $11,120.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.13 | 76 | $11,257.88 | $11,276.12 |
+$137.56 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $151.35 | 74 | $11,200.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.01 | 74 | $11,396.74 | $11,472.59 |
+$196.47 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $153.90 | 74 | $11,388.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.28 | 74 | $11,490.72 | $11,575.08 |
+$102.49 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $157.43 | 73 | $11,492.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.57 | 73 | $11,429.61 | $11,512.30 |
$-62.78 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $159.82 | 72 | $11,507.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.04 | 72 | $11,523.24 | $11,528.50 |
+$16.20 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.02 | 73 | $11,462.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.40 | 73 | $11,563.20 | $11,629.24 |
+$100.74 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $158.19 | 73 | $11,547.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.35 | 73 | $11,705.55 | $11,786.92 |
+$157.68 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $162.49 | 72 | $11,699.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.89 | 72 | $11,800.09 | $11,887.73 |
+$100.81 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $168.42 | 70 | $11,789.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.03 | 70 | $11,902.10 | $12,000.43 |
+$112.70 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $177.49 | 67 | $11,891.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.45 | 67 | $11,755.15 | $11,863.76 |
$-136.67 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $175.74 | 67 | $11,774.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.18 | 67 | $11,871.06 | $11,960.24 |
+$96.48 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.12 | 67 | $11,800.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.43 | 67 | $11,887.81 | $12,048.01 |
+$87.77 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $172.85 | 69 | $11,926.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $170.92 | 69 | $11,793.48 | $11,914.84 |
$-133.17 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $175.93 | 67 | $11,787.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.38 | 67 | $11,817.46 | $11,944.99 |
+$30.15 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $180.97 | 66 | $11,944.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.05 | 66 | $12,081.30 | $12,082.27 |
+$137.28 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $184.56 | 65 | $11,996.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.22 | 65 | $12,039.30 | $12,125.17 |
+$42.90 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $190.30 | 63 | $11,988.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.13 | 63 | $12,104.19 | $12,240.46 |
+$115.29 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $197.03 | 62 | $12,215.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.54 | 62 | $12,247.48 | $12,272.08 |
+$31.62 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.53 | 64 | $12,257.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.53 | 64 | $12,065.92 | $12,080.08 |
$-192.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $185.60 | 65 | $12,064.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $183.61 | 65 | $11,934.65 | $11,950.73 |
$-129.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.24 | 67 | $11,942.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $176.35 | 67 | $11,815.12 | $11,823.76 |
$-126.97 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $183.69 | 64 | $11,756.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.95 | 64 | $12,156.80 | $12,224.40 |
+$400.64 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.00 | 64 | $12,224.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $189.08 | 64 | $12,101.12 | $12,101.52 |
$-122.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $188.68 | 64 | $12,075.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $186.72 | 64 | $11,950.08 | $11,976.40 |
$-125.12 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,976.40
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,976.40
Total Return:
+19.76%