ADBE Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
-18.43%
Year to Date Return
$7,050.44
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,643.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
10.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.5
30-Day Momentum
22
+1.1%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.6
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,245
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,643.58
Current Value
$7,050.44
Period P&L
$-1,593.14
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
17 /
28
Best Trade
+4.54%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
12.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$369,569.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,593.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,593.14
Gross Return
-18.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,643.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $342.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $338.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,546.95 |
$-96.63 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $327.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $330.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,608.58 |
+$61.63 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $336.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $337.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,639.08 |
+$30.50 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $328.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $330.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,683.28 |
+$44.20 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $318.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $314.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,589.18 |
$-94.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $305.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $302.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,495.24 |
$-93.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $298.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $295.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,411.24 |
$-84.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $290.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $291.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,438.40 |
+$27.16 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $289.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $291.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,488.42 |
+$50.02 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $297.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $294.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,402.46 |
$-85.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $299.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $292.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,220.32 |
$-182.14 (-2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $285.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $287.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,261.90 |
+$41.58 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $291.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $293.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,303.76 |
+$41.86 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $278.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $275.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,220.09 |
$-83.67 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $277.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $274.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,137.38 |
$-82.71 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $270.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $267.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,045.28 |
$-92.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $267.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $264.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,962.78 |
$-82.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $257.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $253.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,825.38 |
$-137.40 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $258.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,900.98 |
+$75.60 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $279.78 | 28 | $7,833.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $281.41 | 28 | $7,879.48 | $7,946.62 |
+$45.64 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $278.71 | 28 | $7,803.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.02 | 28 | $7,784.56 | $7,927.30 |
$-19.32 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $273.42 | 28 | $7,655.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $269.82 | 28 | $7,554.96 | $7,826.50 |
$-100.80 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $272.74 | 28 | $7,636.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $269.56 | 28 | $7,547.68 | $7,737.46 |
$-89.04 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $254.82 | 30 | $7,644.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $252.07 | 30 | $7,562.10 | $7,654.96 |
$-82.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $252.91 | 30 | $7,587.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.66 | 30 | $7,639.80 | $7,707.46 |
+$52.50 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.84 | 30 | $7,615.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $250.79 | 30 | $7,523.55 | $7,615.96 |
$-91.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $246.52 | 30 | $7,395.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.54 | 30 | $7,276.35 | $7,496.71 |
$-119.25 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $248.84 | 30 | $7,465.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.19 | 30 | $7,295.70 | $7,327.21 |
$-169.50 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $237.67 | 30 | $7,130.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $234.58 | 30 | $7,037.40 | $7,234.51 |
$-92.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $241.95 | 29 | $7,016.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.38 | 29 | $6,855.02 | $7,072.98 |
$-161.53 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $241.57 | 29 | $7,005.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.61 | 29 | $6,977.69 | $7,045.14 |
$-27.84 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.96 | 29 | $7,016.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $239.40 | 29 | $6,942.74 | $6,971.04 |
$-74.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $240.61 | 28 | $6,737.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.50 | 28 | $6,762.00 | $6,995.96 |
+$24.92 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.27 | 28 | $6,811.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $240.62 | 28 | $6,737.36 | $6,921.76 |
$-74.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $242.87 | 28 | $6,800.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $240.21 | 28 | $6,725.88 | $6,847.42 |
$-74.34 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $228.02 | 30 | $6,840.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.50 | 30 | $6,855.00 | $6,861.67 |
+$14.25 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $237.97 | 28 | $6,663.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.99 | 28 | $6,775.72 | $6,974.23 |
+$112.56 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $243.51 | 28 | $6,818.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.55 | 28 | $7,043.40 | $7,199.49 |
+$225.26 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $249.93 | 28 | $6,997.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $246.42 | 28 | $6,899.76 | $7,101.35 |
$-98.14 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $247.48 | 28 | $6,929.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.35 | 28 | $6,897.69 | $7,069.60 |
$-31.75 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $253.94 | 27 | $6,856.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.20 | 27 | $6,512.40 | $6,725.62 |
$-343.98 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $239.49 | 28 | $6,705.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.71 | 28 | $6,740.02 | $6,759.92 |
+$34.30 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $243.37 | 27 | $6,570.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.97 | 27 | $6,506.19 | $6,695.12 |
$-64.80 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.90 | 28 | $6,689.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.74 | 28 | $6,992.58 | $6,998.50 |
+$303.38 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.37 | 28 | $6,982.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.23 | 28 | $7,034.30 | $7,050.44 |
+$51.94 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,050.44
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,949.56
Total Return:
-29.50%