COST Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+12.89%
Year to Date Return
$11,978.33
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$10,610.94
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
41.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 40.6
30-Day Momentum
12
-2.3%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,573
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,610.94
Current Value
$11,978.33
Period P&L
$1,367.39
Max Drawdown
-6.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
26 /
11
Best Trade
+3.48%
Worst Trade
-1.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$534,270.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,367.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,367.39
Gross Return
+12.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,610.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $853.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $871.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,829.76 |
+$218.82 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $884.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $888.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,878.36 |
+$48.60 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $915.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $917.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,904.65 |
+$26.29 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $931.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $936.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,957.95 |
+$53.30 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $941.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $946.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,017.51 |
+$59.56 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $956.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $959.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,054.42 |
+$36.91 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $973.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $975.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,081.22 |
+$26.80 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $982.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $986.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,124.98 |
+$43.76 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $963.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $967.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,167.30 |
+$42.32 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $948.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:45pm ET | $953.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,223.73 |
+$56.43 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:20pm ET | $976.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $986.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,331.42 |
+$107.69 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $982.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $993.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,442.96 |
+$111.54 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $998.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,000.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,472.66 |
+$29.70 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $986.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $976.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,357.60 |
$-115.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $966.29 | 11 | $10,629.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $999.95 | 11 | $10,999.40 | $11,727.75 |
+$370.15 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,000.50 | 11 | $11,005.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $995.00 | 11 | $10,945.00 | $11,667.25 |
$-60.50 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $985.47 | 11 | $10,840.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,005.69 | 11 | $11,062.59 | $11,889.67 |
+$222.42 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,003.27 | 11 | $11,035.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,006.49 | 11 | $11,071.39 | $11,925.14 |
+$35.47 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $990.64 | 12 | $11,887.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $980.45 | 12 | $11,765.40 | $11,802.86 |
$-122.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $975.00 | 12 | $11,700.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $985.66 | 12 | $11,827.98 | $11,930.84 |
+$127.98 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $962.41 | 12 | $11,548.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $978.52 | 12 | $11,742.18 | $12,124.10 |
+$193.26 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $974.49 | 12 | $11,693.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $980.67 | 12 | $11,768.04 | $12,198.26 |
+$74.16 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,000.90 | 12 | $12,010.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $997.20 | 12 | $11,966.45 | $12,153.91 |
$-44.35 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET | $994.31 | 12 | $11,931.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.10 | 12 | $12,037.20 | $12,259.39 |
+$105.48 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,008.46 | 12 | $12,101.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,015.35 | 12 | $12,184.20 | $12,342.07 |
+$82.68 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,023.96 | 12 | $12,287.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,027.00 | 12 | $12,324.00 | $12,378.55 |
+$36.48 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,026.67 | 12 | $12,320.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,015.61 | 12 | $12,187.32 | $12,245.83 |
$-132.72 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $994.36 | 12 | $11,932.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $982.96 | 12 | $11,795.46 | $12,108.97 |
$-136.86 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $974.72 | 12 | $11,696.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $970.03 | 12 | $11,640.36 | $12,052.69 |
$-56.28 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $987.99 | 12 | $11,855.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $987.68 | 12 | $11,852.16 | $12,048.91 |
$-3.78 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,000.42 | 12 | $12,005.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $989.47 | 12 | $11,873.64 | $11,917.45 |
$-131.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,002.16 | 11 | $11,023.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,010.81 | 11 | $11,118.91 | $12,012.63 |
+$95.18 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.34 | 11 | $11,036.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,008.75 | 11 | $11,096.25 | $12,072.14 |
+$59.51 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $997.66 | 12 | $11,971.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $986.72 | 12 | $11,840.58 | $11,940.77 |
$-131.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:40pm ET | $993.81 | 12 | $11,925.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.92 | 12 | $12,047.10 | $12,062.15 |
+$121.38 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,023.56 | 11 | $11,259.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,012.26 | 11 | $11,134.86 | $11,937.85 |
$-124.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,011.32 | 11 | $11,124.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,015.00 | 11 | $11,165.00 | $11,978.33 |
+$40.48 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,978.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,978.33
Total Return:
+19.78%