DIA Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
-2.80%
Year to Date Return
$9,825.17
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,107.90
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
13.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.7
30-Day Momentum
25
+0.7%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.8
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,450
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,107.90
Current Value
$9,825.17
Period P&L
$-282.73
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
16 /
14
Best Trade
+1.36%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
22.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$420,167.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-282.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-282.73
Gross Return
-2.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,107.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $490.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,069.70 |
$-38.20 (-0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $484.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $486.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,107.10 |
+$37.40 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $487.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $489.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,147.10 |
+$40.00 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $486.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $487.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,181.30 |
+$34.20 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $491.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $492.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,191.90 |
+$10.60 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $488.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $491.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,233.90 |
+$42.00 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $500.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $502.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,268.70 |
+$34.80 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $500.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $494.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,161.90 |
$-106.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.43 | 21 | $9,942.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.74 | 21 | $9,885.54 | $10,105.36 |
$-56.54 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $479.55 | 21 | $10,070.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.21 | 21 | $10,021.41 | $10,056.22 |
$-49.14 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.03 | 21 | $9,870.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.89 | 21 | $9,867.69 | $10,053.28 |
$-2.94 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $470.11 | 21 | $9,872.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.35 | 21 | $9,940.35 | $10,121.32 |
+$68.04 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $468.75 | 21 | $9,843.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $464.05 | 21 | $9,745.05 | $10,022.62 |
$-98.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $458.72 | 21 | $9,633.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $453.99 | 21 | $9,533.89 | $9,923.39 |
$-99.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $463.21 | 21 | $9,727.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $458.56 | 21 | $9,629.76 | $9,825.74 |
$-97.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $463.50 | 21 | $9,733.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $461.80 | 21 | $9,697.80 | $9,790.04 |
$-35.70 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.43 | 21 | $9,606.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $452.79 | 21 | $9,508.59 | $9,692.60 |
$-97.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $452.75 | 21 | $9,507.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.37 | 21 | $9,604.77 | $9,789.62 |
+$97.02 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $467.09 | 20 | $9,341.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $460.20 | 20 | $9,204.00 | $9,651.82 |
$-137.80 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $465.76 | 20 | $9,315.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.91 | 20 | $9,318.20 | $9,654.82 |
+$3.00 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $476.79 | 20 | $9,535.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.67 | 20 | $9,553.40 | $9,672.42 |
+$17.60 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $480.48 | 20 | $9,609.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $476.36 | 20 | $9,527.20 | $9,590.02 |
$-82.40 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $484.70 | 19 | $9,209.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $486.56 | 19 | $9,244.64 | $9,625.27 |
+$35.25 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $483.96 | 19 | $9,195.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.53 | 19 | $9,320.07 | $9,750.10 |
+$124.83 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.76 | 19 | $9,381.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.12 | 19 | $9,445.28 | $9,813.94 |
+$63.84 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $494.62 | 19 | $9,397.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $492.77 | 19 | $9,362.63 | $9,778.79 |
$-35.15 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $491.32 | 19 | $9,335.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $491.62 | 19 | $9,340.78 | $9,784.49 |
+$5.70 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $491.12 | 19 | $9,331.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $491.24 | 19 | $9,333.56 | $9,786.77 |
+$2.28 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $497.37 | 19 | $9,450.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.62 | 19 | $9,378.78 | $9,715.54 |
$-71.23 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $491.71 | 19 | $9,342.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.48 | 19 | $9,452.12 | $9,825.17 |
+$109.63 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,825.17
Net Profit/Loss:
$-174.83
Total Return:
-1.75%