GLD Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 34 trades in period
-4.15%
Year to Date Return
$9,776.67
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,200.30
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
12.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 12.3
30-Day Momentum
9
-2.8%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,421
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,200.30
Current Value
$9,776.67
Period P&L
$-423.63
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
15 /
19
Best Trade
+3.91%
Worst Trade
-3.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
23h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$437,144.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-423.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-423.63
Gross Return
-4.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.15%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,200.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $397.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,437.55 |
+$237.25 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $422.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,524.55 |
+$87.00 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $419.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $420.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,556.30 |
+$31.75 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $444.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $445.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,597.47 |
+$41.17 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $463.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,641.25 |
+$43.78 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $481.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $484.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,696.69 |
+$55.44 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $501.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $494.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,554.94 |
$-141.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $464.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $458.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,424.15 |
$-130.79 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $457.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $460.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,484.21 |
+$60.06 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $442.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $453.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,718.12 |
+$233.91 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $462.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $462.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,734.45 |
+$16.33 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $454.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $449.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,618.30 |
$-116.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $471.99 | 22 | $10,383.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $467.93 | 22 | $10,294.46 | $10,528.98 |
$-89.32 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $480.30 | 21 | $10,086.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.71 | 21 | $9,989.91 | $10,432.59 |
$-96.39 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.72 | 21 | $9,969.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $469.64 | 21 | $9,862.44 | $10,325.91 |
$-106.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $463.18 | 22 | $10,189.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $461.07 | 22 | $10,143.58 | $10,279.56 |
$-46.35 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $460.17 | 22 | $10,123.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.07 | 22 | $9,813.54 | $9,969.47 |
$-310.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.00 | 23 | $9,660.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $428.11 | 23 | $9,846.53 | $10,156.00 |
+$186.53 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.32 | 25 | $10,108.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $400.15 | 25 | $10,003.75 | $10,051.75 |
$-104.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $404.39 | 24 | $9,705.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.21 | 24 | $10,085.04 | $10,431.43 |
+$379.68 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.33 | 25 | $10,208.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $403.99 | 25 | $10,099.75 | $10,322.93 |
$-108.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $414.97 | 24 | $9,959.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.59 | 24 | $10,070.16 | $10,433.81 |
+$110.88 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $438.92 | 23 | $10,095.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.53 | 23 | $9,718.19 | $10,056.81 |
$-377.00 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $428.47 | 23 | $9,854.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $428.31 | 23 | $9,851.13 | $10,053.17 |
$-3.64 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $435.06 | 23 | $10,006.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.61 | 23 | $10,042.03 | $10,088.82 |
+$35.65 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $437.79 | 23 | $10,069.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $434.85 | 23 | $10,001.55 | $10,021.32 |
$-67.50 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $440.09 | 22 | $9,681.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $442.73 | 22 | $9,740.06 | $10,079.40 |
+$58.08 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $440.28 | 22 | $9,686.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.59 | 22 | $9,802.98 | $10,196.22 |
+$116.82 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $443.08 | 23 | $10,190.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $438.74 | 23 | $10,091.02 | $10,096.37 |
$-99.85 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $434.92 | 23 | $10,003.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $433.73 | 23 | $9,975.79 | $10,069.00 |
$-27.37 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $433.33 | 23 | $9,966.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $431.63 | 23 | $9,927.49 | $10,030.01 |
$-38.99 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.48 | 23 | $9,671.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.63 | 23 | $9,582.49 | $9,941.35 |
$-88.66 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $423.62 | 23 | $9,743.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $421.18 | 23 | $9,687.14 | $9,885.23 |
$-56.12 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.74 | 23 | $9,631.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $414.02 | 23 | $9,522.46 | $9,776.67 |
$-108.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,776.67
Net Profit/Loss:
$-223.33
Total Return:
-2.23%