Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,773.87
Current Value
$8,429.18
Period P&L
$-344.69
Max Drawdown
-18.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
26 / 32
Best Trade
+7.62%
Worst Trade
-2.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
16.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$660,246.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-344.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-344.69
Gross Return
-3.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,773.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET $318.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $314.46 0 $0.00 $8,676.56 $-97.31
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET $315.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $317.05 0 $0.00 $8,728.21 +$51.65
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $324.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $325.41 0 $0.00 $8,745.63 +$17.42
(+0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $335.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET $337.60 0 $0.00 $8,797.24 +$51.61
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $332.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $333.19 0 $0.00 $8,806.99 +$9.75
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:55am ET $330.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $323.78 0 $0.00 $8,631.23 $-175.76
(-2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $322.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $322.01 0 $0.00 $8,617.19 $-14.04
(-0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $330.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:50am ET $332.19 0 $0.00 $8,648.39 +$31.20
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:45am ET $329.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $329.87 0 $0.00 $8,657.36 +$8.97
(+0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET $333.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $334.77 0 $0.00 $8,694.86 +$37.50
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $337.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $332.67 0 $0.00 $8,582.61 $-112.25
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $344.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $346.14 0 $0.00 $8,618.73 +$36.12
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $338.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $333.61 0 $0.00 $8,499.36 $-119.37
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $316.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET $318.45 0 $0.00 $8,562.52 +$63.16
(+0.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $315.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:50am ET $317.12 0 $0.00 $8,617.42 +$54.90
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $317.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $314.39 0 $0.00 $8,526.70 $-90.72
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $310.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $306.85 0 $0.00 $8,438.68 $-88.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $304.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.35 0 $0.00 $8,459.88 +$21.20
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.02 28 $8,428.70
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.79 28 $8,338.04 $8,369.22 $-90.66
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $296.40 28 $8,299.20
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $307.35 28 $8,605.80 $8,675.82 +$306.60
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $306.76 28 $8,589.28
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $307.48 28 $8,609.58 $8,696.12 +$20.30
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $304.95 28 $8,538.61
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $301.60 28 $8,444.80 $8,602.31 $-93.81
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $305.20 28 $8,545.60
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $306.86 28 $8,592.08 $8,648.79 +$46.48
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET $310.07 27 $8,371.89
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $303.18 27 $8,185.86 $8,462.76 $-186.03
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $303.36 27 $8,190.64
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $300.03 27 $8,100.81 $8,372.93 $-89.83
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $301.45 27 $8,139.15
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $298.99 27 $8,072.78 $8,306.56 $-66.37
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $290.86 28 $8,144.08
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $287.86 28 $8,059.94 $8,222.42 $-84.14
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.69 29 $8,053.08
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $274.76 29 $7,968.04 $8,137.38 $-85.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $273.97 29 $7,945.13
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $278.51 29 $8,076.79 $8,269.04 +$131.66
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $298.70 27 $8,065.03
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 27 $7,834.62 $8,038.62 $-230.42
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:35am ET $297.20 27 $8,024.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $302.76 27 $8,174.52 $8,188.74 +$150.12
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $318.08 25 $7,952.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $315.90 25 $7,897.62 $8,134.37 $-54.37
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:40am ET $318.71 25 $7,967.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $317.14 25 $7,928.38 $8,095.00 $-39.37
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $332.29 24 $7,974.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $332.89 24 $7,989.36 $8,109.40 +$14.40
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $337.14 24 $8,091.24
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $338.02 24 $8,112.48 $8,130.64 +$21.24
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $340.89 23 $7,840.47
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $337.36 23 $7,759.28 $8,049.45 $-81.19
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $336.58 23 $7,741.34
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $332.98 23 $7,658.54 $7,966.65 $-82.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET $339.38 23 $7,805.74
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $338.73 23 $7,790.68 $7,951.59 $-15.06
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $342.93 23 $7,887.39
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $348.56 23 $8,016.88 $8,081.08 +$129.49
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $347.44 23 $7,991.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 23 $8,600.16 $8,690.12 +$609.04
(+7.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
41 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 22 $8,388.82
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $386.05 22 $8,492.99 $8,794.29 +$104.17
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
42 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $387.45 22 $8,523.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $394.27 22 $8,674.05 $8,944.55 +$150.26
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
43 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:40am ET $396.26 22 $8,717.61
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $397.43 22 $8,743.46 $8,970.40 +$25.85
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
44 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $394.08 22 $8,669.76
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $389.93 22 $8,578.46 $8,879.10 $-91.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
45 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $397.72 22 $8,749.84
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.91 22 $8,710.02 $8,839.28 $-39.82
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
46 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $395.53 22 $8,701.66
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $396.78 22 $8,729.16 $8,866.78 +$27.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
47 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $387.48 22 $8,524.56
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $385.91 22 $8,490.02 $8,832.24 $-34.54
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
48 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $386.68 22 $8,506.96
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $382.44 22 $8,413.68 $8,738.96 $-93.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
49 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $391.17 22 $8,605.74
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $387.30 22 $8,520.60 $8,653.82 $-85.14
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
50 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $385.00 22 $8,470.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $381.02 22 $8,382.44 $8,566.26 $-87.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $376.14 22 $8,274.97
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 22 $8,067.40 $8,358.69 $-207.57
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $362.23 23 $8,331.29
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $358.43 23 $8,243.89 $8,271.29 $-87.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $367.98 22 $8,095.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $364.25 22 $8,013.50 $8,189.23 $-82.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $363.10 22 $7,988.09
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $367.25 22 $8,079.50 $8,280.64 +$91.41
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $362.83 22 $7,982.15
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $358.96 22 $7,897.12 $8,195.61 $-85.03
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $347.14 23 $7,984.11
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $362.52 23 $8,338.07 $8,549.58 +$353.97
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $370.93 23 $8,531.50
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $369.57 23 $8,500.11 $8,518.19 $-31.39
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $369.79 23 $8,505.17
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $365.92 23 $8,416.16 $8,429.18 $-89.01
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,429.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,570.82
Total Return: -15.71%
Back to Anchor