HD Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
+0.89%
Year to Date Return
$10,507.09
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,414.01
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
4.6/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
20.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 20.8
30-Day Momentum
13
-0.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,313
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,414.01
Current Value
$10,507.09
Period P&L
$93.08
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
20 /
18
Best Trade
+3.40%
Worst Trade
-2.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$510,232.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$93.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$93.08
Gross Return
+0.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,414.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $352.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $354.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,460.12 |
+$46.11 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $372.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $375.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,526.06 |
+$65.94 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $371.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $373.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,576.32 |
+$50.26 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $375.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $377.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,630.92 |
+$54.60 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $385.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $380.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,500.24 |
$-130.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $380.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $381.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,525.22 |
+$24.98 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $376.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $376.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,519.35 |
$-5.87 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $372.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $373.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,542.31 |
+$22.96 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $384.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $380.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,428.77 |
$-113.54 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $385.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $387.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,486.28 |
+$57.51 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $382.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $383.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,512.47 |
+$26.19 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $392.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $391.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,502.98 |
$-9.49 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $388.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $389.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,546.32 |
+$43.34 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.00 | 29 | $10,353.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.20 | 29 | $10,300.80 | $10,494.12 |
$-52.20 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $358.46 | 29 | $10,395.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.13 | 29 | $10,298.89 | $10,397.52 |
$-96.60 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.21 | 30 | $10,386.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $341.70 | 30 | $10,251.15 | $10,262.37 |
$-135.15 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $340.32 | 30 | $10,209.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.55 | 30 | $10,246.65 | $10,299.57 |
+$37.20 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $342.16 | 30 | $10,264.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.88 | 30 | $10,136.40 | $10,171.17 |
$-128.40 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.00 | 30 | $9,900.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $326.49 | 30 | $9,794.85 | $10,066.02 |
$-105.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $322.63 | 31 | $10,001.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.82 | 31 | $10,255.42 | $10,319.99 |
+$253.97 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.94 | 31 | $10,104.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.02 | 31 | $10,447.77 | $10,663.62 |
+$343.63 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.96 | 32 | $10,590.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $327.30 | 32 | $10,473.60 | $10,546.34 |
$-117.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $325.00 | 32 | $10,400.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $321.60 | 32 | $10,291.04 | $10,437.38 |
$-108.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $324.08 | 32 | $10,370.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.57 | 32 | $10,482.24 | $10,549.06 |
+$111.68 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $331.73 | 31 | $10,283.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.55 | 31 | $10,030.05 | $10,295.33 |
$-253.73 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.54 | 32 | $10,225.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.78 | 32 | $10,328.93 | $10,398.98 |
+$103.65 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $336.18 | 30 | $10,085.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.64 | 30 | $9,949.05 | $10,262.63 |
$-136.35 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $337.89 | 30 | $10,136.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.03 | 30 | $10,050.90 | $10,176.68 |
$-85.95 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $341.68 | 29 | $9,908.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.74 | 29 | $9,910.60 | $10,178.57 |
+$1.89 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $337.84 | 30 | $10,135.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.00 | 30 | $10,290.00 | $10,333.37 |
+$154.80 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.15 | 29 | $10,009.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.00 | 29 | $10,208.00 | $10,532.02 |
+$198.65 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $343.27 | 30 | $10,298.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $339.53 | 30 | $10,185.78 | $10,419.70 |
$-112.32 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $339.51 | 30 | $10,185.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.32 | 30 | $10,149.60 | $10,384.00 |
$-35.70 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.39 | 31 | $10,366.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.46 | 31 | $10,368.18 | $10,386.17 |
+$2.17 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.11 | 31 | $10,078.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $321.64 | 31 | $9,970.84 | $10,278.60 |
$-107.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $327.07 | 31 | $10,139.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.93 | 31 | $10,227.98 | $10,367.41 |
+$88.81 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.31 | 32 | $10,249.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $316.98 | 32 | $10,143.20 | $10,260.69 |
$-106.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $314.32 | 32 | $10,058.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.02 | 32 | $10,304.64 | $10,507.09 |
+$246.40 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,507.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$507.09
Total Return:
+5.07%