Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 08:01:14

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 42.7

30-Day Momentum

10
-7.5%
30d Return
15%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,666
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,383.32
Current Value
$13,962.43
Period P&L
$-1,420.89
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
26 / 41
Best Trade
+10.31%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
10.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,449,182.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,420.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,420.89
Gross Return
-9.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $15,383.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $121.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $122.54 0 $0.00 $15,463.18 +$79.86
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $118.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $116.62 0 $0.00 $15,271.43 $-191.75
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $115.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $115.43 0 $0.00 $15,310.81 +$39.38
(+0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $116.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $117.35 0 $0.00 $15,423.47 +$112.66
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $118.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $116.86 0 $0.00 $15,229.12 $-194.35
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $117.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $118.20 0 $0.00 $15,312.98 +$83.86
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $106.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $105.14 0 $0.00 $15,116.35 $-196.63
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $105.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET $106.13 0 $0.00 $15,210.16 +$93.81
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $107.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $106.69 0 $0.00 $15,029.94 $-180.22
(-1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $106.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $107.74 0 $0.00 $15,140.89 +$110.95
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $106.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $107.64 0 $0.00 $15,243.82 +$102.93
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $104.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $107.11 0 $0.00 $15,657.29 +$413.47
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $102.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $102.68 0 $0.00 $15,696.81 +$39.52
(+0.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $88.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $89.37 0 $0.00 $15,872.04 +$175.23
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $83.37 0 $0.00 $16,008.28 +$136.24
(+0.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $78.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $76.72 0 $0.00 $15,723.70 $-284.58
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET $86.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $85.46 0 $0.00 $15,537.07 $-186.63
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $75.54 0 $0.00 $15,283.56 $-253.51
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $77.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $75.95 0 $0.00 $15,057.84 $-225.72
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.99 193 $15,052.07
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $76.94 193 $14,849.42 $14,855.19 $-202.65
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $76.97 192 $14,779.20
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $80.25 192 $15,408.00 $15,483.99 +$628.80
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $78.03 198 $15,449.94
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $77.24 198 $15,293.52 $15,327.57 $-156.42
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $75.90 201 $15,255.90
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $76.70 201 $15,416.70 $15,488.37 +$160.80
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $74.37 208 $15,468.96
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $77.06 208 $16,027.44 $16,046.85 +$558.48
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $76.16 210 $15,993.60
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:40am ET $75.29 210 $15,810.90 $15,864.15 $-182.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:55pm ET $73.31 216 $15,834.96
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $72.75 216 $15,715.08 $15,744.27 $-119.88
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $72.65 216 $15,692.40
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $71.88 216 $15,526.08 $15,577.95 $-166.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $69.47 224 $15,561.28
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 224 $16,139.20 $16,155.87 +$577.92
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $71.11 227 $16,141.97
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $70.22 227 $15,939.94 $15,953.84 $-202.03
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $66.98 238 $15,940.81
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $66.27 238 $15,772.26 $15,785.29 $-168.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $64.44 244 $15,723.36
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $63.68 244 $15,537.92 $15,599.85 $-185.44
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $70.56 221 $15,593.76
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $69.74 221 $15,412.52 $15,418.61 $-181.24
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $68.72 224 $15,393.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $69.32 224 $15,528.80 $15,554.13 +$135.52
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $68.26 227 $15,495.02
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $67.23 227 $15,261.96 $15,321.07 $-233.06
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $72.67 210 $15,260.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $71.85 210 $15,088.50 $15,148.87 $-172.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $70.74 214 $15,138.36
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $69.98 214 $14,975.72 $14,986.23 $-162.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.21 219 $14,936.90
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 219 $16,477.56 $16,526.89 +$1,540.66
(+10.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $85.83 192 $16,480.32
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $89.05 192 $17,097.60 $17,144.17 +$617.28
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $92.05 186 $17,121.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $90.70 186 $16,870.20 $16,893.07 $-251.10
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $90.08 187 $16,845.89
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $91.10 187 $17,035.70 $17,082.87 +$189.80
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $88.52 192 $16,995.46
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:45am ET $87.49 192 $16,798.85 $16,886.26 $-196.61
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $85.80 196 $16,816.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $84.43 196 $16,548.28 $16,617.74 $-268.52
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $84.63 196 $16,587.48
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $84.29 196 $16,519.86 $16,550.12 $-67.62
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 203 $16,538.41
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 203 $14,645.98 $14,657.69 $-1,892.43
(-11.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $73.14 200 $14,628.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $72.29 200 $14,457.40 $14,487.09 $-170.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
46 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $74.69 193 $14,415.17
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $73.78 193 $14,238.58 $14,310.49 $-176.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
47 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.50 187 $14,304.57
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $77.44 187 $14,481.28 $14,487.20 +$176.71
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
48 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $76.68 188 $14,415.84
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $78.53 188 $14,763.64 $14,835.00 +$347.80
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
49 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $75.38 196 $14,774.48
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $74.43 196 $14,589.26 $14,649.78 $-185.22
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
50 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $80.11 182 $14,580.02
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $79.07 182 $14,391.20 $14,460.96 $-188.82
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
51 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $76.94 187 $14,387.78
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $76.13 187 $14,236.87 $14,310.05 $-150.91
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
52 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $76.00 188 $14,288.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $77.85 188 $14,635.80 $14,657.85 +$347.80
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
53 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $75.97 192 $14,585.66
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $76.36 192 $14,661.12 $14,733.31 +$75.46
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
54 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $74.03 199 $14,730.98
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.80 199 $15,083.34 $15,085.68 +$352.37
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
55 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $75.62 199 $15,048.38
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $74.69 199 $14,863.29 $14,900.59 $-185.09
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
56 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $74.19 200 $14,838.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $73.92 200 $14,783.00 $14,845.59 $-55.00
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
57 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $74.73 198 $14,796.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $73.56 198 $14,564.88 $14,613.93 $-231.66
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
58 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.86 157 $14,579.02
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $91.83 157 $14,417.31 $14,452.22 $-161.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $91.02 158 $14,381.57
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $88.68 158 $14,010.65 $14,081.30 $-370.92
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 165 $14,043.15
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $83.92 165 $13,845.98 $13,884.13 $-197.17
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $86.98 159 $13,829.82
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $84.76 159 $13,476.52 $13,530.83 $-353.30
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $84.68 159 $13,463.33
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $86.00 159 $13,674.00 $13,741.50 +$210.67
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $88.08 156 $13,740.50
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $87.11 156 $13,589.16 $13,590.16 $-151.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $89.15 152 $13,550.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $88.11 152 $13,392.72 $13,432.08 $-158.08
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $92.82 144 $13,366.08
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $98.89 144 $14,239.44 $14,305.44 +$873.36
(+6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $98.00 145 $14,210.72
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $96.95 145 $14,057.75 $14,152.46 $-152.98
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $107.50 131 $14,082.50
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $106.05 131 $13,892.47 $13,962.43 $-190.03
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,962.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,962.43
Total Return: +39.62%
Back to Anchor