IBM Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-2.95%
Year to Date Return
$8,584.02
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$8,972.98
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
11.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.3
30-Day Momentum
33
+2.8%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.2
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,840
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,972.98
Current Value
$8,584.02
Period P&L
$-264.76
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
19 /
23
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$431,889.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-264.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-264.76
Gross Return
-2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,972.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 12:05pm ET | $297.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $293.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,848.78 |
$-124.20 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $292.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $293.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,899.78 |
+$51.00 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $295.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,905.18 |
+$5.40 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $299.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,835.58 |
$-69.60 (-0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $308.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $308.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,826.62 |
$-8.96 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $308.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $304.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,725.12 |
$-101.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $301.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $303.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,768.94 |
+$43.82 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $298.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $297.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,747.19 |
$-21.75 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $290.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $292.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,779.59 |
+$32.40 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $293.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $295.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,830.19 |
+$50.60 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $314.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $311.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,740.31 |
$-89.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $304.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,796.45 |
+$56.14 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $305.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $301.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,686.69 |
$-109.76 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $293.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $294.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,721.20 |
+$34.51 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $289.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $286.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,621.45 |
$-99.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $266.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $263.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,515.05 |
$-106.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.84 | 33 | $8,442.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $252.29 | 33 | $8,325.73 | $8,398.07 |
$-116.98 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $256.84 | 32 | $8,218.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $254.25 | 32 | $8,136.00 | $8,315.19 |
$-82.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $250.84 | 33 | $8,277.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.45 | 33 | $8,264.85 | $8,302.32 |
$-12.87 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.25 | 33 | $8,159.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.11 | 33 | $8,187.48 | $8,330.55 |
+$28.23 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $246.60 | 33 | $8,137.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.00 | 33 | $8,250.00 | $8,442.91 |
+$112.36 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.14 | 33 | $8,386.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $251.52 | 33 | $8,300.16 | $8,356.45 |
$-86.46 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.00 | 33 | $8,217.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $246.15 | 33 | $8,123.11 | $8,262.56 |
$-93.89 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $249.10 | 33 | $8,220.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $246.49 | 33 | $8,134.17 | $8,176.43 |
$-86.13 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $240.34 | 34 | $8,171.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.51 | 34 | $8,279.34 | $8,284.35 |
+$107.92 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.80 | 34 | $8,187.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.65 | 34 | $8,114.10 | $8,211.25 |
$-73.10 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $238.77 | 34 | $8,118.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.32 | 34 | $8,205.05 | $8,298.12 |
+$86.87 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $240.43 | 34 | $8,174.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.32 | 34 | $8,238.88 | $8,362.21 |
+$64.09 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $246.76 | 33 | $8,143.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.77 | 33 | $8,077.41 | $8,296.54 |
$-65.67 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $245.17 | 33 | $8,090.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $242.71 | 33 | $8,009.27 | $8,215.20 |
$-81.34 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $236.27 | 34 | $8,033.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.02 | 34 | $8,092.85 | $8,274.87 |
+$59.67 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $232.75 | 35 | $8,146.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $239.16 | 35 | $8,370.58 | $8,499.20 |
+$224.33 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $245.13 | 34 | $8,334.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.01 | 34 | $8,466.34 | $8,631.29 |
+$132.09 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $253.32 | 34 | $8,612.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.57 | 34 | $8,655.30 | $8,673.70 |
+$42.41 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $252.16 | 34 | $8,573.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.00 | 34 | $8,636.00 | $8,736.26 |
+$62.56 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.82 | 37 | $8,540.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.51 | 37 | $8,418.05 | $8,613.97 |
$-122.29 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $227.53 | 37 | $8,418.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:15pm ET | $225.22 | 37 | $8,333.14 | $8,528.50 |
$-85.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $227.83 | 37 | $8,429.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.44 | 37 | $8,526.28 | $8,625.07 |
+$96.57 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.61 | 37 | $8,532.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $227.95 | 37 | $8,434.14 | $8,526.64 |
$-98.43 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $230.46 | 36 | $8,296.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.00 | 36 | $8,460.00 | $8,689.90 |
+$163.26 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $231.74 | 37 | $8,574.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $229.13 | 37 | $8,477.99 | $8,593.51 |
$-96.39 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $228.99 | 37 | $8,472.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.73 | 37 | $8,463.01 | $8,584.02 |
$-9.49 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,584.02
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,415.98
Total Return:
-14.16%