ISRG Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 46 trades in period
-9.67%
Year to Date Return
$11,013.75
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$12,232.36
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
27.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 27.1
30-Day Momentum
10
-3.8%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,164
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,232.36
Current Value
$11,013.75
Period P&L
$-1,183.33
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
19 /
27
Best Trade
+2.52%
Worst Trade
-2.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
18.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$588,473.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,183.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,183.33
Gross Return
-9.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,232.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $566.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $564.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,197.08 |
$-35.28 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $560.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $560.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,178.78 |
$-18.30 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $596.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $587.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,004.38 |
$-174.40 (-1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $583.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $586.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,059.24 |
+$54.86 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $571.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $571.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,063.44 |
+$4.20 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $565.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $557.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,887.35 |
$-176.09 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $536.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,695.62 |
$-191.73 (-1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $526.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $526.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,707.50 |
+$11.88 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $521.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $523.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,747.43 |
+$39.93 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $525.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $539.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,038.77 |
+$291.34 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $527.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $530.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,107.96 |
+$69.19 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $526.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $530.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,175.50 |
+$67.54 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $522.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $517.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,051.30 |
$-124.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $514.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $506.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,880.87 |
$-170.43 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $503.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $505.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,908.35 |
+$27.48 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $493.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $497.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,998.41 |
+$90.06 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $483.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $483.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,005.85 |
+$7.44 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $493.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $493.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,017.13 |
+$11.28 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $490.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $485.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,890.65 |
$-126.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $488.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $485.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,816.61 |
$-74.04 (-0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.30 | 24 | $11,647.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $478.59 | 24 | $11,486.16 | $11,655.45 |
$-161.16 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $483.94 | 24 | $11,614.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.88 | 24 | $11,853.12 | $11,894.01 |
+$238.56 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $486.12 | 24 | $11,666.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $479.27 | 24 | $11,502.48 | $11,729.61 |
$-164.40 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $485.17 | 24 | $11,644.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $479.99 | 24 | $11,519.76 | $11,605.29 |
$-124.32 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $467.95 | 24 | $11,230.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $478.56 | 24 | $11,485.44 | $11,859.93 |
+$254.64 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $487.67 | 24 | $11,704.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $482.75 | 24 | $11,586.00 | $11,741.85 |
$-118.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $477.73 | 24 | $11,465.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.50 | 24 | $11,460.00 | $11,736.21 |
$-5.64 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.00 | 24 | $11,448.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.14 | 24 | $11,715.48 | $12,003.69 |
+$267.48 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.75 | 25 | $11,843.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $468.95 | 25 | $11,723.87 | $11,883.81 |
$-119.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $472.22 | 25 | $11,805.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $468.20 | 25 | $11,704.98 | $11,783.29 |
$-100.52 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $462.38 | 25 | $11,559.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $456.60 | 25 | $11,415.00 | $11,638.79 |
$-144.50 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $452.82 | 25 | $11,320.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $455.62 | 25 | $11,390.50 | $11,708.79 |
+$70.00 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $465.63 | 25 | $11,640.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $455.33 | 25 | $11,383.25 | $11,451.29 |
$-257.50 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $451.00 | 25 | $11,275.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $451.01 | 25 | $11,275.13 | $11,451.42 |
+$0.13 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $467.23 | 24 | $11,213.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $462.33 | 24 | $11,095.92 | $11,333.82 |
$-117.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $457.72 | 24 | $10,985.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $452.77 | 24 | $10,866.48 | $11,215.02 |
$-118.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $449.00 | 24 | $10,776.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $459.50 | 24 | $11,028.00 | $11,467.02 |
+$252.00 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $469.72 | 24 | $11,273.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $468.95 | 24 | $11,254.80 | $11,448.54 |
$-18.48 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $472.38 | 24 | $11,337.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $468.88 | 24 | $11,253.00 | $11,364.54 |
$-84.00 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $463.92 | 24 | $11,134.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $458.31 | 24 | $10,999.44 | $11,229.90 |
$-134.64 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $485.32 | 23 | $11,162.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $483.79 | 23 | $11,127.17 | $11,194.71 |
$-35.19 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $475.44 | 23 | $10,935.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $480.60 | 23 | $11,053.80 | $11,313.39 |
+$118.68 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $468.67 | 24 | $11,248.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:15pm ET | $463.94 | 24 | $11,134.56 | $11,199.87 |
$-113.52 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $451.39 | 24 | $10,833.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $452.32 | 24 | $10,855.68 | $11,222.19 |
+$22.32 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $459.29 | 24 | $11,022.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $456.98 | 24 | $10,967.52 | $11,166.75 |
$-55.44 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $452.13 | 24 | $10,851.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $445.75 | 24 | $10,698.00 | $11,013.75 |
$-153.00 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,013.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,013.75
Total Return:
+10.14%